Possession and Luck Chart for the NHL
This chart was last updated on 10-April-2017.
Pluck Charts combine possession and luck data for NHL teams into one easy-to-read chart.
The x-axis measures puck possession and uses USAT% as the metric. USAT% is computed by finding what fraction of all unblocked shot attempts in games were generated by the team in question. A USAT% value greater than 50% suggests that a team is consistently outshooting their opponents.
The y-axis measures luck at even-strength hockey and uses SHSV% as the metric. SHSV% is computed by using a team's even-strength shooting percentage and adding it to the team's even-strength save percentage (multiplied by 1000). Teams with values that stray significantly from 1000 are having their results influenced by luck.
The size of each bubble measures the even-strength shooting percentage of a team. The league average value is 7.7%.
The color of each bubble measures the even-strength save percentage of a team. The league average value is 0.923.
Historically, teams above the dashed white line are the most likely to qualify for the playoffs.
NHL teams can be categorized by where they land on the chart: