Unsustainable - Skaters - December 6, 2017 | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Unsustainable - Skaters - December 6, 2017

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Volume and Save Percentage Data

Player GP G A PPG S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Mattias Ekholm 27 6 10 4 44 1.63 1.33 13.63 5.91 130.6
Trevor Lewis 28 7 6 0 53 1.89 2.10 13.20 5.79 128.1
William Karlsson 26 14 11 2 56 2.15 1.70 25.00 11.07 125.8
Claude Giroux 27 11 17 3 51 1.89 3.06 21.56 10.88 98.1
Radek Faksa 26 10 6 0 47 1.81 2.08 21.27 10.98 93.8
Micheal Ferland 26 11 4 4 61 2.35 2.14 18.03 9.91 82.0
Michael Grabner 26 13 2 0 55 2.12 2.33 23.63 13.02 81.5
Torey Krug 21 4 10 1 47 2.24 2.80 8.51 4.72 80.3
Craig Smith 27 11 6 5 64 2.37 2.53 17.18 9.56 79.7
Anders Lee 26 16 12 5 63 2.42 2.51 25.39 14.20 78.7
Mark Scheifele 27 14 20 6 52 1.93 2.40 26.92 15.14 77.8
Nazem Kadri 28 13 10 3 64 2.29 3.10 20.31 11.78 72.5
Nail Yakupov 25 7 3 2 41 1.64 2.67 17.07 10.05 69.8
Jordie Benn 27 3 4 0 40 1.48 1.12 7.50 4.46 68.3
John Tavares 26 17 13 4 79 3.04 3.46 21.51 13.04 64.9
Jason Zucker 26 13 9 3 62 2.38 2.76 20.96 12.83 63.3
Joonas Donskoi 23 7 5 1 44 1.91 1.75 15.90 9.76 63.0
Logan Couture 26 13 8 3 65 2.50 3.29 20.00 12.28 62.8
Sean Couturier 27 14 13 3 85 3.15 2.14 16.47 10.14 62.3
Anze Kopitar 28 14 17 2 70 2.50 2.03 20.00 12.35 62.0
Jaden Schwartz 27 13 19 4 58 2.15 3.03 22.41 14.01 59.9
Brendan Gallagher 28 13 6 3 87 3.11 3.83 14.94 9.72 53.7
Zach Werenski 27 8 7 1 71 2.63 2.54 11.26 7.34 53.5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 27 10 9 3 59 2.19 2.69 16.94 11.10 52.6
Blake Comeau 25 6 5 0 41 1.64 2.01 14.63 9.61 52.2
Elias Lindholm 25 7 7 3 52 2.08 2.22 13.46 8.89 51.5
Erik Haula 22 8 6 3 45 2.05 1.66 17.77 11.74 51.4
Filip Forsberg 27 14 14 8 73 2.70 2.91 19.17 12.73 50.6
Dustin Brown 28 11 12 4 78 2.79 2.42 14.10 9.38 50.4
Tyson Barrie 24 2 17 1 61 2.54 2.26 3.27 6.73 -51.4
Patrick Sharp 27 3 4 0 59 2.19 4.02 5.08 10.68 -52.4
John Carlson 28 2 19 1 81 2.89 2.77 2.46 5.33 -53.9
Christian Dvorak 30 3 12 0 50 1.67 1.19 6.00 13.04 -54.0
Brandon Sutter 23 2 4 0 43 1.87 2.90 4.65 10.21 -54.5
Artturi Lehkonen 18 2 3 0 47 2.61 2.42 4.25 9.76 -56.4
Andrew Cogliano 27 3 10 0 63 2.33 1.80 4.76 10.98 -56.6
Brent Seabrook 27 1 8 0 44 1.63 2.00 2.27 5.24 -56.7
Alex Killorn 26 2 14 0 48 1.85 2.08 4.16 9.70 -57.1
Carl Hagelin 27 2 2 0 58 2.15 2.45 3.44 8.37 -58.9
Mitchell Marner 28 2 14 1 53 1.89 2.43 3.77 9.17 -58.9
Michael Del Zotto 27 1 8 0 50 1.85 2.71 2.00 6.14 -67.4
Max Domi 30 2 15 1 75 2.50 2.21 2.66 8.55 -68.9
Erik Karlsson 20 1 16 0 52 2.60 3.23 1.92 6.94 -72.3
Ryan Callahan 25 1 4 0 42 1.68 3.21 2.38 10.26 -76.8
Kris Letang 28 1 19 1 79 2.82 4.05 1.26 5.55 -77.3
Justin Faulk 25 1 6 0 73 2.92 3.24 1.36 6.39 -78.7
Brent Burns 26 1 11 0 100 3.85 3.73 1.00 7.31 -86.3
Duncan Keith 27 0 14 0 62 2.30 2.30 0.00 4.59 -100.0
Marco Scandella 27 0 5 0 56 2.07 1.87 0.00 4.83 -100.0
Dustin Byfuglien 25 0 13 0 66 2.64 3.22 0.00 6.96 -100.0
Rasmus Ristolainen 18 0 7 0 49 2.72 2.19 0.00 4.10 -100.0
Legend
GP
Games Played
G
Goals
A
Assists
PPG
Power play goals
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2017-2018 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage