Unsustainable - Skaters - December 13, 2017 | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Unsustainable - Skaters - December 13, 2017

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Volume and Save Percentage Data

Player GP G A PPG S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Trevor Lewis 31 7 6 0 54 1.74 2.10 12.96 5.78 124.2
William Karlsson 29 15 11 3 63 2.17 1.70 23.80 11.15 113.5
Claude Giroux 29 12 20 4 54 1.86 3.06 22.22 10.92 103.5
Logan Couture 29 15 10 4 69 2.38 3.29 21.73 12.38 75.5
Radek Faksa 30 10 7 0 55 1.83 2.08 18.18 10.63 71.0
Michael Grabner 30 14 2 0 63 2.10 2.33 22.22 13.02 70.7
Anze Kopitar 31 16 22 3 76 2.45 2.03 21.05 12.40 69.7
Micheal Ferland 29 11 5 4 68 2.34 2.14 16.17 9.70 66.8
Anders Lee 30 17 13 5 73 2.43 2.51 23.28 14.15 64.6
Craig Smith 29 11 6 5 71 2.45 2.53 15.49 9.50 63.0
John Tavares 30 18 14 4 87 2.90 3.46 20.68 13.04 58.6
Jaden Schwartz 30 14 21 4 63 2.10 3.03 22.22 14.05 58.1
Jason Zucker 29 14 11 3 69 2.38 2.76 20.28 12.85 57.8
Sean Couturier 29 14 14 3 88 3.03 2.14 15.90 10.11 57.3
Erik Haula 25 11 8 3 59 2.36 1.66 18.64 12.05 54.7
James van Riemsdyk 30 14 7 5 80 2.67 3.63 17.50 11.32 54.6
Dustin Brown 31 12 14 4 84 2.71 2.42 14.28 9.39 52.0
Nino Niederreiter 23 10 4 5 54 2.35 2.05 18.51 12.23 51.4
Sam Gagner 31 3 8 2 65 2.10 2.36 4.61 9.56 -51.8
Alexander Steen 25 3 13 1 63 2.52 2.68 4.76 10.09 -52.8
Boone Jenner 23 3 6 1 59 2.57 3.35 5.08 10.78 -52.9
Victor Hedman 29 2 15 1 67 2.31 2.43 2.98 6.40 -53.4
Tomas Plekanec 31 3 10 0 64 2.06 2.41 4.68 10.08 -53.6
Riley Nash 27 2 9 0 52 1.93 1.61 3.84 8.49 -54.8
Tyson Barrie 28 2 19 1 67 2.39 2.26 2.98 6.68 -55.4
Brent Burns 29 4 14 2 122 4.21 3.73 3.27 7.37 -55.6
Mike Green 30 2 16 0 57 1.90 2.10 3.50 8.12 -56.9
Patrick Sharp 30 3 5 0 66 2.20 4.02 4.54 10.65 -57.4
John Carlson 31 2 20 1 95 3.06 2.77 2.10 5.27 -60.2
Andrew Cogliano 31 3 10 0 69 2.23 1.80 4.34 10.93 -60.3
Mitchell Marner 31 2 17 1 59 1.90 2.43 3.38 8.94 -62.2
Kris Letang 32 2 22 2 97 3.03 4.05 2.06 5.55 -62.9
Carl Hagelin 31 2 3 0 66 2.13 2.45 3.03 8.30 -63.5
Max Domi 33 2 15 1 81 2.45 2.21 2.46 8.41 -70.7
Michael Del Zotto 31 1 10 0 56 1.81 2.71 1.78 6.09 -70.8
Erik Karlsson 23 1 17 0 64 2.78 3.23 1.56 6.89 -77.4
Justin Faulk 29 1 6 0 79 2.72 3.24 1.26 6.35 -80.2
Dustin Byfuglien 28 0 15 0 69 2.46 3.22 0.00 6.95 -100.0
Marco Scandella 30 0 6 0 59 1.97 1.87 0.00 4.80 -100.0
Rasmus Ristolainen 21 0 7 0 60 2.86 2.19 0.00 4.03 -100.0
Duncan Keith 30 0 14 0 72 2.40 2.30 0.00 4.57 -100.0
Legend
GP
Games Played
G
Goals
A
Assists
PPG
Power play goals
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2017-2018 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage