Unsustainable - Skaters - December 20, 2017 | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

Features

The latest fantasy hockey advice and analysis.

Unsustainable - Skaters - December 20, 2017

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player GP G A PPG S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Trevor Lewis 35 8 6 0 65 1.86 2.10 12.30 5.82 111.3
William Karlsson 33 15 12 3 69 2.09 1.70 21.73 10.93 98.9
Claude Giroux 33 13 23 4 61 1.85 3.06 21.31 10.93 94.9
Mattias Ekholm 33 6 15 4 55 1.67 1.33 10.90 5.76 89.2
Michael Grabner 34 17 3 0 72 2.12 2.33 23.61 13.18 79.1
Micheal Ferland 33 13 5 5 73 2.21 2.14 17.80 10.15 75.4
Anders Lee 34 21 15 6 83 2.44 2.51 25.30 14.50 74.4
Cody Ceci 32 4 3 0 52 1.63 1.74 7.69 4.59 67.6
Nathan MacKinnon 33 15 24 6 104 3.15 3.55 14.42 8.71 65.5
Anze Kopitar 35 17 22 3 83 2.37 2.03 20.48 12.41 65.0
Jordie Benn 33 4 5 0 53 1.61 1.12 7.54 4.57 65.0
Torey Krug 28 5 14 1 64 2.29 2.80 7.81 4.74 64.7
Radek Faksa 34 10 7 0 58 1.71 2.08 17.24 10.51 64.1
Gabriel Landeskog 29 13 12 3 77 2.66 2.61 16.88 10.65 58.5
Jaden Schwartz 30 14 21 4 63 2.10 3.03 22.22 14.05 58.1
James van Riemsdyk 34 16 9 7 89 2.62 3.63 17.97 11.38 57.9
Logan Couture 31 15 11 4 78 2.52 3.29 19.23 12.31 56.2
P.K. Subban 33 7 16 2 73 2.21 2.57 9.58 6.17 55.3
Josh Bailey 34 10 32 3 58 1.71 1.88 17.24 11.13 54.9
Anton Stralman 33 4 7 0 55 1.67 1.87 7.27 4.69 54.9
Erik Haula 29 13 11 4 69 2.38 1.66 18.84 12.22 54.1
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 34 14 11 4 81 2.38 2.69 17.28 11.26 53.5
Elias Lindholm 33 9 9 3 65 1.97 2.22 13.84 9.02 53.5
Jeff Petry 34 4 9 2 55 1.62 2.21 7.27 4.84 50.3
Sean Couturier 33 15 15 3 99 3.00 2.14 15.15 10.10 50.1
Mitchell Marner 35 3 21 2 67 1.91 2.43 4.47 9.05 -50.6
Colton Sissons 32 3 7 0 50 1.56 1.30 6.00 12.31 -51.2
Andrew Cogliano 35 4 11 0 77 2.20 1.80 5.19 10.94 -52.6
Jacob Trouba 35 2 10 0 82 2.34 2.42 2.43 5.30 -54.1
Boone Jenner 27 3 6 1 63 2.33 3.35 4.76 10.72 -55.6
Riley Nash 32 2 10 0 56 1.75 1.61 3.57 8.42 -57.6
Alexander Steen 29 3 14 1 72 2.48 2.68 4.16 10.05 -58.6
Max Domi 36 3 15 1 87 2.42 2.21 3.44 8.55 -59.8
Patrick Sharp 33 3 6 0 72 2.18 4.02 4.16 10.63 -60.9
Zack Smith 23 2 6 0 53 2.30 1.97 3.77 10.00 -62.3
Carl Hagelin 34 2 4 0 69 2.03 2.45 2.89 8.27 -65.1
Kris Letang 35 2 22 2 104 2.97 4.05 1.92 5.53 -65.3
Brent Seabrook 33 1 10 0 61 1.85 2.00 1.63 5.19 -68.6
Michael Del Zotto 35 1 10 0 61 1.74 2.71 1.63 6.05 -73.1
Jason Chimera 34 1 6 0 50 1.47 1.63 2.00 9.29 -78.5
Ryan Callahan 29 1 5 0 51 1.76 3.21 1.96 10.21 -80.8
Justin Faulk 33 1 6 0 90 2.73 3.24 1.11 6.29 -82.3
Rasmus Ristolainen 25 0 9 0 68 2.72 2.19 0.00 3.97 -100.0
Duncan Keith 33 0 16 0 78 2.36 2.30 0.00 4.55 -100.0
Dustin Byfuglien 28 0 15 0 69 2.46 3.22 0.00 6.95 -100.0
Marco Scandella 34 0 7 0 65 1.91 1.87 0.00 4.75 -100.0
Legend
GP
Games Played
G
Goals
A
Assists
PPG
Power play goals
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2017-2018 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage