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Unsustainable - Skaters - January 10, 2018

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A PPG S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Brian Boyle 11 6 5 57 1.8 1.8 19.3 9.1 113
Trevor Lewis 10 8 1 82 2.0 2.1 12.2 5.9 106
William Karlsson 22 14 3 85 2.1 1.7 25.9 12.6 106
Cam Fowler 6 9 1 54 1.7 1.8 11.1 6.1 82
John Moore 6 6 0 61 1.5 1.9 9.8 5.6 76
Micheal Ferland 18 8 5 95 2.3 2.1 18.9 10.9 73
Mathieu Perreault 12 13 4 51 1.6 2.5 23.5 13.9 69
Sean Couturier 23 19 5 128 3.0 2.1 18.0 10.7 68
Anders Lee 25 15 7 107 2.5 2.5 23.4 14.6 60
Elias Lindholm 12 12 3 81 1.9 2.2 14.8 9.3 60
Gabriel Landeskog 16 16 5 93 2.5 2.6 17.2 10.8 60
Torey Krug 6 16 1 79 2.2 2.8 7.6 4.8 59
Nino Niederreiter 13 6 6 66 2.1 2.0 19.7 12.4 59
Jaden Schwartz 14 21 4 63 2.1 3.0 22.2 14.1 58
Mattias Ekholm 6 15 4 69 1.6 1.3 8.7 5.6 56
Hampus Lindholm 6 8 2 58 1.9 1.7 10.3 6.7 55
Dustin Brown 15 17 5 103 2.5 2.4 14.6 9.4 54
Jordie Benn 4 6 0 58 1.4 1.1 6.9 4.5 53
Claude Giroux 14 38 4 85 2.0 3.1 16.5 10.8 52
Nathan MacKinnon 18 34 7 136 3.3 3.5 13.2 8.7 52
Cody Ceci 5 4 0 72 1.8 1.7 6.9 4.6 51
Cal Clutterbuck 7 7 0 54 1.4 1.6 13.0 8.6 51
Scott Laughton 7 6 0 61 1.5 2.7 11.5 7.6 51
Jason Spezza 5 11 2 76 1.8 2.7 6.6 13.2 -50
Magnus Paajarvi 2 2 0 54 1.3 4.5 3.7 7.6 -51
Andrew Cogliano 5 13 0 95 2.2 1.8 5.3 10.9 -52
Trevor van Riemsdyk 1 7 0 55 1.4 1.3 1.8 3.8 -53
David Savard 2 6 0 78 1.8 1.9 2.6 5.5 -53
Tomas Plekanec 4 12 0 86 2.0 2.4 4.7 10.0 -54
Connor Murphy 1 6 0 52 1.4 1.2 1.9 4.2 -54
Michael Del Zotto 2 11 0 71 1.7 2.7 2.8 6.1 -54
Kris Letang 3 24 2 121 3.0 4.1 2.5 5.5 -55
Colton Sissons 3 9 0 62 1.5 1.3 4.8 11.3 -57
Erik Karlsson 3 27 1 103 2.9 3.2 2.9 6.8 -58
Boone Jenner 4 8 1 92 2.5 3.4 4.3 10.4 -58
Cody Franson 1 6 0 51 2.2 1.8 2.0 5.0 -61
Dustin Byfuglien 2 15 1 76 2.4 3.2 2.6 7.0 -63
Max Domi 3 16 1 98 2.3 2.2 3.1 8.3 -63
Artturi Lehkonen 2 4 0 61 2.3 2.4 3.3 9.1 -64
Jason Chimera 2 6 0 60 1.4 1.6 3.3 9.3 -64
Joel Eriksson Ek 1 5 0 61 1.7 5.5 1.6 5.3 -69
Carl Hagelin 2 5 0 81 1.9 2.4 2.5 8.2 -70
Brent Seabrook 1 10 0 66 1.6 2.0 1.5 5.2 -71
Alexander Edler 1 10 0 75 2.4 2.8 1.3 5.0 -73
Marco Scandella 1 12 0 81 1.9 1.9 1.2 4.8 -74
Brad Richardson 1 5 0 51 1.4 2.5 2.0 8.2 -76
Ryan Callahan 1 5 0 60 1.8 3.2 1.7 10.2 -84
Duncan Keith 0 22 0 99 2.4 2.3 0.0 4.5 -100
Ryan McDonagh 0 18 0 58 1.5 2.1 0.0 5.6 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
PPG
Power play goals
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2017-2018 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage