Buy-Low and Sell-High
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Connolly | 14 | 4 | 50 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 28.0 | 13.2 | 113 |
| Matt Nieto | 10 | 8 | 53 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 18.9 | 9.2 | 104 |
| Trevor Lewis | 13 | 11 | 108 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 12.0 | 6.1 | 98 |
| William Karlsson | 29 | 20 | 120 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 24.2 | 13.3 | 81 |
| Ryan Spooner | 9 | 15 | 61 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 14.8 | 8.4 | 75 |
| Jonas Brodin | 5 | 10 | 52 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 9.6 | 5.5 | 73 |
| Torey Krug | 10 | 26 | 118 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 70 |
| P.K. Subban | 15 | 29 | 141 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 10.6 | 6.4 | 65 |
| Micheal Ferland | 20 | 14 | 111 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 18.0 | 11.0 | 64 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 24 | 37 | 164 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 14.6 | 9.1 | 62 |
| Alex Goligoski | 8 | 21 | 82 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 9.8 | 6.1 | 59 |
| Sean Couturier | 28 | 29 | 163 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 17.2 | 10.8 | 59 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 19 | 22 | 114 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 16.7 | 10.8 | 54 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 9 | 15 | 115 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 7.8 | 5.1 | 54 |
| Luke Glendening | 8 | 6 | 63 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 12.7 | 8.3 | 53 |
| Austin Watson | 7 | 2 | 60 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 11.7 | 7.7 | 52 |
| Eric Staal | 25 | 26 | 149 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 16.8 | 11.0 | 52 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 14 | 6 | 75 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 18.7 | 12.4 | 50 |
| Michael Cammalleri | 5 | 15 | 85 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 5.9 | 12.0 | -51 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 6 | 16 | 120 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 10.7 | -53 |
| Alexandre Burrows | 3 | 5 | 55 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 5.5 | 11.9 | -54 |
| Tomas Plekanec | 5 | 15 | 110 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 10.0 | -54 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 2 | 24 | 77 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 5.7 | -54 |
| Oscar Klefbom | 3 | 11 | 153 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 4.3 | -54 |
| Jacob Trouba | 3 | 17 | 129 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 5.1 | -54 |
| Kris Letang | 4 | 29 | 163 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 5.5 | -55 |
| Max Domi | 4 | 21 | 111 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 8.3 | -56 |
| Joakim Nordstrom | 2 | 2 | 77 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 6.1 | -57 |
| Dustin Byfuglien | 3 | 22 | 105 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 7.0 | -59 |
| Boone Jenner | 5 | 11 | 122 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 10.2 | -60 |
| Troy Brouwer | 3 | 12 | 54 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 5.6 | 13.8 | -60 |
| Derek MacKenzie | 2 | 8 | 62 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 8.3 | -61 |
| Ryan Callahan | 3 | 7 | 76 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 10.2 | -61 |
| Brendan Smith | 1 | 7 | 66 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3.9 | -61 |
| Cody Franson | 1 | 6 | 51 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -61 |
| Trevor van Riemsdyk | 1 | 8 | 72 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3.6 | -62 |
| Sami Vatanen | 2 | 15 | 83 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 6.3 | -62 |
| Connor Murphy | 1 | 8 | 66 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4.0 | -62 |
| Alexander Edler | 2 | 19 | 109 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 5.0 | -63 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 1 | 9 | 55 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 5.7 | -68 |
| Jason Chimera | 2 | 9 | 70 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 9.2 | -69 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 1 | 8 | 85 | 1.7 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 4.0 | -71 |
| Marco Scandella | 1 | 14 | 102 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4.6 | -79 |
| Jussi Jokinen | 1 | 6 | 50 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 11.9 | -83 |
| Nick Jensen | 0 | 11 | 65 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.2 | -100 |
| Brandon Carlo | 0 | 5 | 54 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
| Kevin Bieksa | 0 | 6 | 59 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
| Duncan Keith | 0 | 25 | 137 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2017-2018 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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