Buy-Low and Sell-High | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Brett Connolly 14 6 54 1.1 1.7 25.9 13.1 99
Trevor Lewis 13 11 108 2.0 2.1 12.0 6.1 98
Matt Nieto 10 8 55 1.1 1.9 18.2 9.2 98
Nicolas Deslauriers 7 3 50 1.4 1.1 14.0 7.5 87
William Karlsson 30 21 126 2.1 1.7 23.8 13.4 78
Jonas Brodin 5 10 52 1.0 1.4 9.6 5.5 73
Micheal Ferland 20 14 115 1.9 2.1 17.4 10.9 60
Tom Wilson 10 17 85 1.5 1.3 11.8 7.4 60
Torey Krug 10 28 127 2.4 2.8 7.9 4.9 59
Nathan MacKinnon 25 40 174 3.4 3.5 14.4 9.1 58
Ryan Spooner 9 15 69 1.8 2.7 13.0 8.3 57
Alex Goligoski 8 21 84 1.4 1.5 9.5 6.1 56
Sean Couturier 29 31 173 2.9 2.1 16.8 10.8 55
P.K. Subban 15 31 151 2.6 2.6 9.9 6.4 55
Leo Komarov 5 10 95 1.5 1.8 5.3 10.5 -50
Dustin Byfuglien 4 26 117 2.4 3.2 3.4 7.0 -51
Zack Smith 4 12 83 1.9 2.0 4.8 9.9 -51
Braydon Coburn 1 10 51 1.0 1.4 2.0 4.0 -51
Zach Parise 3 4 57 2.9 3.7 5.3 11.2 -53
Joel Eriksson Ek 2 8 89 1.7 5.5 2.2 4.8 -53
Alexandre Burrows 3 5 55 1.1 2.1 5.5 11.9 -54
Ryan McDonagh 2 24 77 1.6 2.1 2.6 5.7 -54
Jacob Trouba 3 17 129 2.6 2.4 2.3 5.1 -54
Andrew Cogliano 6 17 124 2.1 1.8 4.8 10.7 -55
Boone Jenner 6 12 134 2.5 3.4 4.5 10.1 -56
Michael Cammalleri 5 17 94 1.8 3.4 5.3 12.0 -56
Oscar Klefbom 3 13 166 3.0 2.9 1.8 4.2 -57
Max Domi 4 22 113 1.9 2.2 3.5 8.2 -57
Joakim Nordstrom 2 2 80 1.4 1.5 2.5 6.0 -58
Tomas Plekanec 5 17 123 2.1 2.4 4.1 9.9 -59
Troy Brouwer 3 12 54 1.0 1.6 5.6 13.8 -60
Brendan Smith 1 7 66 1.5 1.6 1.5 3.9 -61
Cody Franson 1 6 51 2.2 1.8 2.0 5.0 -61
Marco Scandella 2 14 107 1.8 1.9 1.9 4.8 -61
Ryan Callahan 3 10 78 1.6 3.2 3.8 10.2 -62
Trevor van Riemsdyk 1 9 75 1.3 1.3 1.3 3.5 -62
Sami Vatanen 2 19 86 1.7 2.1 2.3 6.3 -63
Connor Murphy 1 8 68 1.3 1.2 1.5 4.0 -63
Derek MacKenzie 2 8 67 1.3 1.1 3.0 8.3 -64
Alexander Edler 2 20 119 2.5 2.8 1.7 4.9 -66
Henrik Sedin 2 36 50 0.8 1.3 4.0 13.0 -69
Jason Chimera 2 9 70 1.2 1.6 2.9 9.2 -69
Jakob Chychrun 1 9 57 2.0 1.5 1.8 5.6 -69
Jussi Jokinen 1 6 54 1.2 1.9 1.9 11.8 -84
Duncan Keith 1 25 144 2.4 2.3 0.7 4.5 -85
Kevin Bieksa 0 6 62 1.1 1.6 0.0 4.4 -100
Brandon Carlo 0 6 57 1.0 1.1 0.0 4.1 -100
Nick Jensen 0 12 69 1.2 2.0 0.0 3.1 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2017-2018 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage