Buy-Low and Sell-High
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brett Connolly | 14 | 6 | 54 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 25.9 | 13.1 | 99 |
Trevor Lewis | 13 | 11 | 108 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 12.0 | 6.1 | 98 |
Matt Nieto | 10 | 8 | 55 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 18.2 | 9.2 | 98 |
Nicolas Deslauriers | 7 | 3 | 50 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 14.0 | 7.5 | 87 |
William Karlsson | 30 | 21 | 126 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 23.8 | 13.4 | 78 |
Jonas Brodin | 5 | 10 | 52 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 9.6 | 5.5 | 73 |
Micheal Ferland | 20 | 14 | 115 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 17.4 | 10.9 | 60 |
Tom Wilson | 10 | 17 | 85 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 11.8 | 7.4 | 60 |
Torey Krug | 10 | 28 | 127 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 7.9 | 4.9 | 59 |
Nathan MacKinnon | 25 | 40 | 174 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 14.4 | 9.1 | 58 |
Ryan Spooner | 9 | 15 | 69 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 13.0 | 8.3 | 57 |
Alex Goligoski | 8 | 21 | 84 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 9.5 | 6.1 | 56 |
Sean Couturier | 29 | 31 | 173 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 16.8 | 10.8 | 55 |
P.K. Subban | 15 | 31 | 151 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 9.9 | 6.4 | 55 |
Leo Komarov | 5 | 10 | 95 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 5.3 | 10.5 | -50 |
Dustin Byfuglien | 4 | 26 | 117 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 7.0 | -51 |
Zack Smith | 4 | 12 | 83 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 9.9 | -51 |
Braydon Coburn | 1 | 10 | 51 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -51 |
Zach Parise | 3 | 4 | 57 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 11.2 | -53 |
Joel Eriksson Ek | 2 | 8 | 89 | 1.7 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 4.8 | -53 |
Alexandre Burrows | 3 | 5 | 55 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 5.5 | 11.9 | -54 |
Ryan McDonagh | 2 | 24 | 77 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 5.7 | -54 |
Jacob Trouba | 3 | 17 | 129 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 5.1 | -54 |
Andrew Cogliano | 6 | 17 | 124 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4.8 | 10.7 | -55 |
Boone Jenner | 6 | 12 | 134 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 10.1 | -56 |
Michael Cammalleri | 5 | 17 | 94 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 5.3 | 12.0 | -56 |
Oscar Klefbom | 3 | 13 | 166 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 4.2 | -57 |
Max Domi | 4 | 22 | 113 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 8.2 | -57 |
Joakim Nordstrom | 2 | 2 | 80 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 6.0 | -58 |
Tomas Plekanec | 5 | 17 | 123 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 9.9 | -59 |
Troy Brouwer | 3 | 12 | 54 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 5.6 | 13.8 | -60 |
Brendan Smith | 1 | 7 | 66 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3.9 | -61 |
Cody Franson | 1 | 6 | 51 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -61 |
Marco Scandella | 2 | 14 | 107 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4.8 | -61 |
Ryan Callahan | 3 | 10 | 78 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 10.2 | -62 |
Trevor van Riemsdyk | 1 | 9 | 75 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3.5 | -62 |
Sami Vatanen | 2 | 19 | 86 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 6.3 | -63 |
Connor Murphy | 1 | 8 | 68 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4.0 | -63 |
Derek MacKenzie | 2 | 8 | 67 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 8.3 | -64 |
Alexander Edler | 2 | 20 | 119 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 4.9 | -66 |
Henrik Sedin | 2 | 36 | 50 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4.0 | 13.0 | -69 |
Jason Chimera | 2 | 9 | 70 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 9.2 | -69 |
Jakob Chychrun | 1 | 9 | 57 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 5.6 | -69 |
Jussi Jokinen | 1 | 6 | 54 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 11.8 | -84 |
Duncan Keith | 1 | 25 | 144 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 4.5 | -85 |
Kevin Bieksa | 0 | 6 | 62 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
Brandon Carlo | 0 | 6 | 57 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 4.1 | -100 |
Nick Jensen | 0 | 12 | 69 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.1 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2017-2018 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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