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Buy-Low and Sell-High

February 21, 2018   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

PlayerGASS/GP3YS/GPSH%CSH%DEV
Brett Connolly146541.11.725.913.199
Trevor Lewis13111082.02.112.06.198
Matt Nieto108551.11.918.29.298
Nicolas Deslauriers73501.41.114.07.587
William Karlsson30211262.11.723.813.478
Jonas Brodin510521.01.49.65.573
Micheal Ferland20141151.92.117.410.960
Tom Wilson1017851.51.311.87.460
Torey Krug10281272.42.87.94.959
Nathan MacKinnon25401743.43.514.49.158
Ryan Spooner915691.82.713.08.357
Alex Goligoski821841.41.59.56.156
Sean Couturier29311732.92.116.810.855
P.K. Subban15311512.62.69.96.455
Leo Komarov510951.51.85.310.5-50
Dustin Byfuglien4261172.43.23.47.0-51
Zack Smith412831.92.04.89.9-51
Braydon Coburn110511.01.42.04.0-51
Zach Parise34572.93.75.311.2-53
Joel Eriksson Ek28891.75.52.24.8-53
Alexandre Burrows35551.12.15.511.9-54
Ryan McDonagh224771.62.12.65.7-54
Jacob Trouba3171292.62.42.35.1-54
Andrew Cogliano6171242.11.84.810.7-55
Boone Jenner6121342.53.44.510.1-56
Michael Cammalleri517941.83.45.312.0-56
Oscar Klefbom3131663.02.91.84.2-57
Max Domi4221131.92.23.58.2-57
Joakim Nordstrom22801.41.52.56.0-58
Tomas Plekanec5171232.12.44.19.9-59
Troy Brouwer312541.01.65.613.8-60
Brendan Smith17661.51.61.53.9-61
Cody Franson16512.21.82.05.0-61
Marco Scandella2141071.81.91.94.8-61
Ryan Callahan310781.63.23.810.2-62
Trevor van Riemsdyk19751.31.31.33.5-62
Sami Vatanen219861.72.12.36.3-63
Connor Murphy18681.31.21.54.0-63
Derek MacKenzie28671.31.13.08.3-64
Alexander Edler2201192.52.81.74.9-66
Henrik Sedin236500.81.34.013.0-69
Jason Chimera29701.21.62.99.2-69
Jakob Chychrun19572.01.51.85.6-69
Jussi Jokinen16541.21.91.911.8-84
Duncan Keith1251442.42.30.74.5-85
Kevin Bieksa06621.11.60.04.4-100
Brandon Carlo06571.01.10.04.1-100
Nick Jensen012691.22.00.03.1-100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2017-2018 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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