Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lewis | 13 | 11 | 108 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 12.0 | 6.1 | 98 |
| Brett Connolly | 14 | 8 | 58 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 24.1 | 12.9 | 87 |
| Carl Gunnarsson | 5 | 3 | 50 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 10.0 | 5.4 | 86 |
| Matt Nieto | 10 | 8 | 60 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 16.7 | 9.1 | 83 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 7 | 4 | 53 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 13.2 | 7.4 | 79 |
| William Karlsson | 34 | 23 | 141 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 24.1 | 13.9 | 73 |
| Jonas Brodin | 5 | 10 | 53 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 71 |
| Eric Staal | 33 | 31 | 175 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 18.9 | 11.2 | 69 |
| Tom Wilson | 11 | 17 | 90 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 12.2 | 7.5 | 63 |
| Micheal Ferland | 20 | 14 | 116 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 17.2 | 10.8 | 59 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 28 | 41 | 191 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 14.7 | 9.2 | 59 |
| Alex Goligoski | 9 | 21 | 93 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 9.7 | 6.2 | 57 |
| Torey Krug | 10 | 29 | 133 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 7.5 | 4.9 | 53 |
| Ryan Spooner | 9 | 18 | 72 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 12.5 | 8.2 | 52 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 9 | 19 | 103 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 8.7 | 5.8 | 50 |
| Johan Larsson | 3 | 9 | 69 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4.3 | 8.7 | -50 |
| Max Domi | 5 | 22 | 123 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 4.1 | 8.3 | -51 |
| Leo Komarov | 5 | 11 | 101 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 10.4 | -52 |
| Brad Richardson | 3 | 8 | 77 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 3.9 | 8.1 | -52 |
| Ryan Callahan | 4 | 10 | 84 | 1.6 | 3.2 | 4.8 | 10.2 | -53 |
| Jason Spezza | 7 | 17 | 113 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 6.2 | 13.1 | -53 |
| Tomas Plekanec | 6 | 18 | 128 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 4.7 | 9.9 | -53 |
| Jacob Trouba | 3 | 17 | 129 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 5.1 | -54 |
| Dustin Byfuglien | 4 | 30 | 125 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 7.0 | -54 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 2 | 24 | 77 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 5.7 | -54 |
| Braydon Coburn | 1 | 10 | 54 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4.0 | -54 |
| Alexandre Burrows | 3 | 5 | 55 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 5.5 | 11.9 | -54 |
| Matt Stajan | 3 | 5 | 53 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 5.7 | 12.7 | -56 |
| Boone Jenner | 6 | 13 | 140 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 10.1 | -57 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 6 | 17 | 131 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4.6 | 10.7 | -57 |
| Marc Staal | 1 | 6 | 50 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4.6 | -57 |
| Zach Parise | 3 | 6 | 64 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 11.2 | -58 |
| Oscar Klefbom | 3 | 14 | 177 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 4.1 | -59 |
| Michael Cammalleri | 5 | 22 | 103 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 4.9 | 11.9 | -59 |
| Joakim Nordstrom | 2 | 2 | 81 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 6.0 | -59 |
| Cody Franson | 1 | 6 | 51 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -61 |
| Brendan Smith | 1 | 7 | 66 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3.9 | -61 |
| Trevor van Riemsdyk | 1 | 9 | 79 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3.5 | -64 |
| Connor Murphy | 1 | 8 | 73 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3.9 | -65 |
| Sami Vatanen | 2 | 21 | 96 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 6.1 | -66 |
| Alexander Edler | 2 | 22 | 121 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 4.9 | -66 |
| Jason Chimera | 2 | 9 | 70 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 9.2 | -69 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 1 | 9 | 60 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5.5 | -70 |
| Henrik Sedin | 2 | 39 | 51 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3.9 | 13.0 | -70 |
| Jussi Jokinen | 1 | 6 | 54 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 11.8 | -84 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 25 | 154 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 4.4 | -86 |
| Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 7 | 54 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
| Nick Jensen | 0 | 13 | 78 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.9 | -100 |
| Kevin Bieksa | 0 | 6 | 62 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
| Brandon Carlo | 0 | 6 | 61 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
| Dylan DeMelo | 0 | 8 | 52 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 2.4 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2017-2018 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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