Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Nieto | 13 | 8 | 64 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 20.3 | 9.6 | 111 |
| Trevor Lewis | 13 | 11 | 108 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 12.0 | 6.1 | 98 |
| Carl Gunnarsson | 5 | 3 | 50 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 10.0 | 5.4 | 86 |
| Brett Connolly | 14 | 8 | 59 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 23.7 | 12.9 | 84 |
| Eric Staal | 36 | 31 | 187 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 19.3 | 11.2 | 72 |
| William Karlsson | 35 | 24 | 147 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 23.8 | 13.9 | 71 |
| Torey Krug | 13 | 34 | 149 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 8.7 | 5.1 | 70 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 7 | 4 | 57 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 12.3 | 7.3 | 69 |
| Danny DeKeyser | 5 | 3 | 52 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 66 |
| Jonas Brodin | 5 | 11 | 56 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 8.9 | 5.5 | 62 |
| Micheal Ferland | 20 | 14 | 117 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 17.1 | 10.8 | 58 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 32 | 46 | 216 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 14.8 | 9.3 | 58 |
| Tom Wilson | 11 | 18 | 96 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 11.5 | 7.4 | 55 |
| Austin Watson | 10 | 3 | 77 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 13.0 | 8.4 | 54 |
| Alex Goligoski | 9 | 21 | 96 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 9.4 | 6.1 | 53 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 5 | 8 | 124 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 8.2 | -51 |
| Derek MacKenzie | 3 | 9 | 73 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4.1 | 8.3 | -51 |
| Max Domi | 5 | 25 | 128 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 8.2 | -52 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 7 | 19 | 138 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 5.1 | 10.7 | -53 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 2 | 24 | 77 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 5.7 | -54 |
| Jacob Trouba | 3 | 17 | 129 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 5.1 | -54 |
| Tomas Plekanec | 6 | 18 | 131 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 4.6 | 9.9 | -54 |
| Brad Richardson | 3 | 9 | 83 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 8.1 | -55 |
| Ryan Callahan | 4 | 10 | 88 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 10.2 | -55 |
| Jason Spezza | 7 | 17 | 118 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 5.9 | 13.1 | -55 |
| Sami Vatanen | 3 | 25 | 110 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 6.2 | -56 |
| Braydon Coburn | 1 | 10 | 59 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4.0 | -57 |
| Boone Jenner | 6 | 14 | 143 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 10.0 | -58 |
| Marc Staal | 1 | 6 | 53 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4.6 | -59 |
| Joakim Nordstrom | 2 | 2 | 81 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 6.0 | -59 |
| Matt Stajan | 3 | 6 | 57 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 5.3 | 12.7 | -59 |
| Cody Franson | 1 | 6 | 51 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -61 |
| Brendan Smith | 1 | 7 | 66 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3.9 | -61 |
| Michael Cammalleri | 5 | 22 | 111 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 11.9 | -62 |
| Trevor van Riemsdyk | 1 | 10 | 86 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3.4 | -66 |
| Connor Murphy | 1 | 9 | 79 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3.9 | -67 |
| Alexander Edler | 2 | 24 | 128 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 4.9 | -68 |
| Jason Chimera | 2 | 9 | 71 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 9.2 | -70 |
| Henrik Sedin | 2 | 41 | 53 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3.8 | 13.0 | -71 |
| Jussi Jokinen | 1 | 6 | 55 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 11.8 | -85 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 28 | 160 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 4.4 | -86 |
| Dylan DeMelo | 0 | 12 | 54 | 1.1 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 2.3 | -100 |
| Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 8 | 60 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
| Brandon Carlo | 0 | 6 | 65 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
| Nick Jensen | 0 | 13 | 84 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | -100 |
| Kevin Bieksa | 0 | 8 | 63 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2017-2018 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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