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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

October 24, 2018   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 15 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

PlayerGASS/GP3YS/GPSH%CSH%DEV
John Carlson58192.43.026.36.0341
Morgan Rielly410273.02.314.84.4235
Kris Letang45233.33.817.45.7204
Elias Lindholm63212.32.128.69.4202
Scott Laughton41182.02.122.28.3167
Gabriel Landeskog84283.12.528.611.1158
Viktor Arvidsson63212.33.428.611.2156
John Klingberg53263.32.219.27.5155
Kyle Palmieri71223.72.931.812.8148
Phil Kessel46152.13.126.710.9144
Patrice Bergeron79283.14.025.010.3142
Joakim Nordstrom20151.91.313.36.0121
Timo Meier53252.83.620.09.1121
Mattias Ekholm25161.81.512.55.8114
Carl Soderberg33161.81.918.88.7114
Jonathan Drouin34151.93.120.09.7106
Nathan MacKinnon87404.43.720.09.7105
T.J. Oshie54182.32.327.813.7103
Wayne Simmonds61222.42.727.313.4103
Adam Lowry41171.91.623.511.7102
Auston Matthews106313.43.732.316.991
David Pastrnak105384.23.526.313.989
Alex Ovechkin85344.34.423.512.589
Matt Dumba32202.52.015.08.184
Joonas Donskoi34171.92.017.69.881
Joe Pavelski50232.62.821.712.081
Jeff Skinner52262.93.419.210.878
Alexander Radulov46162.725.014.177
Brendan Gallagher51293.64.017.29.875
Kasperi Kapanen44192.13.121.112.174
Ryan Kesler31152.12.520.011.672
Colin Wilson30151.72.020.011.672
Brayden Point53192.72.526.315.471
Oskar Lindblom20151.75.613.37.870
Jordan Martinook31222.41.413.68.169
Bo Horvat52232.62.221.712.968
Filip Forsberg64283.13.021.412.867
Nick Foligno32151.92.320.012.165
Sean Couturier30182.02.616.710.558
Dylan Larkin43283.12.614.39.157
Christian Fischer40222.83.618.211.854
Connor McDavid58233.33.521.714.154
Micheal Ferland63364.01.816.710.953
Evgeny Kuznetsov58283.52.317.911.753
Logan Couture55262.93.119.212.652
Victor Hedman22192.72.510.56.952
Jesper Fast14161.81.16.312.6-50
Brendan Perlini11151.92.16.713.6-51
Patrik Laine32364.03.08.317.3-52
Patrick Marleau14161.82.56.313.3-53
Nick Schmaltz15151.71.66.714.1-53
Mikael Backlund15242.72.34.28.8-53
Kyle Okposo14212.32.64.810.3-54
James Neal11182.03.35.612.0-54
Andrew Cogliano13212.12.04.810.7-55
Matt Duchene17182.32.55.612.3-55
Vladimir Tarasenko24354.43.75.712.9-56
Taylor Hall17213.53.74.810.8-56
Gustav Nyquist16212.32.34.811.3-58
Anthony Mantha12202.22.75.012.2-59
Max Pacioretty10232.93.74.311.0-60
Nikolay Goldobin12171.92.85.914.8-60
Justin Williams17262.92.33.89.5-60
Boone Jenner10263.32.73.810.1-62
Steven Stamkos12213.04.14.816.5-71
Alexander Kerfoot15171.91.15.920.4-71
Cam Fowler04161.62.20.05.8-100
Michael Grabner01151.92.00.012.8-100
Shea Theodore01212.63.70.04.3-100
Kevin Shattenkirk02182.32.70.06.4-100
Marc-Edouard Vlasic03222.42.10.05.0-100
Markus Nutivaara05172.11.50.05.6-100
Derek Stepan04243.02.70.09.9-100
Aaron Ekblad01162.32.80.06.8-100
Pat Maroon05162.02.00.011.6-100
Richard Panik01182.62.40.011.6-100
Erik Karlsson05242.73.10.06.7-100
Matt Calvert01192.11.80.011.4-100
John Moore01161.81.80.04.9-100
Evan Rodrigues04161.83.20.07.2-100
Nazem Kadri04161.83.10.011.8-100
Dougie Hamilton03394.32.80.05.8-100
William Carrier00172.13.10.05.0-100
Ryan McDonagh04152.12.00.05.7-100
Kevin Connauton01212.62.20.06.4-100
Ryan Ellis06171.92.60.07.4-100
Oliver Ekman-Larsson04192.42.50.07.5-100
Erik Johnson05212.33.30.05.0-100
Ryan Pulock01162.36.30.05.6-100
Jordan Eberle02152.12.60.013.3-100
Ryan Spooner01162.02.20.08.2-100
Alexander Edler05212.32.90.04.9-100
Duncan Keith05202.22.40.04.4-100
Oscar Klefbom03202.93.50.04.1-100
Nick Cousins02192.42.30.08.5-100
Nikolaj Ehlers03171.92.60.011.1-100
Sam Reinhart05151.72.30.011.8-100
Jaccob Slavin04232.61.60.04.2-100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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