Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 15 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
John Carlson 5 8 19 2.4 3.0 26.3 6.0 341
Morgan Rielly 4 10 27 3.0 2.3 14.8 4.4 235
Kris Letang 4 5 23 3.3 3.8 17.4 5.7 204
Elias Lindholm 6 3 21 2.3 2.1 28.6 9.4 202
Scott Laughton 4 1 18 2.0 2.1 22.2 8.3 167
Gabriel Landeskog 8 4 28 3.1 2.5 28.6 11.1 158
Viktor Arvidsson 6 3 21 2.3 3.4 28.6 11.2 156
John Klingberg 5 3 26 3.3 2.2 19.2 7.5 155
Kyle Palmieri 7 1 22 3.7 2.9 31.8 12.8 148
Phil Kessel 4 6 15 2.1 3.1 26.7 10.9 144
Patrice Bergeron 7 9 28 3.1 4.0 25.0 10.3 142
Joakim Nordstrom 2 0 15 1.9 1.3 13.3 6.0 121
Timo Meier 5 3 25 2.8 3.6 20.0 9.1 121
Mattias Ekholm 2 5 16 1.8 1.5 12.5 5.8 114
Carl Soderberg 3 3 16 1.8 1.9 18.8 8.7 114
Jonathan Drouin 3 4 15 1.9 3.1 20.0 9.7 106
Nathan MacKinnon 8 7 40 4.4 3.7 20.0 9.7 105
T.J. Oshie 5 4 18 2.3 2.3 27.8 13.7 103
Wayne Simmonds 6 1 22 2.4 2.7 27.3 13.4 103
Adam Lowry 4 1 17 1.9 1.6 23.5 11.7 102
Auston Matthews 10 6 31 3.4 3.7 32.3 16.9 91
David Pastrnak 10 5 38 4.2 3.5 26.3 13.9 89
Alex Ovechkin 8 5 34 4.3 4.4 23.5 12.5 89
Matt Dumba 3 2 20 2.5 2.0 15.0 8.1 84
Joonas Donskoi 3 4 17 1.9 2.0 17.6 9.8 81
Joe Pavelski 5 0 23 2.6 2.8 21.7 12.0 81
Jeff Skinner 5 2 26 2.9 3.4 19.2 10.8 78
Alexander Radulov 4 6 16 2.7 25.0 14.1 77
Brendan Gallagher 5 1 29 3.6 4.0 17.2 9.8 75
Kasperi Kapanen 4 4 19 2.1 3.1 21.1 12.1 74
Ryan Kesler 3 1 15 2.1 2.5 20.0 11.6 72
Colin Wilson 3 0 15 1.7 2.0 20.0 11.6 72
Brayden Point 5 3 19 2.7 2.5 26.3 15.4 71
Oskar Lindblom 2 0 15 1.7 5.6 13.3 7.8 70
Jordan Martinook 3 1 22 2.4 1.4 13.6 8.1 69
Bo Horvat 5 2 23 2.6 2.2 21.7 12.9 68
Filip Forsberg 6 4 28 3.1 3.0 21.4 12.8 67
Nick Foligno 3 2 15 1.9 2.3 20.0 12.1 65
Sean Couturier 3 0 18 2.0 2.6 16.7 10.5 58
Dylan Larkin 4 3 28 3.1 2.6 14.3 9.1 57
Christian Fischer 4 0 22 2.8 3.6 18.2 11.8 54
Connor McDavid 5 8 23 3.3 3.5 21.7 14.1 54
Micheal Ferland 6 3 36 4.0 1.8 16.7 10.9 53
Evgeny Kuznetsov 5 8 28 3.5 2.3 17.9 11.7 53
Logan Couture 5 5 26 2.9 3.1 19.2 12.6 52
Victor Hedman 2 2 19 2.7 2.5 10.5 6.9 52
Jesper Fast 1 4 16 1.8 1.1 6.3 12.6 -50
Brendan Perlini 1 1 15 1.9 2.1 6.7 13.6 -51
Patrik Laine 3 2 36 4.0 3.0 8.3 17.3 -52
Patrick Marleau 1 4 16 1.8 2.5 6.3 13.3 -53
Nick Schmaltz 1 5 15 1.7 1.6 6.7 14.1 -53
Mikael Backlund 1 5 24 2.7 2.3 4.2 8.8 -53
Kyle Okposo 1 4 21 2.3 2.6 4.8 10.3 -54
James Neal 1 1 18 2.0 3.3 5.6 12.0 -54
Andrew Cogliano 1 3 21 2.1 2.0 4.8 10.7 -55
Matt Duchene 1 7 18 2.3 2.5 5.6 12.3 -55
Vladimir Tarasenko 2 4 35 4.4 3.7 5.7 12.9 -56
Taylor Hall 1 7 21 3.5 3.7 4.8 10.8 -56
Gustav Nyquist 1 6 21 2.3 2.3 4.8 11.3 -58
Anthony Mantha 1 2 20 2.2 2.7 5.0 12.2 -59
Max Pacioretty 1 0 23 2.9 3.7 4.3 11.0 -60
Nikolay Goldobin 1 2 17 1.9 2.8 5.9 14.8 -60
Justin Williams 1 7 26 2.9 2.3 3.8 9.5 -60
Boone Jenner 1 0 26 3.3 2.7 3.8 10.1 -62
Steven Stamkos 1 2 21 3.0 4.1 4.8 16.5 -71
Alexander Kerfoot 1 5 17 1.9 1.1 5.9 20.4 -71
Cam Fowler 0 4 16 1.6 2.2 0.0 5.8 -100
Michael Grabner 0 1 15 1.9 2.0 0.0 12.8 -100
Shea Theodore 0 1 21 2.6 3.7 0.0 4.3 -100
Kevin Shattenkirk 0 2 18 2.3 2.7 0.0 6.4 -100
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 0 3 22 2.4 2.1 0.0 5.0 -100
Markus Nutivaara 0 5 17 2.1 1.5 0.0 5.6 -100
Derek Stepan 0 4 24 3.0 2.7 0.0 9.9 -100
Aaron Ekblad 0 1 16 2.3 2.8 0.0 6.8 -100
Pat Maroon 0 5 16 2.0 2.0 0.0 11.6 -100
Richard Panik 0 1 18 2.6 2.4 0.0 11.6 -100
Erik Karlsson 0 5 24 2.7 3.1 0.0 6.7 -100
Matt Calvert 0 1 19 2.1 1.8 0.0 11.4 -100
John Moore 0 1 16 1.8 1.8 0.0 4.9 -100
Evan Rodrigues 0 4 16 1.8 3.2 0.0 7.2 -100
Nazem Kadri 0 4 16 1.8 3.1 0.0 11.8 -100
Dougie Hamilton 0 3 39 4.3 2.8 0.0 5.8 -100
William Carrier 0 0 17 2.1 3.1 0.0 5.0 -100
Ryan McDonagh 0 4 15 2.1 2.0 0.0 5.7 -100
Kevin Connauton 0 1 21 2.6 2.2 0.0 6.4 -100
Ryan Ellis 0 6 17 1.9 2.6 0.0 7.4 -100
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 0 4 19 2.4 2.5 0.0 7.5 -100
Erik Johnson 0 5 21 2.3 3.3 0.0 5.0 -100
Ryan Pulock 0 1 16 2.3 6.3 0.0 5.6 -100
Jordan Eberle 0 2 15 2.1 2.6 0.0 13.3 -100
Ryan Spooner 0 1 16 2.0 2.2 0.0 8.2 -100
Alexander Edler 0 5 21 2.3 2.9 0.0 4.9 -100
Duncan Keith 0 5 20 2.2 2.4 0.0 4.4 -100
Oscar Klefbom 0 3 20 2.9 3.5 0.0 4.1 -100
Nick Cousins 0 2 19 2.4 2.3 0.0 8.5 -100
Nikolaj Ehlers 0 3 17 1.9 2.6 0.0 11.1 -100
Sam Reinhart 0 5 15 1.7 2.3 0.0 11.8 -100
Jaccob Slavin 0 4 23 2.6 1.6 0.0 4.2 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage