Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 15 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Carlson | 5 | 8 | 19 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 26.3 | 6.0 | 341 |
Morgan Rielly | 4 | 10 | 27 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 14.8 | 4.4 | 235 |
Kris Letang | 4 | 5 | 23 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 17.4 | 5.7 | 204 |
Elias Lindholm | 6 | 3 | 21 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 28.6 | 9.4 | 202 |
Scott Laughton | 4 | 1 | 18 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 22.2 | 8.3 | 167 |
Gabriel Landeskog | 8 | 4 | 28 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 28.6 | 11.1 | 158 |
Viktor Arvidsson | 6 | 3 | 21 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 28.6 | 11.2 | 156 |
John Klingberg | 5 | 3 | 26 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 19.2 | 7.5 | 155 |
Kyle Palmieri | 7 | 1 | 22 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 31.8 | 12.8 | 148 |
Phil Kessel | 4 | 6 | 15 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 26.7 | 10.9 | 144 |
Patrice Bergeron | 7 | 9 | 28 | 3.1 | 4.0 | 25.0 | 10.3 | 142 |
Joakim Nordstrom | 2 | 0 | 15 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 13.3 | 6.0 | 121 |
Timo Meier | 5 | 3 | 25 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 20.0 | 9.1 | 121 |
Mattias Ekholm | 2 | 5 | 16 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 12.5 | 5.8 | 114 |
Carl Soderberg | 3 | 3 | 16 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 18.8 | 8.7 | 114 |
Jonathan Drouin | 3 | 4 | 15 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 20.0 | 9.7 | 106 |
Nathan MacKinnon | 8 | 7 | 40 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 20.0 | 9.7 | 105 |
T.J. Oshie | 5 | 4 | 18 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 27.8 | 13.7 | 103 |
Wayne Simmonds | 6 | 1 | 22 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 27.3 | 13.4 | 103 |
Adam Lowry | 4 | 1 | 17 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 23.5 | 11.7 | 102 |
Auston Matthews | 10 | 6 | 31 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 32.3 | 16.9 | 91 |
David Pastrnak | 10 | 5 | 38 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 26.3 | 13.9 | 89 |
Alex Ovechkin | 8 | 5 | 34 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 23.5 | 12.5 | 89 |
Matt Dumba | 3 | 2 | 20 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 8.1 | 84 |
Joonas Donskoi | 3 | 4 | 17 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 17.6 | 9.8 | 81 |
Joe Pavelski | 5 | 0 | 23 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 21.7 | 12.0 | 81 |
Jeff Skinner | 5 | 2 | 26 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 19.2 | 10.8 | 78 |
Alexander Radulov | 4 | 6 | 16 | 2.7 | 25.0 | 14.1 | 77 | |
Brendan Gallagher | 5 | 1 | 29 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 17.2 | 9.8 | 75 |
Kasperi Kapanen | 4 | 4 | 19 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 21.1 | 12.1 | 74 |
Ryan Kesler | 3 | 1 | 15 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 20.0 | 11.6 | 72 |
Colin Wilson | 3 | 0 | 15 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 11.6 | 72 |
Brayden Point | 5 | 3 | 19 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 26.3 | 15.4 | 71 |
Oskar Lindblom | 2 | 0 | 15 | 1.7 | 5.6 | 13.3 | 7.8 | 70 |
Jordan Martinook | 3 | 1 | 22 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 13.6 | 8.1 | 69 |
Bo Horvat | 5 | 2 | 23 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 21.7 | 12.9 | 68 |
Filip Forsberg | 6 | 4 | 28 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 21.4 | 12.8 | 67 |
Nick Foligno | 3 | 2 | 15 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 20.0 | 12.1 | 65 |
Sean Couturier | 3 | 0 | 18 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 16.7 | 10.5 | 58 |
Dylan Larkin | 4 | 3 | 28 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 14.3 | 9.1 | 57 |
Christian Fischer | 4 | 0 | 22 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 18.2 | 11.8 | 54 |
Connor McDavid | 5 | 8 | 23 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 21.7 | 14.1 | 54 |
Micheal Ferland | 6 | 3 | 36 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 16.7 | 10.9 | 53 |
Evgeny Kuznetsov | 5 | 8 | 28 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 17.9 | 11.7 | 53 |
Logan Couture | 5 | 5 | 26 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 19.2 | 12.6 | 52 |
Victor Hedman | 2 | 2 | 19 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 10.5 | 6.9 | 52 |
Jesper Fast | 1 | 4 | 16 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6.3 | 12.6 | -50 |
Brendan Perlini | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 6.7 | 13.6 | -51 |
Patrik Laine | 3 | 2 | 36 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 8.3 | 17.3 | -52 |
Patrick Marleau | 1 | 4 | 16 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 6.3 | 13.3 | -53 |
Nick Schmaltz | 1 | 5 | 15 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 6.7 | 14.1 | -53 |
Mikael Backlund | 1 | 5 | 24 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 4.2 | 8.8 | -53 |
Kyle Okposo | 1 | 4 | 21 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 4.8 | 10.3 | -54 |
James Neal | 1 | 1 | 18 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 5.6 | 12.0 | -54 |
Andrew Cogliano | 1 | 3 | 21 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 10.7 | -55 |
Matt Duchene | 1 | 7 | 18 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 5.6 | 12.3 | -55 |
Vladimir Tarasenko | 2 | 4 | 35 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 5.7 | 12.9 | -56 |
Taylor Hall | 1 | 7 | 21 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 4.8 | 10.8 | -56 |
Gustav Nyquist | 1 | 6 | 21 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 4.8 | 11.3 | -58 |
Anthony Mantha | 1 | 2 | 20 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 5.0 | 12.2 | -59 |
Max Pacioretty | 1 | 0 | 23 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 11.0 | -60 |
Nikolay Goldobin | 1 | 2 | 17 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 5.9 | 14.8 | -60 |
Justin Williams | 1 | 7 | 26 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 9.5 | -60 |
Boone Jenner | 1 | 0 | 26 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 10.1 | -62 |
Steven Stamkos | 1 | 2 | 21 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 16.5 | -71 |
Alexander Kerfoot | 1 | 5 | 17 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5.9 | 20.4 | -71 |
Cam Fowler | 0 | 4 | 16 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 5.8 | -100 |
Michael Grabner | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 12.8 | -100 |
Shea Theodore | 0 | 1 | 21 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 2 | 18 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 6.4 | -100 |
Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 0 | 3 | 22 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
Markus Nutivaara | 0 | 5 | 17 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 5.6 | -100 |
Derek Stepan | 0 | 4 | 24 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 9.9 | -100 |
Aaron Ekblad | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 6.8 | -100 |
Pat Maroon | 0 | 5 | 16 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 11.6 | -100 |
Richard Panik | 0 | 1 | 18 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 11.6 | -100 |
Erik Karlsson | 0 | 5 | 24 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 6.7 | -100 |
Matt Calvert | 0 | 1 | 19 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 11.4 | -100 |
John Moore | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
Evan Rodrigues | 0 | 4 | 16 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 7.2 | -100 |
Nazem Kadri | 0 | 4 | 16 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 11.8 | -100 |
Dougie Hamilton | 0 | 3 | 39 | 4.3 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.8 | -100 |
William Carrier | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
Ryan McDonagh | 0 | 4 | 15 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.7 | -100 |
Kevin Connauton | 0 | 1 | 21 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 6.4 | -100 |
Ryan Ellis | 0 | 6 | 17 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 7.4 | -100 |
Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 0 | 4 | 19 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 7.5 | -100 |
Erik Johnson | 0 | 5 | 21 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
Ryan Pulock | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2.3 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 5.6 | -100 |
Jordan Eberle | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 13.3 | -100 |
Ryan Spooner | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 8.2 | -100 |
Alexander Edler | 0 | 5 | 21 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
Duncan Keith | 0 | 5 | 20 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
Oscar Klefbom | 0 | 3 | 20 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 4.1 | -100 |
Nick Cousins | 0 | 2 | 19 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 8.5 | -100 |
Nikolaj Ehlers | 0 | 3 | 17 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 11.1 | -100 |
Sam Reinhart | 0 | 5 | 15 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 11.8 | -100 |
Jaccob Slavin | 0 | 4 | 23 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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