Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Frolik | 7 | 0 | 26 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 26.9 | 8.1 | 234 |
| Morgan Rielly | 6 | 12 | 45 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 13.3 | 4.6 | 191 |
| Max Domi | 9 | 7 | 32 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 28.1 | 10.1 | 179 |
| John Carlson | 5 | 11 | 31 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 16.1 | 5.9 | 173 |
| Ryan Suter | 3 | 10 | 26 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 158 |
| Brian Boyle | 6 | 1 | 27 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 22.2 | 9.0 | 146 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 11 | 7 | 41 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 26.8 | 11.2 | 140 |
| Elias Lindholm | 9 | 8 | 40 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 22.5 | 9.6 | 134 |
| Timo Meier | 11 | 5 | 48 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 22.9 | 10.2 | 125 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 8 | 4 | 32 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 25.0 | 11.3 | 121 |
| Jake Virtanen | 5 | 2 | 31 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 16.1 | 8.2 | 96 |
| Brock Nelson | 7 | 2 | 29 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 24.1 | 12.8 | 88 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 10 | 6 | 42 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 23.8 | 12.9 | 85 |
| Keith Yandle | 3 | 9 | 35 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 8.6 | 4.6 | 85 |
| Jason Pominville | 8 | 6 | 41 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 19.5 | 10.6 | 83 |
| Carl Soderberg | 5 | 3 | 31 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 16.1 | 8.8 | 83 |
| Mikael Granlund | 6 | 7 | 32 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 18.8 | 10.5 | 79 |
| Phil Kessel | 7 | 9 | 36 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 19.4 | 10.9 | 78 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 11 | 10 | 64 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 17.2 | 9.8 | 76 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 11 | 6 | 50 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 22.0 | 12.5 | 76 |
| Kris Letang | 4 | 8 | 41 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 9.8 | 5.7 | 72 |
| T.J. Oshie | 7 | 5 | 30 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 23.3 | 13.7 | 70 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 9 | 7 | 37 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 24.3 | 14.4 | 69 |
| Evgeni Malkin | 7 | 13 | 30 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 23.3 | 13.9 | 68 |
| Brayden Point | 9 | 10 | 34 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 26.5 | 15.8 | 67 |
| Matt Niskanen | 2 | 5 | 27 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 7.4 | 4.4 | 67 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 9 | 3 | 54 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 16.7 | 10.0 | 67 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 7 | 12 | 39 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 17.9 | 10.8 | 66 |
| Jeff Skinner | 9 | 7 | 50 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 18.0 | 10.9 | 66 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 6 | 6 | 28 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 21.4 | 13.0 | 65 |
| John Klingberg | 5 | 8 | 42 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 11.9 | 7.4 | 62 |
| Filip Forsberg | 10 | 4 | 48 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 20.8 | 13.0 | 61 |
| Auston Matthews | 10 | 6 | 38 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 26.3 | 16.7 | 58 |
| Anthony Duclair | 6 | 3 | 29 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 20.7 | 13.2 | 56 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 6 | 12 | 33 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 18.2 | 11.8 | 53 |
| Clayton Keller | 5 | 5 | 28 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 17.9 | 11.7 | 53 |
| Matt Dumba | 5 | 3 | 40 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 12.5 | 8.2 | 52 |
| Blake Coleman | 4 | 1 | 30 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 13.3 | 8.8 | 52 |
| Cam Fowler | 3 | 6 | 33 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 9.1 | 6.0 | 52 |
| Tyler Myers | 1 | 1 | 28 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 7.2 | -51 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 1 | 10 | 36 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 5.6 | -51 |
| Darren Helm | 1 | 3 | 26 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 8.0 | -52 |
| Gustav Nyquist | 2 | 11 | 38 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 11.2 | -53 |
| Blake Wheeler | 2 | 14 | 42 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 4.8 | 10.7 | -55 |
| Ryan Strome | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 8.6 | -55 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 7 | 31 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 7.5 | -57 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 1 | 7 | 28 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 8.9 | -60 |
| Alexander Kerfoot | 2 | 8 | 25 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 8.0 | 19.8 | -60 |
| Tyler Seguin | 3 | 11 | 71 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 11.1 | -62 |
| Kevin Fiala | 1 | 4 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 4.0 | 10.6 | -62 |
| Miles Wood | 1 | 4 | 31 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 9.1 | -65 |
| Nick Cousins | 1 | 4 | 34 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 8.4 | -65 |
| Justin Faulk | 1 | 5 | 48 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 6.1 | -66 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 1 | 3 | 28 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 10.6 | -66 |
| Jesper Fast | 1 | 5 | 26 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 12.2 | -68 |
| Sam Reinhart | 1 | 7 | 30 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 11.7 | -72 |
| Nikolay Goldobin | 1 | 6 | 31 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 12.7 | -75 |
| Justin Williams | 1 | 9 | 46 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 9.5 | -77 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 3 | 26 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 6.3 | -100 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 0 | 4 | 25 | 1.7 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Colin Miller | 0 | 2 | 33 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Duncan Keith | 0 | 7 | 27 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
| Noah Hanifin | 0 | 4 | 29 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
| Tyson Barrie | 0 | 11 | 29 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 7.0 | -100 |
| Erik Karlsson | 0 | 7 | 42 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 6.7 | -100 |
| Tobias Rieder | 0 | 7 | 31 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 8.1 | -100 |
| Kevin Connauton | 0 | 3 | 28 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 6.3 | -100 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 0 | 5 | 30 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 0 | 2 | 26 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 6.7 | -100 |
| Oscar Klefbom | 0 | 8 | 49 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
| Erik Johnson | 0 | 6 | 29 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 0 | 6 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 11.7 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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