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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

November 7, 2018   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

PlayerGASS/GP3YS/GPSH%CSH%DEV
Michael Frolik70261.92.826.98.1234
Morgan Rielly612453.02.313.34.6191
Max Domi97322.12.128.110.1179
John Carlson511312.43.016.15.9173
Ryan Suter310261.92.111.54.5158
Brian Boyle61272.11.922.29.0146
Gabriel Landeskog117412.92.526.811.2140
Elias Lindholm98402.72.122.59.6134
Timo Meier115483.23.622.910.2125
Viktor Arvidsson84322.73.425.011.3121
Jake Virtanen52311.93.216.18.296
Brock Nelson72292.12.024.112.888
Kyle Palmieri106423.22.923.812.985
Keith Yandle39353.22.18.64.685
Jason Pominville86412.72.419.510.683
Carl Soderberg53312.21.916.18.883
Mikael Granlund67322.32.318.810.579
Phil Kessel79362.83.119.410.978
Nathan MacKinnon1110644.63.717.29.876
Alex Ovechkin116503.84.422.012.576
Kris Letang48413.43.89.85.772
T.J. Oshie75302.32.323.313.770
Leon Draisaitl97372.52.324.314.469
Evgeni Malkin713302.33.723.313.968
Brayden Point910342.32.526.515.867
Matt Niskanen25272.12.07.44.467
Brendan Gallagher93543.64.016.710.067
Ryan O'Reilly712393.02.817.910.866
Jeff Skinner97503.33.418.010.966
Kasperi Kapanen66281.93.121.413.065
John Klingberg58422.82.211.97.462
Filip Forsberg104483.43.020.813.061
Auston Matthews106383.53.726.316.758
Anthony Duclair63291.91.820.713.256
Matthew Tkachuk612332.22.618.211.853
Clayton Keller55282.24.817.911.753
Matt Dumba53402.92.012.58.252
Blake Coleman41302.32.813.38.852
Cam Fowler36332.12.29.16.052
Tyler Myers11282.02.73.67.2-51
Ryan McDonagh110362.42.02.85.6-51
Darren Helm13261.72.43.88.0-52
Gustav Nyquist211382.52.35.311.2-53
Blake Wheeler214423.03.14.810.7-55
Ryan Strome10261.72.03.88.6-55
Oliver Ekman-Larsson17312.42.53.27.5-57
Artturi Lehkonen17281.92.73.68.9-60
Alexander Kerfoot28251.81.18.019.8-60
Tyler Seguin311714.74.04.211.1-62
Kevin Fiala14251.82.74.010.6-62
Miles Wood14312.42.43.29.1-65
Nick Cousins14342.62.32.98.4-65
Justin Faulk15483.23.32.16.1-66
Andrew Cogliano13281.82.03.610.6-66
Jesper Fast15261.71.13.812.2-68
Sam Reinhart17302.02.33.311.7-72
Nikolay Goldobin16311.92.83.212.7-75
Justin Williams19463.12.32.29.5-77
Kevin Shattenkirk03261.92.70.06.3-100
Mikhail Sergachev04251.73.40.05.4-100
Colin Miller02332.22.30.05.4-100
Duncan Keith07271.82.40.04.4-100
Noah Hanifin04291.91.70.04.2-100
Tyson Barrie011292.12.70.07.0-100
Erik Karlsson07422.83.10.06.7-100
Tobias Rieder07312.12.00.08.1-100
Kevin Connauton03282.52.20.06.3-100
Marc-Edouard Vlasic05302.02.10.04.9-100
Aaron Ekblad02262.42.80.06.7-100
Oscar Klefbom08493.33.50.03.9-100
Erik Johnson06292.13.30.05.0-100
Nino Niederreiter06251.82.30.011.7-100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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