Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Michael Frolik 7 0 26 1.9 2.8 26.9 8.1 234
Morgan Rielly 6 12 45 3.0 2.3 13.3 4.6 191
Max Domi 9 7 32 2.1 2.1 28.1 10.1 179
John Carlson 5 11 31 2.4 3.0 16.1 5.9 173
Ryan Suter 3 10 26 1.9 2.1 11.5 4.5 158
Brian Boyle 6 1 27 2.1 1.9 22.2 9.0 146
Gabriel Landeskog 11 7 41 2.9 2.5 26.8 11.2 140
Elias Lindholm 9 8 40 2.7 2.1 22.5 9.6 134
Timo Meier 11 5 48 3.2 3.6 22.9 10.2 125
Viktor Arvidsson 8 4 32 2.7 3.4 25.0 11.3 121
Jake Virtanen 5 2 31 1.9 3.2 16.1 8.2 96
Brock Nelson 7 2 29 2.1 2.0 24.1 12.8 88
Kyle Palmieri 10 6 42 3.2 2.9 23.8 12.9 85
Keith Yandle 3 9 35 3.2 2.1 8.6 4.6 85
Jason Pominville 8 6 41 2.7 2.4 19.5 10.6 83
Carl Soderberg 5 3 31 2.2 1.9 16.1 8.8 83
Mikael Granlund 6 7 32 2.3 2.3 18.8 10.5 79
Phil Kessel 7 9 36 2.8 3.1 19.4 10.9 78
Nathan MacKinnon 11 10 64 4.6 3.7 17.2 9.8 76
Alex Ovechkin 11 6 50 3.8 4.4 22.0 12.5 76
Kris Letang 4 8 41 3.4 3.8 9.8 5.7 72
T.J. Oshie 7 5 30 2.3 2.3 23.3 13.7 70
Leon Draisaitl 9 7 37 2.5 2.3 24.3 14.4 69
Evgeni Malkin 7 13 30 2.3 3.7 23.3 13.9 68
Brayden Point 9 10 34 2.3 2.5 26.5 15.8 67
Matt Niskanen 2 5 27 2.1 2.0 7.4 4.4 67
Brendan Gallagher 9 3 54 3.6 4.0 16.7 10.0 67
Ryan O'Reilly 7 12 39 3.0 2.8 17.9 10.8 66
Jeff Skinner 9 7 50 3.3 3.4 18.0 10.9 66
Kasperi Kapanen 6 6 28 1.9 3.1 21.4 13.0 65
John Klingberg 5 8 42 2.8 2.2 11.9 7.4 62
Filip Forsberg 10 4 48 3.4 3.0 20.8 13.0 61
Auston Matthews 10 6 38 3.5 3.7 26.3 16.7 58
Anthony Duclair 6 3 29 1.9 1.8 20.7 13.2 56
Matthew Tkachuk 6 12 33 2.2 2.6 18.2 11.8 53
Clayton Keller 5 5 28 2.2 4.8 17.9 11.7 53
Matt Dumba 5 3 40 2.9 2.0 12.5 8.2 52
Blake Coleman 4 1 30 2.3 2.8 13.3 8.8 52
Cam Fowler 3 6 33 2.1 2.2 9.1 6.0 52
Tyler Myers 1 1 28 2.0 2.7 3.6 7.2 -51
Ryan McDonagh 1 10 36 2.4 2.0 2.8 5.6 -51
Darren Helm 1 3 26 1.7 2.4 3.8 8.0 -52
Gustav Nyquist 2 11 38 2.5 2.3 5.3 11.2 -53
Blake Wheeler 2 14 42 3.0 3.1 4.8 10.7 -55
Ryan Strome 1 0 26 1.7 2.0 3.8 8.6 -55
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 1 7 31 2.4 2.5 3.2 7.5 -57
Artturi Lehkonen 1 7 28 1.9 2.7 3.6 8.9 -60
Alexander Kerfoot 2 8 25 1.8 1.1 8.0 19.8 -60
Tyler Seguin 3 11 71 4.7 4.0 4.2 11.1 -62
Kevin Fiala 1 4 25 1.8 2.7 4.0 10.6 -62
Miles Wood 1 4 31 2.4 2.4 3.2 9.1 -65
Nick Cousins 1 4 34 2.6 2.3 2.9 8.4 -65
Justin Faulk 1 5 48 3.2 3.3 2.1 6.1 -66
Andrew Cogliano 1 3 28 1.8 2.0 3.6 10.6 -66
Jesper Fast 1 5 26 1.7 1.1 3.8 12.2 -68
Sam Reinhart 1 7 30 2.0 2.3 3.3 11.7 -72
Nikolay Goldobin 1 6 31 1.9 2.8 3.2 12.7 -75
Justin Williams 1 9 46 3.1 2.3 2.2 9.5 -77
Kevin Shattenkirk 0 3 26 1.9 2.7 0.0 6.3 -100
Mikhail Sergachev 0 4 25 1.7 3.4 0.0 5.4 -100
Colin Miller 0 2 33 2.2 2.3 0.0 5.4 -100
Duncan Keith 0 7 27 1.8 2.4 0.0 4.4 -100
Noah Hanifin 0 4 29 1.9 1.7 0.0 4.2 -100
Tyson Barrie 0 11 29 2.1 2.7 0.0 7.0 -100
Erik Karlsson 0 7 42 2.8 3.1 0.0 6.7 -100
Tobias Rieder 0 7 31 2.1 2.0 0.0 8.1 -100
Kevin Connauton 0 3 28 2.5 2.2 0.0 6.3 -100
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 0 5 30 2.0 2.1 0.0 4.9 -100
Aaron Ekblad 0 2 26 2.4 2.8 0.0 6.7 -100
Oscar Klefbom 0 8 49 3.3 3.5 0.0 3.9 -100
Erik Johnson 0 6 29 2.1 3.3 0.0 5.0 -100
Nino Niederreiter 0 6 25 1.8 2.3 0.0 11.7 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage