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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

November 14, 2018   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments


Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Morgan Rielly815543.02.314.84.8211
Michael Frolik70331.92.821.28.0164
Max Domi1012382.12.126.310.2159
Mikael Granlund108372.12.327.010.9147
Ryan Suter310281.
Damon Severson39281.81.610.74.6135
Jakob Silfverberg55251.82.720.08.9124
Brian Boyle61302.01.920.09.0122
Gabriel Landeskog118452.62.524.411.2119
Pontus Aberg51251.
Elias Lindholm99452.
Viktor Arvidsson85342.63.423.511.3109
John Carlson513412.
Jeff Skinner137603.33.421.711.097
Jake Virtanen82462.
Carl Soderberg65352.11.917.18.992
Charles Hudon31261.72.811.56.287
Brad Richardson52331.
Jonas Brodin32281.
Brock Nelson85342.02.023.512.983
Timo Meier126663.53.618.210.082
Mattias Ekholm38281.61.510.75.981
Alex Pietrangelo34291.92.710.35.879
Ryan O'Reilly813422.82.819.010.975
Alexander Steen55281.92.317.910.274
Josh Bailey612311.81.819.411.174
Matt Niskanen36392.
Drake Caggiula60312.22.019.411.470
Jason Pominville87452.52.417.810.667
T.J. Oshie95392.32.323.113.867
Kyle Palmieri108472.92.921.312.866
Victor Hedman32262.42.511.57.066
Frank Vatrano51322.
Andrew Shaw52261.92.419.211.665
Nick Foligno65301.72.320.012.264
Zdeno Chara31291.
Alex Ovechkin128593.54.420.312.563
David Pastrnak167704.13.522.914.162
Jared Spurgeon37261.
Oskar Lindblom46261.45.615.49.759
Leon Draisaitl119482.72.322.914.459
John Klingberg58432.
Nolan Patrick54271.82.018.511.758
Auston Matthews106383.53.726.316.758
Phil Kessel811472.
Keith Yandle312422.
Sean Couturier75432.42.616.310.753
Ryan Hartman54321.82.115.610.253
Nazem Kadri76382.13.118.412.152
Filip Forsberg126613.43.019.713.051
Dylan Larkin711502.82.614.09.351
Ryan Dzingel95392.41.923.115.351
Patrice Bergeron916583.44.015.510.351
Brendan Gallagher93603.
Nathan MacKinnon1113754.43.714.79.751
Matthew Tkachuk712392.22.617.911.950
Anthony Duclair73351.91.820.013.350
Kevin Shattenkirk14321.
Phillip Danault18261.
Mark Giordano214573.
Ryan McDonagh111382.
Brendan Perlini23331.
Chris Wagner11261.
Max Pacioretty20402.
Carl Hagelin12281.
Rickard Rakell310542.82.95.613.0-57
Gustav Nyquist213422.32.34.811.2-57
Tyler Myers11322.
Darren Helm15301.
Aaron Ekblad12352.
Nikolay Goldobin28371.92.85.413.0-58
Sami Vatanen16442.
Zach Hyman17321.
Ryan Strome11301.
Tyson Barrie113372.
Matt Calvert13261.51.83.811.4-66
Artturi Lehkonen18351.
Andrew Cogliano14291.52.03.410.6-68
Anthony Beauvillier10261.62.03.812.0-68
Mattias Janmark11251.44.013.0-69
Nick Cousins14392.
Miles Wood14382.
Justin Faulk17553.
Jesper Fast16291.61.13.412.0-71
Nino Niederreiter17321.
Justin Williams110543.
Erik Karlsson08542.
Oscar Klefbom08543.
Noah Hanifin05311.
Mikhail Sergachev06291.
Kevin Connauton03342.
Tobias Rieder07331.
Ryan Ellis08281.
Ryan Carpenter02281.
Evan Rodrigues06312.
Marc-Edouard Vlasic05331.
Duncan Keith07301.
Colin Miller05392.
John Moore02251.


G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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