Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Morgan Rielly 8 15 54 3.0 2.3 14.8 4.8 211
Michael Frolik 7 0 33 1.9 2.8 21.2 8.0 164
Max Domi 10 12 38 2.1 2.1 26.3 10.2 159
Mikael Granlund 10 8 37 2.1 2.3 27.0 10.9 147
Ryan Suter 3 10 28 1.6 2.1 10.7 4.5 140
Damon Severson 3 9 28 1.8 1.6 10.7 4.6 135
Jakob Silfverberg 5 5 25 1.8 2.7 20.0 8.9 124
Brian Boyle 6 1 30 2.0 1.9 20.0 9.0 122
Gabriel Landeskog 11 8 45 2.6 2.5 24.4 11.2 119
Pontus Aberg 5 1 25 1.9 2.0 20.0 9.3 114
Elias Lindholm 9 9 45 2.5 2.1 20.0 9.5 110
Viktor Arvidsson 8 5 34 2.6 3.4 23.5 11.3 109
John Carlson 5 13 41 2.6 3.0 12.2 5.9 108
Jeff Skinner 13 7 60 3.3 3.4 21.7 11.0 97
Jake Virtanen 8 2 46 2.3 3.2 17.4 8.8 97
Carl Soderberg 6 5 35 2.1 1.9 17.1 8.9 92
Charles Hudon 3 1 26 1.7 2.8 11.5 6.2 87
Brad Richardson 5 2 33 1.9 2.0 15.2 8.1 86
Jonas Brodin 3 2 28 1.6 1.2 10.7 5.8 86
Brock Nelson 8 5 34 2.0 2.0 23.5 12.9 83
Timo Meier 12 6 66 3.5 3.6 18.2 10.0 82
Mattias Ekholm 3 8 28 1.6 1.5 10.7 5.9 81
Alex Pietrangelo 3 4 29 1.9 2.7 10.3 5.8 79
Ryan O'Reilly 8 13 42 2.8 2.8 19.0 10.9 75
Alexander Steen 5 5 28 1.9 2.3 17.9 10.2 74
Josh Bailey 6 12 31 1.8 1.8 19.4 11.1 74
Matt Niskanen 3 6 39 2.3 2.0 7.7 4.5 73
Drake Caggiula 6 0 31 2.2 2.0 19.4 11.4 70
Jason Pominville 8 7 45 2.5 2.4 17.8 10.6 67
T.J. Oshie 9 5 39 2.3 2.3 23.1 13.8 67
Kyle Palmieri 10 8 47 2.9 2.9 21.3 12.8 66
Victor Hedman 3 2 26 2.4 2.5 11.5 7.0 66
Frank Vatrano 5 1 32 2.3 4.2 15.6 9.4 66
Andrew Shaw 5 2 26 1.9 2.4 19.2 11.6 65
Nick Foligno 6 5 30 1.7 2.3 20.0 12.2 64
Zdeno Chara 3 1 29 1.7 2.1 10.3 6.4 63
Alex Ovechkin 12 8 59 3.5 4.4 20.3 12.5 63
David Pastrnak 16 7 70 4.1 3.5 22.9 14.1 62
Jared Spurgeon 3 7 26 1.4 2.0 11.5 7.2 60
Oskar Lindblom 4 6 26 1.4 5.6 15.4 9.7 59
Leon Draisaitl 11 9 48 2.7 2.3 22.9 14.4 59
John Klingberg 5 8 43 2.7 2.2 11.6 7.3 58
Nolan Patrick 5 4 27 1.8 2.0 18.5 11.7 58
Auston Matthews 10 6 38 3.5 3.7 26.3 16.7 58
Phil Kessel 8 11 47 2.9 3.1 17.0 10.9 56
Keith Yandle 3 12 42 2.8 2.1 7.1 4.6 54
Sean Couturier 7 5 43 2.4 2.6 16.3 10.7 53
Ryan Hartman 5 4 32 1.8 2.1 15.6 10.2 53
Nazem Kadri 7 6 38 2.1 3.1 18.4 12.1 52
Filip Forsberg 12 6 61 3.4 3.0 19.7 13.0 51
Dylan Larkin 7 11 50 2.8 2.6 14.0 9.3 51
Ryan Dzingel 9 5 39 2.4 1.9 23.1 15.3 51
Patrice Bergeron 9 16 58 3.4 4.0 15.5 10.3 51
Brendan Gallagher 9 3 60 3.3 4.0 15.0 9.9 51
Nathan MacKinnon 11 13 75 4.4 3.7 14.7 9.7 51
Matthew Tkachuk 7 12 39 2.2 2.6 17.9 11.9 50
Anthony Duclair 7 3 35 1.9 1.8 20.0 13.3 50
Kevin Shattenkirk 1 4 32 1.9 2.7 3.1 6.4 -51
Phillip Danault 1 8 26 1.4 2.1 3.8 8.0 -52
Mark Giordano 2 14 57 3.2 2.4 3.5 7.3 -52
Ryan McDonagh 1 11 38 2.1 2.0 2.6 5.6 -53
Brendan Perlini 2 3 33 1.9 2.1 6.1 13.0 -53
Chris Wagner 1 1 26 1.6 1.7 3.8 8.1 -53
Max Pacioretty 2 0 40 2.9 3.7 5.0 10.9 -54
Carl Hagelin 1 2 28 1.8 2.4 3.6 8.1 -56
Rickard Rakell 3 10 54 2.8 2.9 5.6 13.0 -57
Gustav Nyquist 2 13 42 2.3 2.3 4.8 11.2 -57
Tyler Myers 1 1 32 2.0 2.7 3.1 7.2 -57
Darren Helm 1 5 30 1.7 2.4 3.3 8.0 -58
Aaron Ekblad 1 2 35 2.3 2.8 2.9 6.7 -58
Nikolay Goldobin 2 8 37 1.9 2.8 5.4 13.0 -58
Sami Vatanen 1 6 44 2.8 2.2 2.3 5.7 -60
Zach Hyman 1 7 32 1.8 2.6 3.1 8.0 -61
Ryan Strome 1 1 30 1.7 2.0 3.3 8.5 -61
Tyson Barrie 1 13 37 2.2 2.7 2.7 7.0 -62
Matt Calvert 1 3 26 1.5 1.8 3.8 11.4 -66
Artturi Lehkonen 1 8 35 1.9 2.7 2.9 8.7 -67
Andrew Cogliano 1 4 29 1.5 2.0 3.4 10.6 -68
Anthony Beauvillier 1 0 26 1.6 2.0 3.8 12.0 -68
Mattias Janmark 1 1 25 1.4 4.0 13.0 -69
Nick Cousins 1 4 39 2.3 2.3 2.6 8.2 -69
Miles Wood 1 4 38 2.4 2.4 2.6 8.9 -70
Justin Faulk 1 7 55 3.1 3.3 1.8 6.0 -70
Jesper Fast 1 6 29 1.6 1.1 3.4 12.0 -71
Nino Niederreiter 1 7 32 1.8 2.3 3.1 11.7 -73
Justin Williams 1 10 54 3.0 2.3 1.9 9.5 -80
Erik Karlsson 0 8 54 2.8 3.1 0.0 6.6 -100
Oscar Klefbom 0 8 54 3.0 3.5 0.0 3.9 -100
Noah Hanifin 0 5 31 1.7 1.7 0.0 4.2 -100
Mikhail Sergachev 0 6 29 1.6 3.4 0.0 5.2 -100
Kevin Connauton 0 3 34 2.3 2.2 0.0 6.2 -100
Tobias Rieder 0 7 33 1.8 2.0 0.0 8.1 -100
Ryan Ellis 0 8 28 1.6 2.6 0.0 7.3 -100
Ryan Carpenter 0 2 28 1.8 2.6 0.0 8.3 -100
Evan Rodrigues 0 6 31 2.1 3.2 0.0 6.6 -100
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 0 5 33 1.7 2.1 0.0 4.9 -100
Duncan Keith 0 7 30 1.7 2.4 0.0 4.3 -100
Colin Miller 0 5 39 2.2 2.3 0.0 5.3 -100
John Moore 0 2 25 1.5 1.8 0.0 4.9 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage