Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Rielly | 8 | 15 | 54 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 14.8 | 4.8 | 211 |
| Michael Frolik | 7 | 0 | 33 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 21.2 | 8.0 | 164 |
| Max Domi | 10 | 12 | 38 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 26.3 | 10.2 | 159 |
| Mikael Granlund | 10 | 8 | 37 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 27.0 | 10.9 | 147 |
| Ryan Suter | 3 | 10 | 28 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 10.7 | 4.5 | 140 |
| Damon Severson | 3 | 9 | 28 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 10.7 | 4.6 | 135 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 5 | 5 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 20.0 | 8.9 | 124 |
| Brian Boyle | 6 | 1 | 30 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 122 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 11 | 8 | 45 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 24.4 | 11.2 | 119 |
| Pontus Aberg | 5 | 1 | 25 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 9.3 | 114 |
| Elias Lindholm | 9 | 9 | 45 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 20.0 | 9.5 | 110 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 8 | 5 | 34 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 23.5 | 11.3 | 109 |
| John Carlson | 5 | 13 | 41 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 12.2 | 5.9 | 108 |
| Jeff Skinner | 13 | 7 | 60 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 21.7 | 11.0 | 97 |
| Jake Virtanen | 8 | 2 | 46 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 17.4 | 8.8 | 97 |
| Carl Soderberg | 6 | 5 | 35 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 17.1 | 8.9 | 92 |
| Charles Hudon | 3 | 1 | 26 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 11.5 | 6.2 | 87 |
| Brad Richardson | 5 | 2 | 33 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 15.2 | 8.1 | 86 |
| Jonas Brodin | 3 | 2 | 28 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 10.7 | 5.8 | 86 |
| Brock Nelson | 8 | 5 | 34 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 23.5 | 12.9 | 83 |
| Timo Meier | 12 | 6 | 66 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 18.2 | 10.0 | 82 |
| Mattias Ekholm | 3 | 8 | 28 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 10.7 | 5.9 | 81 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 3 | 4 | 29 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 10.3 | 5.8 | 79 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 8 | 13 | 42 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 19.0 | 10.9 | 75 |
| Alexander Steen | 5 | 5 | 28 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 17.9 | 10.2 | 74 |
| Josh Bailey | 6 | 12 | 31 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 19.4 | 11.1 | 74 |
| Matt Niskanen | 3 | 6 | 39 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 7.7 | 4.5 | 73 |
| Drake Caggiula | 6 | 0 | 31 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 19.4 | 11.4 | 70 |
| Jason Pominville | 8 | 7 | 45 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 17.8 | 10.6 | 67 |
| T.J. Oshie | 9 | 5 | 39 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 23.1 | 13.8 | 67 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 10 | 8 | 47 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 21.3 | 12.8 | 66 |
| Victor Hedman | 3 | 2 | 26 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 11.5 | 7.0 | 66 |
| Frank Vatrano | 5 | 1 | 32 | 2.3 | 4.2 | 15.6 | 9.4 | 66 |
| Andrew Shaw | 5 | 2 | 26 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 19.2 | 11.6 | 65 |
| Nick Foligno | 6 | 5 | 30 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 20.0 | 12.2 | 64 |
| Zdeno Chara | 3 | 1 | 29 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 10.3 | 6.4 | 63 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 12 | 8 | 59 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 20.3 | 12.5 | 63 |
| David Pastrnak | 16 | 7 | 70 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 22.9 | 14.1 | 62 |
| Jared Spurgeon | 3 | 7 | 26 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 11.5 | 7.2 | 60 |
| Oskar Lindblom | 4 | 6 | 26 | 1.4 | 5.6 | 15.4 | 9.7 | 59 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 11 | 9 | 48 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 22.9 | 14.4 | 59 |
| John Klingberg | 5 | 8 | 43 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 11.6 | 7.3 | 58 |
| Nolan Patrick | 5 | 4 | 27 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 18.5 | 11.7 | 58 |
| Auston Matthews | 10 | 6 | 38 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 26.3 | 16.7 | 58 |
| Phil Kessel | 8 | 11 | 47 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 17.0 | 10.9 | 56 |
| Keith Yandle | 3 | 12 | 42 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 54 |
| Sean Couturier | 7 | 5 | 43 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 16.3 | 10.7 | 53 |
| Ryan Hartman | 5 | 4 | 32 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 15.6 | 10.2 | 53 |
| Nazem Kadri | 7 | 6 | 38 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 18.4 | 12.1 | 52 |
| Filip Forsberg | 12 | 6 | 61 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 19.7 | 13.0 | 51 |
| Dylan Larkin | 7 | 11 | 50 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 14.0 | 9.3 | 51 |
| Ryan Dzingel | 9 | 5 | 39 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 23.1 | 15.3 | 51 |
| Patrice Bergeron | 9 | 16 | 58 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 15.5 | 10.3 | 51 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 9 | 3 | 60 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 9.9 | 51 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 11 | 13 | 75 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 14.7 | 9.7 | 51 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 7 | 12 | 39 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 17.9 | 11.9 | 50 |
| Anthony Duclair | 7 | 3 | 35 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 20.0 | 13.3 | 50 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 1 | 4 | 32 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 6.4 | -51 |
| Phillip Danault | 1 | 8 | 26 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 8.0 | -52 |
| Mark Giordano | 2 | 14 | 57 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 3.5 | 7.3 | -52 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 1 | 11 | 38 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 5.6 | -53 |
| Brendan Perlini | 2 | 3 | 33 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 6.1 | 13.0 | -53 |
| Chris Wagner | 1 | 1 | 26 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 8.1 | -53 |
| Max Pacioretty | 2 | 0 | 40 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 5.0 | 10.9 | -54 |
| Carl Hagelin | 1 | 2 | 28 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 8.1 | -56 |
| Rickard Rakell | 3 | 10 | 54 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 5.6 | 13.0 | -57 |
| Gustav Nyquist | 2 | 13 | 42 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 4.8 | 11.2 | -57 |
| Tyler Myers | 1 | 1 | 32 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 7.2 | -57 |
| Darren Helm | 1 | 5 | 30 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 8.0 | -58 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 1 | 2 | 35 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 6.7 | -58 |
| Nikolay Goldobin | 2 | 8 | 37 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 5.4 | 13.0 | -58 |
| Sami Vatanen | 1 | 6 | 44 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 5.7 | -60 |
| Zach Hyman | 1 | 7 | 32 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 8.0 | -61 |
| Ryan Strome | 1 | 1 | 30 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 8.5 | -61 |
| Tyson Barrie | 1 | 13 | 37 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 7.0 | -62 |
| Matt Calvert | 1 | 3 | 26 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 11.4 | -66 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 1 | 8 | 35 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 8.7 | -67 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 1 | 4 | 29 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 10.6 | -68 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 1 | 0 | 26 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 12.0 | -68 |
| Mattias Janmark | 1 | 1 | 25 | 1.4 | 4.0 | 13.0 | -69 | |
| Nick Cousins | 1 | 4 | 39 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 8.2 | -69 |
| Miles Wood | 1 | 4 | 38 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 8.9 | -70 |
| Justin Faulk | 1 | 7 | 55 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 6.0 | -70 |
| Jesper Fast | 1 | 6 | 29 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 12.0 | -71 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 1 | 7 | 32 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 11.7 | -73 |
| Justin Williams | 1 | 10 | 54 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 9.5 | -80 |
| Erik Karlsson | 0 | 8 | 54 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 6.6 | -100 |
| Oscar Klefbom | 0 | 8 | 54 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
| Noah Hanifin | 0 | 5 | 31 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 0 | 6 | 29 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 5.2 | -100 |
| Kevin Connauton | 0 | 3 | 34 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 6.2 | -100 |
| Tobias Rieder | 0 | 7 | 33 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 8.1 | -100 |
| Ryan Ellis | 0 | 8 | 28 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 7.3 | -100 |
| Ryan Carpenter | 0 | 2 | 28 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 8.3 | -100 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 0 | 6 | 31 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 6.6 | -100 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 0 | 5 | 33 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
| Duncan Keith | 0 | 7 | 30 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| Colin Miller | 0 | 5 | 39 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 5.3 | -100 |
| John Moore | 0 | 2 | 25 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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