Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Rielly | 9 | 17 | 61 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 14.8 | 4.8 | 204 |
| Elias Lindholm | 11 | 11 | 52 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 21.2 | 9.7 | 118 |
| Max Domi | 10 | 15 | 46 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 21.7 | 10.0 | 117 |
| Mikael Granlund | 10 | 9 | 45 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 22.2 | 10.8 | 106 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 13 | 9 | 59 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 22.0 | 11.2 | 97 |
| Carl Soderberg | 7 | 6 | 41 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 17.1 | 9.0 | 90 |
| Keith Yandle | 4 | 13 | 46 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 8.7 | 4.7 | 86 |
| Jeff Skinner | 14 | 8 | 69 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 20.3 | 11.0 | 84 |
| John Carlson | 5 | 16 | 47 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 10.6 | 5.8 | 82 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 11 | 14 | 48 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 22.9 | 12.7 | 80 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 10 | 13 | 51 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 19.6 | 10.9 | 79 |
| Joe Pavelski | 13 | 4 | 62 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 21.0 | 12.1 | 73 |
| Jason Pominville | 9 | 8 | 49 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 18.4 | 10.6 | 73 |
| Jake Virtanen | 8 | 2 | 54 | 2.3 | 3.2 | 14.8 | 8.6 | 72 |
| Timo Meier | 12 | 9 | 71 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 16.9 | 9.8 | 72 |
| Brock Nelson | 9 | 6 | 41 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 22.0 | 12.9 | 71 |
| Brayden Point | 14 | 12 | 52 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 26.9 | 16.4 | 64 |
| T.J. Oshie | 9 | 5 | 40 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 22.5 | 13.8 | 63 |
| Matt Duchene | 10 | 17 | 50 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 20.0 | 12.6 | 58 |
| John Klingberg | 5 | 8 | 43 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 11.6 | 7.3 | 58 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 13 | 13 | 57 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 22.8 | 14.5 | 57 |
| Phil Kessel | 10 | 14 | 58 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 17.2 | 11.0 | 57 |
| Chris Kreider | 11 | 7 | 54 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 20.4 | 13.3 | 53 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 13 | 16 | 87 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 14.9 | 9.8 | 53 |
| Kris Letang | 5 | 9 | 58 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 8.6 | 5.7 | 52 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 11 | 9 | 57 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 19.3 | 12.8 | 51 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 8 | 7 | 40 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 20.0 | 13.3 | 50 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 15 | 8 | 80 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 18.8 | 12.5 | 50 |
| Matt Niskanen | 3 | 6 | 45 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 6.7 | 4.4 | 50 |
| Erik Johnson | 1 | 6 | 43 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 5.0 | -53 |
| James Neal | 3 | 1 | 53 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 5.7 | 11.9 | -53 |
| Mark Giordano | 2 | 18 | 63 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 7.3 | -56 |
| Sam Reinhart | 2 | 12 | 40 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 5.0 | 11.7 | -57 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 1 | 12 | 41 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 5.6 | -57 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 2 | 8 | 41 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 4.9 | 11.7 | -58 |
| Sami Vatanen | 1 | 6 | 44 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 5.7 | -60 |
| Gustav Nyquist | 2 | 13 | 48 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 4.2 | 11.1 | -63 |
| Justin Williams | 2 | 10 | 60 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 9.5 | -65 |
| Rickard Rakell | 3 | 10 | 66 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 4.5 | 12.8 | -65 |
| Tyson Barrie | 1 | 16 | 45 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 7.0 | -68 |
| Nick Cousins | 1 | 4 | 42 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 8.1 | -71 |
| Justin Faulk | 1 | 7 | 60 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 6.0 | -72 |
| Miles Wood | 1 | 4 | 42 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 8.8 | -73 |
| Erik Karlsson | 1 | 11 | 64 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 6.7 | -77 |
| Colin Miller | 0 | 9 | 47 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 5.2 | -100 |
| Oscar Klefbom | 0 | 8 | 62 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 3.8 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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