Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Morgan Rielly 9 17 61 2.9 2.3 14.8 4.8 204
Elias Lindholm 11 11 52 2.5 2.1 21.2 9.7 118
Max Domi 10 15 46 2.2 2.1 21.7 10.0 117
Mikael Granlund 10 9 45 2.1 2.3 22.2 10.8 106
Gabriel Landeskog 13 9 59 3.0 2.5 22.0 11.2 97
Carl Soderberg 7 6 41 2.1 1.9 17.1 9.0 90
Keith Yandle 4 13 46 2.6 2.1 8.7 4.7 86
Jeff Skinner 14 8 69 3.3 3.4 20.3 11.0 84
John Carlson 5 16 47 2.5 3.0 10.6 5.8 82
Matthew Tkachuk 11 14 48 2.3 2.6 22.9 12.7 80
Ryan O'Reilly 10 13 51 2.7 2.8 19.6 10.9 79
Joe Pavelski 13 4 62 2.8 2.8 21.0 12.1 73
Jason Pominville 9 8 49 2.3 2.4 18.4 10.6 73
Jake Virtanen 8 2 54 2.3 3.2 14.8 8.6 72
Timo Meier 12 9 71 3.2 3.6 16.9 9.8 72
Brock Nelson 9 6 41 2.2 2.0 22.0 12.9 71
Brayden Point 14 12 52 2.5 2.5 26.9 16.4 64
T.J. Oshie 9 5 40 2.2 2.3 22.5 13.8 63
Matt Duchene 10 17 50 2.4 2.5 20.0 12.6 58
John Klingberg 5 8 43 2.7 2.2 11.6 7.3 58
Leon Draisaitl 13 13 57 2.7 2.3 22.8 14.5 57
Phil Kessel 10 14 58 3.1 3.1 17.2 11.0 57
Chris Kreider 11 7 54 2.6 2.6 20.4 13.3 53
Nathan MacKinnon 13 16 87 4.4 3.7 14.9 9.8 53
Kris Letang 5 9 58 3.2 3.8 8.6 5.7 52
Kyle Palmieri 11 9 57 3.0 2.9 19.3 12.8 51
Kasperi Kapanen 8 7 40 1.9 3.1 20.0 13.3 50
Alex Ovechkin 15 8 80 4.0 4.4 18.8 12.5 50
Matt Niskanen 3 6 45 2.3 2.0 6.7 4.4 50
Erik Johnson 1 6 43 2.2 3.3 2.3 5.0 -53
James Neal 3 1 53 2.5 3.3 5.7 11.9 -53
Mark Giordano 2 18 63 3.0 2.4 3.2 7.3 -56
Sam Reinhart 2 12 40 1.9 2.3 5.0 11.7 -57
Ryan McDonagh 1 12 41 2.0 2.0 2.4 5.6 -57
Nino Niederreiter 2 8 41 2.0 2.3 4.9 11.7 -58
Sami Vatanen 1 6 44 2.6 2.2 2.3 5.7 -60
Gustav Nyquist 2 13 48 2.4 2.3 4.2 11.1 -63
Justin Williams 2 10 60 3.0 2.3 3.3 9.5 -65
Rickard Rakell 3 10 66 3.0 2.9 4.5 12.8 -65
Tyson Barrie 1 16 45 2.3 2.7 2.2 7.0 -68
Nick Cousins 1 4 42 2.2 2.3 2.4 8.1 -71
Justin Faulk 1 7 60 3.0 3.3 1.7 6.0 -72
Miles Wood 1 4 42 2.2 2.4 2.4 8.8 -73
Erik Karlsson 1 11 64 2.9 3.1 1.6 6.7 -77
Colin Miller 0 9 47 2.1 2.3 0.0 5.2 -100
Oscar Klefbom 0 8 62 3.0 3.5 0.0 3.8 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage