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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

November 21, 2018   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

PlayerGASS/GP3YS/GPSH%CSH%DEV
Morgan Rielly917612.92.314.84.8204
Elias Lindholm1111522.52.121.29.7118
Max Domi1015462.22.121.710.0117
Mikael Granlund109452.12.322.210.8106
Gabriel Landeskog139593.02.522.011.297
Carl Soderberg76412.11.917.19.090
Keith Yandle413462.62.18.74.786
Jeff Skinner148693.33.420.311.084
John Carlson516472.53.010.65.882
Matthew Tkachuk1114482.32.622.912.780
Ryan O'Reilly1013512.72.819.610.979
Joe Pavelski134622.82.821.012.173
Jason Pominville98492.32.418.410.673
Jake Virtanen82542.33.214.88.672
Timo Meier129713.23.616.99.872
Brock Nelson96412.22.022.012.971
Brayden Point1412522.52.526.916.464
T.J. Oshie95402.22.322.513.863
Matt Duchene1017502.42.520.012.658
John Klingberg58432.72.211.67.358
Leon Draisaitl1313572.72.322.814.557
Phil Kessel1014583.13.117.211.057
Chris Kreider117542.62.620.413.353
Nathan MacKinnon1316874.43.714.99.853
Kris Letang59583.23.88.65.752
Kyle Palmieri119573.02.919.312.851
Kasperi Kapanen87401.93.120.013.350
Alex Ovechkin158804.04.418.812.550
Matt Niskanen36452.32.06.74.450
Erik Johnson16432.23.32.35.0-53
James Neal31532.53.35.711.9-53
Mark Giordano218633.02.43.27.3-56
Sam Reinhart212401.92.35.011.7-57
Ryan McDonagh112412.02.02.45.6-57
Nino Niederreiter28412.02.34.911.7-58
Sami Vatanen16442.62.22.35.7-60
Gustav Nyquist213482.42.34.211.1-63
Justin Williams210603.02.33.39.5-65
Rickard Rakell310663.02.94.512.8-65
Tyson Barrie116452.32.72.27.0-68
Nick Cousins14422.22.32.48.1-71
Justin Faulk17603.03.31.76.0-72
Miles Wood14422.22.42.48.8-73
Erik Karlsson111642.93.11.66.7-77
Colin Miller09472.12.30.05.2-100
Oscar Klefbom08623.03.50.03.8-100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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