Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Morgan Rielly 10 23 83 2.7 2.3 12.0 4.8 149
Cody Eakin 11 8 44 1.5 1.6 25.0 11.4 120
Cody Ceci 4 5 42 1.5 1.8 9.5 4.4 115
Ryan Suter 4 19 43 1.4 2.1 9.3 4.5 107
Brian Boyle 8 2 43 1.8 1.9 18.6 9.1 105
Jeff Skinner 21 10 91 2.9 3.4 23.1 11.3 105
Brad Richardson 8 4 49 1.7 2.0 16.3 8.3 97
Elias Lindholm 16 18 83 2.7 2.1 19.3 10.0 93
Gabriel Landeskog 19 19 88 2.8 2.5 21.6 11.4 90
Max Domi 14 17 72 2.3 2.1 19.4 10.3 89
Joe Pavelski 20 7 89 2.8 2.8 22.5 12.3 83
Kyle Clifford 5 0 41 1.5 2.1 12.2 6.7 82
Tyler Bertuzzi 9 7 41 1.4 3.0 22.0 12.6 74
David Perron 10 8 47 1.7 2.1 21.3 12.3 73
T.J. Oshie 10 5 42 2.2 2.3 23.8 13.8 72
Jakob Silfverberg 8 6 52 1.9 2.7 15.4 9.0 71
Alex Ovechkin 25 14 116 3.9 4.4 21.6 12.6 71
Pontus Aberg 10 6 53 2.0 2.0 18.9 11.1 70
Carl Soderberg 10 11 65 2.1 1.9 15.4 9.1 69
Damon Severson 4 14 53 1.8 1.6 7.5 4.5 67
Timo Meier 16 14 96 3.3 3.6 16.7 10.2 63
Auston Matthews 16 11 58 3.4 3.7 27.6 17.2 61
Matt Niskanen 4 10 56 1.9 2.0 7.1 4.5 60
Patric Hornqvist 12 7 77 3.2 3.6 15.6 9.8 58
John Klingberg 5 8 43 2.7 2.2 11.6 7.3 58
Lawson Crouse 6 1 45 1.6 2.3 13.3 8.5 58
Matthew Tkachuk 13 20 66 2.1 2.6 19.7 12.6 56
Jake Virtanen 10 5 74 2.2 3.2 13.5 8.7 56
Mikael Granlund 11 20 66 2.2 2.3 16.7 10.7 56
Alex Tuch 10 12 63 2.6 4.2 15.9 10.3 54
Brandon Tanev 6 6 44 1.5 1.7 13.6 8.8 54
Matt Dumba 12 9 91 3.0 2.0 13.2 8.6 53
Matt Duchene 12 22 62 2.1 2.5 19.4 12.7 53
Nathan MacKinnon 20 27 132 4.3 3.7 15.2 10.0 52
Esa Lindell 5 8 53 1.8 1.6 9.4 6.2 52
Jeff Petry 5 17 63 2.0 2.4 7.9 5.3 51
Jakub Vrana 9 9 52 1.7 3.1 17.3 11.5 50
David Savard 1 6 42 1.4 2.1 2.4 5.0 -53
Mathew Barzal 3 20 59 2.0 4.0 5.1 10.9 -53
Rickard Rakell 5 15 87 2.9 2.9 5.7 12.7 -55
Brock McGinn 2 5 52 1.8 2.0 3.8 9.0 -57
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 14 65 2.2 2.5 3.1 7.4 -59
John Moore 1 4 50 1.8 1.8 2.0 4.8 -59
Andrew Cogliano 2 5 46 1.4 2.0 4.3 10.6 -59
Tyler Bozak 3 8 58 2.0 2.1 5.2 13.4 -61
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 1 6 54 1.7 2.1 1.9 4.9 -62
Mattias Janmark 2 7 42 1.4 4.8 12.6 -62
Miles Wood 2 5 65 2.2 2.4 3.1 8.5 -64
James Neal 3 3 73 2.4 3.3 4.1 11.8 -65
Brendan Perlini 2 4 46 1.6 2.1 4.3 12.4 -65
Evan Rodrigues 1 8 49 2.0 3.2 2.0 6.5 -69
Kevin Shattenkirk 1 7 54 1.9 2.7 1.9 6.3 -70
Erik Karlsson 2 18 106 3.3 3.1 1.9 6.6 -71
Ryan Carpenter 1 6 42 1.4 2.6 2.4 8.2 -71
Sami Vatanen 1 11 63 2.4 2.2 1.6 5.6 -72
Bryan Rust 1 6 42 1.4 2.6 2.4 9.0 -74
Justin Faulk 1 7 88 3.0 3.3 1.1 5.9 -81
Duncan Keith 0 13 58 1.8 2.4 0.0 4.3 -100
Mikhail Sergachev 0 11 54 1.7 3.4 0.0 4.6 -100
Kevin Connauton 0 4 44 1.7 2.2 0.0 6.1 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage