Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Rielly | 10 | 23 | 83 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 12.0 | 4.8 | 149 |
| Cody Eakin | 11 | 8 | 44 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 25.0 | 11.4 | 120 |
| Cody Ceci | 4 | 5 | 42 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 9.5 | 4.4 | 115 |
| Ryan Suter | 4 | 19 | 43 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 9.3 | 4.5 | 107 |
| Brian Boyle | 8 | 2 | 43 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 18.6 | 9.1 | 105 |
| Jeff Skinner | 21 | 10 | 91 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 23.1 | 11.3 | 105 |
| Brad Richardson | 8 | 4 | 49 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 16.3 | 8.3 | 97 |
| Elias Lindholm | 16 | 18 | 83 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 19.3 | 10.0 | 93 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 19 | 19 | 88 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 21.6 | 11.4 | 90 |
| Max Domi | 14 | 17 | 72 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 19.4 | 10.3 | 89 |
| Joe Pavelski | 20 | 7 | 89 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 22.5 | 12.3 | 83 |
| Kyle Clifford | 5 | 0 | 41 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 12.2 | 6.7 | 82 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 9 | 7 | 41 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 22.0 | 12.6 | 74 |
| David Perron | 10 | 8 | 47 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 21.3 | 12.3 | 73 |
| T.J. Oshie | 10 | 5 | 42 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 23.8 | 13.8 | 72 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 8 | 6 | 52 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 15.4 | 9.0 | 71 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 25 | 14 | 116 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 21.6 | 12.6 | 71 |
| Pontus Aberg | 10 | 6 | 53 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 18.9 | 11.1 | 70 |
| Carl Soderberg | 10 | 11 | 65 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 15.4 | 9.1 | 69 |
| Damon Severson | 4 | 14 | 53 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 67 |
| Timo Meier | 16 | 14 | 96 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 16.7 | 10.2 | 63 |
| Auston Matthews | 16 | 11 | 58 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 27.6 | 17.2 | 61 |
| Matt Niskanen | 4 | 10 | 56 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 7.1 | 4.5 | 60 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 12 | 7 | 77 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 15.6 | 9.8 | 58 |
| John Klingberg | 5 | 8 | 43 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 11.6 | 7.3 | 58 |
| Lawson Crouse | 6 | 1 | 45 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 13.3 | 8.5 | 58 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 13 | 20 | 66 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 19.7 | 12.6 | 56 |
| Jake Virtanen | 10 | 5 | 74 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 13.5 | 8.7 | 56 |
| Mikael Granlund | 11 | 20 | 66 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 16.7 | 10.7 | 56 |
| Alex Tuch | 10 | 12 | 63 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 15.9 | 10.3 | 54 |
| Brandon Tanev | 6 | 6 | 44 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 13.6 | 8.8 | 54 |
| Matt Dumba | 12 | 9 | 91 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 13.2 | 8.6 | 53 |
| Matt Duchene | 12 | 22 | 62 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 19.4 | 12.7 | 53 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 20 | 27 | 132 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 15.2 | 10.0 | 52 |
| Esa Lindell | 5 | 8 | 53 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 9.4 | 6.2 | 52 |
| Jeff Petry | 5 | 17 | 63 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 7.9 | 5.3 | 51 |
| Jakub Vrana | 9 | 9 | 52 | 1.7 | 3.1 | 17.3 | 11.5 | 50 |
| David Savard | 1 | 6 | 42 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 5.0 | -53 |
| Mathew Barzal | 3 | 20 | 59 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 10.9 | -53 |
| Rickard Rakell | 5 | 15 | 87 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 5.7 | 12.7 | -55 |
| Brock McGinn | 2 | 5 | 52 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 9.0 | -57 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 14 | 65 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 7.4 | -59 |
| John Moore | 1 | 4 | 50 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 4.8 | -59 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 2 | 5 | 46 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 10.6 | -59 |
| Tyler Bozak | 3 | 8 | 58 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 5.2 | 13.4 | -61 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 1 | 6 | 54 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 4.9 | -62 |
| Mattias Janmark | 2 | 7 | 42 | 1.4 | 4.8 | 12.6 | -62 | |
| Miles Wood | 2 | 5 | 65 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 8.5 | -64 |
| James Neal | 3 | 3 | 73 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 11.8 | -65 |
| Brendan Perlini | 2 | 4 | 46 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 4.3 | 12.4 | -65 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 1 | 8 | 49 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 6.5 | -69 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 1 | 7 | 54 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 6.3 | -70 |
| Erik Karlsson | 2 | 18 | 106 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 6.6 | -71 |
| Ryan Carpenter | 1 | 6 | 42 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 8.2 | -71 |
| Sami Vatanen | 1 | 11 | 63 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 5.6 | -72 |
| Bryan Rust | 1 | 6 | 42 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 9.0 | -74 |
| Justin Faulk | 1 | 7 | 88 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 5.9 | -81 |
| Duncan Keith | 0 | 13 | 58 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 0 | 11 | 54 | 1.7 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 4.6 | -100 |
| Kevin Connauton | 0 | 4 | 44 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 6.1 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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