Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Rielly | 11 | 25 | 90 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 12.2 | 4.9 | 148 |
| Alex Chiasson | 15 | 4 | 48 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 31.3 | 13.2 | 137 |
| Brian Boyle | 9 | 3 | 45 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 20.0 | 9.1 | 119 |
| Cody Eakin | 11 | 8 | 45 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 24.4 | 11.3 | 115 |
| Jeff Skinner | 25 | 12 | 107 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 23.4 | 11.4 | 106 |
| Cody Ceci | 4 | 5 | 46 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 8.7 | 4.4 | 98 |
| Travis Zajac | 10 | 9 | 47 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 21.3 | 11.0 | 94 |
| Scott Laughton | 7 | 5 | 42 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 16.7 | 8.7 | 92 |
| Joe Pavelski | 21 | 7 | 91 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 23.1 | 12.3 | 88 |
| Ryan Suter | 4 | 22 | 48 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 8.3 | 4.5 | 86 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 22 | 19 | 105 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 21.0 | 11.5 | 83 |
| Elias Lindholm | 17 | 20 | 93 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 18.3 | 10.0 | 83 |
| Kyle Clifford | 5 | 0 | 41 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 12.2 | 6.7 | 82 |
| Cedric Paquette | 8 | 2 | 40 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 20.0 | 11.1 | 79 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 29 | 14 | 129 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 22.5 | 12.7 | 78 |
| David Perron | 11 | 8 | 51 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 21.6 | 12.3 | 75 |
| Max Domi | 14 | 19 | 79 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 17.7 | 10.1 | 75 |
| Jeff Petry | 7 | 18 | 75 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 9.3 | 5.4 | 73 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 9 | 6 | 58 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 15.5 | 9.0 | 72 |
| Brad Richardson | 8 | 4 | 57 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 8.2 | 70 |
| Jonas Brodin | 4 | 5 | 42 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 9.5 | 5.8 | 64 |
| Pontus Aberg | 11 | 8 | 60 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 18.3 | 11.3 | 63 |
| Timo Meier | 18 | 15 | 107 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 16.8 | 10.4 | 61 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 9 | 9 | 47 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 19.1 | 12.0 | 59 |
| John Klingberg | 5 | 8 | 43 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 11.6 | 7.3 | 58 |
| Carl Soderberg | 10 | 12 | 70 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 14.3 | 9.0 | 58 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 12 | 7 | 77 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 15.6 | 9.8 | 58 |
| Lawson Crouse | 6 | 1 | 46 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 13.0 | 8.4 | 55 |
| Alex Tuch | 12 | 13 | 72 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 16.7 | 10.8 | 55 |
| Damon Severson | 4 | 14 | 58 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 54 |
| Matt Duchene | 12 | 22 | 62 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 19.4 | 12.7 | 53 |
| Auston Matthews | 17 | 12 | 65 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 26.2 | 17.1 | 53 |
| Esa Lindell | 6 | 9 | 62 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 9.7 | 6.3 | 53 |
| Mikael Granlund | 11 | 22 | 68 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 16.2 | 10.6 | 52 |
| Matt Niskanen | 4 | 10 | 59 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 52 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 2 | 8 | 60 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 6.7 | -50 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 5 | 8 | 95 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 10.6 | -50 |
| Sami Vatanen | 2 | 11 | 73 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 5.6 | -51 |
| Phillip Danault | 2 | 16 | 54 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 7.6 | -51 |
| Tyler Bozak | 4 | 10 | 62 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 6.5 | 13.4 | -52 |
| Blake Wheeler | 5 | 39 | 99 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 5.1 | 10.5 | -52 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 3 | 7 | 109 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 5.7 | -52 |
| Ryan Murray | 1 | 14 | 48 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 4.4 | -53 |
| Miles Wood | 3 | 5 | 75 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 8.5 | -53 |
| Brendan Perlini | 3 | 4 | 53 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 5.7 | 12.4 | -54 |
| Rickard Rakell | 5 | 15 | 87 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 5.7 | 12.7 | -55 |
| David Savard | 1 | 7 | 44 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 5.0 | -55 |
| David Backes | 3 | 5 | 58 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 5.2 | 11.7 | -56 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 1 | 3 | 44 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 5.5 | -58 |
| Brock McGinn | 2 | 5 | 55 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 8.9 | -59 |
| John Moore | 1 | 4 | 51 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 4.8 | -59 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 2 | 6 | 50 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 10.5 | -62 |
| Mattias Janmark | 2 | 8 | 42 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 12.6 | -62 | |
| Nick Leddy | 1 | 8 | 42 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 6.4 | -63 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 1 | 6 | 57 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4.9 | -64 |
| James Neal | 3 | 4 | 75 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 11.8 | -66 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 1 | 7 | 54 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 6.3 | -70 |
| Ryan Carpenter | 1 | 7 | 46 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 7.9 | -73 |
| Erik Karlsson | 2 | 21 | 122 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 6.5 | -75 |
| Justin Faulk | 1 | 9 | 94 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 5.9 | -82 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 0 | 12 | 62 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
| Duncan Keith | 0 | 16 | 65 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| Tobias Rieder | 0 | 7 | 42 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | -100 |
| Kevin Connauton | 0 | 4 | 48 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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