Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

Features

The latest fantasy hockey advice and analysis.

Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Morgan Rielly 11 25 90 2.6 2.3 12.2 4.9 148
Alex Chiasson 15 4 48 1.7 1.3 31.3 13.2 137
Brian Boyle 9 3 45 1.7 1.9 20.0 9.1 119
Cody Eakin 11 8 45 1.4 1.6 24.4 11.3 115
Jeff Skinner 25 12 107 3.1 3.4 23.4 11.4 106
Cody Ceci 4 5 46 1.5 1.8 8.7 4.4 98
Travis Zajac 10 9 47 1.5 1.7 21.3 11.0 94
Scott Laughton 7 5 42 1.3 2.1 16.7 8.7 92
Joe Pavelski 21 7 91 2.6 2.8 23.1 12.3 88
Ryan Suter 4 22 48 1.5 2.1 8.3 4.5 86
Gabriel Landeskog 22 19 105 3.1 2.5 21.0 11.5 83
Elias Lindholm 17 20 93 2.7 2.1 18.3 10.0 83
Kyle Clifford 5 0 41 1.5 2.1 12.2 6.7 82
Cedric Paquette 8 2 40 1.2 1.5 20.0 11.1 79
Alex Ovechkin 29 14 129 4.0 4.4 22.5 12.7 78
David Perron 11 8 51 1.6 2.1 21.6 12.3 75
Max Domi 14 19 79 2.3 2.1 17.7 10.1 75
Jeff Petry 7 18 75 2.2 2.4 9.3 5.4 73
Jakob Silfverberg 9 6 58 1.9 2.7 15.5 9.0 72
Brad Richardson 8 4 57 1.7 2.0 14.0 8.2 70
Jonas Brodin 4 5 42 1.3 1.2 9.5 5.8 64
Pontus Aberg 11 8 60 2.0 2.0 18.3 11.3 63
Timo Meier 18 15 107 3.3 3.6 16.8 10.4 61
Tyler Bertuzzi 9 9 47 1.4 3.0 19.1 12.0 59
John Klingberg 5 8 43 2.7 2.2 11.6 7.3 58
Carl Soderberg 10 12 70 2.1 1.9 14.3 9.0 58
Patric Hornqvist 12 7 77 3.2 3.6 15.6 9.8 58
Lawson Crouse 6 1 46 1.4 2.3 13.0 8.4 55
Alex Tuch 12 13 72 2.6 4.2 16.7 10.8 55
Damon Severson 4 14 58 1.8 1.6 6.9 4.5 54
Matt Duchene 12 22 62 2.1 2.5 19.4 12.7 53
Auston Matthews 17 12 65 3.3 3.7 26.2 17.1 53
Esa Lindell 6 9 62 1.8 1.6 9.7 6.3 53
Mikael Granlund 11 22 68 2.1 2.3 16.2 10.6 52
Matt Niskanen 4 10 59 1.8 2.0 6.8 4.5 52
Evan Rodrigues 2 8 60 2.1 3.2 3.3 6.7 -50
Tyler Toffoli 5 8 95 2.7 3.0 5.3 10.6 -50
Sami Vatanen 2 11 73 2.5 2.2 2.7 5.6 -51
Phillip Danault 2 16 54 1.6 2.1 3.7 7.6 -51
Tyler Bozak 4 10 62 1.9 2.1 6.5 13.4 -52
Blake Wheeler 5 39 99 2.9 3.1 5.1 10.5 -52
Dougie Hamilton 3 7 109 3.4 2.8 2.8 5.7 -52
Ryan Murray 1 14 48 1.5 1.3 2.1 4.4 -53
Miles Wood 3 5 75 2.3 2.4 4.0 8.5 -53
Brendan Perlini 3 4 53 1.6 2.1 5.7 12.4 -54
Rickard Rakell 5 15 87 2.9 2.9 5.7 12.7 -55
David Savard 1 7 44 1.3 2.1 2.3 5.0 -55
David Backes 3 5 58 2.0 2.8 5.2 11.7 -56
Joel Eriksson Ek 1 3 44 1.7 2.8 2.3 5.5 -58
Brock McGinn 2 5 55 1.7 2.0 3.6 8.9 -59
John Moore 1 4 51 1.6 1.8 2.0 4.8 -59
Andrew Cogliano 2 6 50 1.4 2.0 4.0 10.5 -62
Mattias Janmark 2 8 42 1.2 4.8 12.6 -62
Nick Leddy 1 8 42 1.3 1.7 2.4 6.4 -63
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 1 6 57 1.6 2.1 1.8 4.9 -64
James Neal 3 4 75 2.2 3.3 4.0 11.8 -66
Kevin Shattenkirk 1 7 54 1.9 2.7 1.9 6.3 -70
Ryan Carpenter 1 7 46 1.4 2.6 2.2 7.9 -73
Erik Karlsson 2 21 122 3.5 3.1 1.6 6.5 -75
Justin Faulk 1 9 94 2.9 3.3 1.1 5.9 -82
Mikhail Sergachev 0 12 62 1.8 3.4 0.0 4.4 -100
Duncan Keith 0 16 65 1.8 2.4 0.0 4.3 -100
Tobias Rieder 0 7 42 1.9 2.0 0.0 8.0 -100
Kevin Connauton 0 4 48 1.6 2.2 0.0 6.0 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage