Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Michael Frolik 11 6 54 1.8 2.8 20.4 8.1 150
Tom Wilson 13 9 59 2.2 1.3 22.0 9.3 138
Alex Chiasson 17 5 56 1.5 1.3 30.4 13.4 127
Morgan Rielly 13 34 122 2.7 2.3 10.7 5.0 114
Kyle Clifford 7 1 52 1.4 2.1 13.5 6.9 96
Casey Cizikas 11 8 54 1.4 1.4 20.4 10.6 93
Elias Lindholm 21 32 112 2.4 2.1 18.8 10.2 84
Viktor Arvidsson 17 7 79 3.3 3.4 21.5 11.8 82
Brian Boyle 12 5 72 1.8 1.9 16.7 9.2 81
Brad Richardson 11 5 73 1.8 2.0 15.1 8.4 79
Jeff Skinner 30 14 148 3.2 3.4 20.3 11.4 78
Joe Pavelski 26 14 122 2.5 2.8 21.3 12.3 73
Joonas Donskoi 14 11 73 1.5 2.0 19.2 11.1 72
Carl Soderberg 15 13 96 2.1 1.9 15.6 9.3 67
Cody Eakin 13 12 70 1.6 1.6 18.6 11.2 65
Jeff Petry 10 23 110 2.3 2.4 9.1 5.5 65
David Perron 17 17 84 1.9 2.1 20.2 12.4 63
Cody Ceci 5 7 71 1.7 1.8 7.0 4.4 61
Damon Severson 6 16 80 1.7 1.6 7.5 4.7 60
Gabriel Landeskog 28 24 153 3.3 2.5 18.3 11.5 59
Tomas Hertl 19 22 98 2.3 2.7 19.4 12.2 59
Patric Hornqvist 15 11 96 2.8 3.6 15.6 9.9 58
Matt Duchene 18 24 90 2.4 2.5 20.0 12.8 56
Nick Ritchie 6 13 46 1.4 2.3 13.0 8.6 52
Matthew Tkachuk 23 31 113 2.4 2.6 20.4 13.5 50
Andrew Cogliano 3 8 64 1.4 2.0 4.7 10.5 -55
David Backes 4 8 76 2.0 2.8 5.3 11.7 -55
Ty Rattie 2 6 48 1.7 13.4 4.2 9.3 -55
Brock McGinn 3 9 76 1.7 2.0 3.9 8.7 -55
Matt Benning 1 7 52 1.4 1.6 1.9 4.3 -55
Jack Johnson 1 10 44 1.0 1.5 2.3 5.1 -56
Ian Cole 1 9 52 1.1 1.3 1.9 4.4 -57
Kevin Shattenkirk 2 11 74 1.9 2.7 2.7 6.2 -57
Ryan Murray 1 21 57 1.3 1.3 1.8 4.3 -59
Olli Maatta 1 10 52 1.2 1.9 1.9 4.8 -60
Justin Faulk 3 14 131 2.8 3.3 2.3 5.8 -61
Mattias Janmark 3 12 66 1.4 4.5 11.9 -62
Deryk Engelland 1 5 59 1.4 1.3 1.7 4.5 -62
James Neal 4 6 98 2.1 3.3 4.1 11.7 -65
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 1 10 65 1.5 2.1 1.5 4.9 -69
Erik Karlsson 3 39 151 3.3 3.1 2.0 6.5 -69
Carl Hagelin 1 4 43 1.7 2.4 2.3 8.0 -71
Nick Leddy 1 15 56 1.2 1.7 1.8 6.3 -72
Duncan Keith 1 19 85 1.8 2.4 1.2 4.3 -73
Jaden Schwartz 3 16 87 2.7 3.3 3.4 12.7 -73
Riley Nash 1 4 40 0.9 1.6 2.5 9.4 -74
Oscar Lindberg 1 7 40 1.6 1.8 2.5 9.6 -74
Alexander Wennberg 1 18 46 1.0 1.5 2.2 8.3 -74
Noel Acciari 1 3 54 1.4 1.8 1.9 8.0 -77
Marcus Pettersson 0 13 40 0.8 2.7 0.0 1.8 -100
Nikita Zaitsev 0 3 42 0.9 1.3 0.0 4.5 -100
Dion Phaneuf 0 2 48 1.2 2.0 0.0 5.5 -100
Kevin Connauton 0 5 52 1.6 2.2 0.0 6.0 -100
Tobias Rieder 0 9 55 1.7 2.0 0.0 7.8 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage