Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Frolik | 11 | 6 | 54 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 20.4 | 8.1 | 150 |
| Tom Wilson | 13 | 9 | 59 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 22.0 | 9.3 | 138 |
| Alex Chiasson | 17 | 5 | 56 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 30.4 | 13.4 | 127 |
| Morgan Rielly | 13 | 34 | 122 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 10.7 | 5.0 | 114 |
| Kyle Clifford | 7 | 1 | 52 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 13.5 | 6.9 | 96 |
| Casey Cizikas | 11 | 8 | 54 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 20.4 | 10.6 | 93 |
| Elias Lindholm | 21 | 32 | 112 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 18.8 | 10.2 | 84 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 17 | 7 | 79 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 21.5 | 11.8 | 82 |
| Brian Boyle | 12 | 5 | 72 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 16.7 | 9.2 | 81 |
| Brad Richardson | 11 | 5 | 73 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 15.1 | 8.4 | 79 |
| Jeff Skinner | 30 | 14 | 148 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 20.3 | 11.4 | 78 |
| Joe Pavelski | 26 | 14 | 122 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 21.3 | 12.3 | 73 |
| Joonas Donskoi | 14 | 11 | 73 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 19.2 | 11.1 | 72 |
| Carl Soderberg | 15 | 13 | 96 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 15.6 | 9.3 | 67 |
| Cody Eakin | 13 | 12 | 70 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 18.6 | 11.2 | 65 |
| Jeff Petry | 10 | 23 | 110 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 9.1 | 5.5 | 65 |
| David Perron | 17 | 17 | 84 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 20.2 | 12.4 | 63 |
| Cody Ceci | 5 | 7 | 71 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 7.0 | 4.4 | 61 |
| Damon Severson | 6 | 16 | 80 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 60 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 28 | 24 | 153 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 18.3 | 11.5 | 59 |
| Tomas Hertl | 19 | 22 | 98 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 19.4 | 12.2 | 59 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 15 | 11 | 96 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 15.6 | 9.9 | 58 |
| Matt Duchene | 18 | 24 | 90 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 20.0 | 12.8 | 56 |
| Nick Ritchie | 6 | 13 | 46 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 13.0 | 8.6 | 52 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 23 | 31 | 113 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 20.4 | 13.5 | 50 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 3 | 8 | 64 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 10.5 | -55 |
| David Backes | 4 | 8 | 76 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 5.3 | 11.7 | -55 |
| Ty Rattie | 2 | 6 | 48 | 1.7 | 13.4 | 4.2 | 9.3 | -55 |
| Brock McGinn | 3 | 9 | 76 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 8.7 | -55 |
| Matt Benning | 1 | 7 | 52 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 4.3 | -55 |
| Jack Johnson | 1 | 10 | 44 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 5.1 | -56 |
| Ian Cole | 1 | 9 | 52 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4.4 | -57 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 2 | 11 | 74 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 6.2 | -57 |
| Ryan Murray | 1 | 21 | 57 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4.3 | -59 |
| Olli Maatta | 1 | 10 | 52 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4.8 | -60 |
| Justin Faulk | 3 | 14 | 131 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 5.8 | -61 |
| Mattias Janmark | 3 | 12 | 66 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 11.9 | -62 | |
| Deryk Engelland | 1 | 5 | 59 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4.5 | -62 |
| James Neal | 4 | 6 | 98 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 11.7 | -65 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 1 | 10 | 65 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4.9 | -69 |
| Erik Karlsson | 3 | 39 | 151 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 6.5 | -69 |
| Carl Hagelin | 1 | 4 | 43 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 8.0 | -71 |
| Nick Leddy | 1 | 15 | 56 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 6.3 | -72 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 19 | 85 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 4.3 | -73 |
| Jaden Schwartz | 3 | 16 | 87 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 12.7 | -73 |
| Riley Nash | 1 | 4 | 40 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 9.4 | -74 |
| Oscar Lindberg | 1 | 7 | 40 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 9.6 | -74 |
| Alexander Wennberg | 1 | 18 | 46 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 8.3 | -74 |
| Noel Acciari | 1 | 3 | 54 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 8.0 | -77 |
| Marcus Pettersson | 0 | 13 | 40 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | -100 |
| Nikita Zaitsev | 0 | 3 | 42 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| Dion Phaneuf | 0 | 2 | 48 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
| Kevin Connauton | 0 | 5 | 52 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -100 |
| Tobias Rieder | 0 | 9 | 55 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.8 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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