Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Morgan Rielly 15 42 154 2.6 2.3 9.7 5.0 94
Michael Frolik 13 8 86 2.0 2.8 15.1 8.1 86
Tom Wilson 15 13 88 2.1 1.3 17.0 9.1 86
Garnet Hathaway 7 3 47 0.9 2.0 14.9 8.1 84
Ron Hainsey 4 12 52 0.9 1.2 7.7 4.2 81
Casey Cizikas 15 10 79 1.5 1.4 19.0 10.8 75
Matt Niskanen 8 14 99 1.7 2.0 8.1 4.6 75
Brian Boyle 15 6 96 1.8 1.9 15.6 9.3 69
Elias Lindholm 25 43 145 2.5 2.1 17.2 10.3 68
Brad Richardson 11 5 79 1.8 2.0 13.9 8.3 67
Jeff Skinner 36 18 191 3.2 3.4 18.8 11.4 65
Viktor Arvidsson 26 8 129 3.4 3.4 20.2 12.2 65
Tomas Hertl 26 27 124 2.3 2.7 21.0 12.7 65
Joe Pavelski 32 23 156 2.6 2.8 20.5 12.4 65
Matt Duchene 27 31 126 2.5 2.5 21.4 13.1 64
Alex Chiasson 17 10 82 1.6 1.3 20.7 12.8 62
David Perron 17 18 85 1.9 2.1 20.0 12.4 61
Matt Martin 5 7 41 0.9 1.1 12.2 7.7 59
Damon Severson 8 21 105 1.8 1.6 7.6 4.8 57
Valtteri Filppula 12 11 57 1.0 1.2 21.1 13.6 55
Jakob Silfverberg 16 8 113 2.2 2.7 14.2 9.2 54
TJ Brodie 7 22 75 1.3 1.3 9.3 6.2 50
David Backes 5 9 86 1.8 2.8 5.8 11.7 -50
Niklas Kronwall 2 14 63 1.1 1.3 3.2 6.5 -51
William Nylander 3 9 62 2.0 3.1 4.8 10.3 -53
Andrew Cogliano 4 10 83 1.4 2.0 4.8 10.4 -54
Alexander Wennberg 2 21 55 0.9 1.5 3.6 8.3 -56
Drew Stafford 2 6 43 1.2 2.6 4.7 10.5 -56
Colin Miller 2 21 92 1.9 2.3 2.2 5.1 -57
Pat Maroon 4 12 83 1.6 2.0 4.8 11.1 -57
Jaden Schwartz 6 21 124 2.7 3.3 4.8 12.5 -61
Carl Hagelin 2 6 64 1.7 2.4 3.1 8.0 -61
Ian Cole 1 9 63 1.2 1.3 1.6 4.3 -63
Noel Acciari 2 4 68 1.3 1.8 2.9 8.0 -63
James Neal 5 10 122 2.2 3.3 4.1 11.6 -65
Jack Johnson 1 11 56 0.9 1.5 1.8 5.1 -65
Dion Phaneuf 1 3 54 1.1 2.0 1.9 5.5 -66
Ryan Murray 1 28 71 1.3 1.3 1.4 4.1 -66
Olli Maatta 1 12 65 1.2 1.9 1.5 4.7 -67
Kevin Shattenkirk 2 16 102 2.0 2.7 2.0 6.1 -68
Deryk Engelland 1 6 72 1.3 1.3 1.4 4.4 -69
Erik Karlsson 3 41 159 3.2 3.1 1.9 6.4 -71
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 1 11 71 1.4 2.1 1.4 4.9 -71
Kevin Connauton 1 6 68 1.6 2.2 1.5 6.0 -75
Nick Leddy 1 18 77 1.3 1.7 1.3 6.1 -79
Riley Nash 1 7 59 1.0 1.6 1.7 9.1 -82
Tobias Rieder 0 10 63 1.4 2.0 0.0 7.7 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage