Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Wilson | 18 | 15 | 97 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 18.6 | 9.5 | 95 |
| Morgan Rielly | 15 | 46 | 161 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 9.3 | 5.0 | 87 |
| Casey Cizikas | 17 | 10 | 85 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 20.0 | 11.1 | 81 |
| Ron Hainsey | 4 | 12 | 54 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 7.4 | 4.2 | 75 |
| Michael Frolik | 13 | 10 | 93 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 14.0 | 8.1 | 73 |
| Matt Niskanen | 8 | 14 | 101 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 7.9 | 4.6 | 72 |
| Joe Pavelski | 35 | 24 | 164 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 21.3 | 12.5 | 71 |
| Garnet Hathaway | 7 | 3 | 53 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 13.2 | 7.8 | 69 |
| Tomas Hertl | 28 | 28 | 131 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 21.4 | 12.8 | 67 |
| Brian Boyle | 15 | 6 | 99 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 15.2 | 9.2 | 64 |
| Brad Richardson | 12 | 5 | 88 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 13.6 | 8.4 | 63 |
| Matt Duchene | 28 | 32 | 132 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 21.2 | 13.1 | 62 |
| David Perron | 17 | 18 | 85 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 20.0 | 12.4 | 61 |
| Elias Lindholm | 25 | 46 | 152 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 16.4 | 10.2 | 61 |
| TJ Brodie | 8 | 23 | 79 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 10.1 | 6.3 | 60 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 6 | 4 | 66 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 9.1 | 5.8 | 58 |
| Damon Severson | 8 | 22 | 106 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 7.5 | 4.8 | 56 |
| Jared McCann | 13 | 10 | 104 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 12.5 | 8.1 | 55 |
| Jeff Skinner | 36 | 21 | 206 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 17.5 | 11.3 | 54 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 26 | 9 | 141 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 18.4 | 12.0 | 53 |
| Alex Chiasson | 17 | 11 | 88 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 19.3 | 12.6 | 53 |
| Valtteri Filppula | 12 | 13 | 58 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 20.7 | 13.6 | 52 |
| Jeff Petry | 11 | 30 | 133 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 8.3 | 5.5 | 51 |
| Mattias Janmark | 5 | 15 | 85 | 1.3 | 5.9 | 11.9 | -50 | |
| Niklas Kronwall | 2 | 14 | 65 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3.1 | 6.5 | -53 |
| Jake Gardiner | 2 | 27 | 75 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 5.6 | -53 |
| David Backes | 5 | 9 | 93 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 5.4 | 11.6 | -54 |
| Alexander Wennberg | 2 | 21 | 55 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 8.3 | -56 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 4 | 10 | 88 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 10.4 | -56 |
| Michael Del Zotto | 1 | 6 | 40 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 6.0 | -58 |
| Colin Miller | 2 | 21 | 96 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 5.0 | -59 |
| Pat Maroon | 4 | 12 | 90 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 4.4 | 11.0 | -59 |
| Drew Stafford | 2 | 6 | 47 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 10.5 | -60 |
| Ian Cole | 1 | 9 | 63 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4.3 | -63 |
| Noel Acciari | 2 | 4 | 71 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 7.8 | -64 |
| Jaden Schwartz | 6 | 22 | 136 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 4.4 | 12.4 | -64 |
| Carl Hagelin | 2 | 6 | 72 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 7.9 | -65 |
| James Neal | 5 | 10 | 122 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 11.6 | -65 |
| Ryan Murray | 1 | 28 | 71 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4.1 | -66 |
| Olli Maatta | 1 | 12 | 65 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4.7 | -67 |
| Jack Johnson | 1 | 12 | 62 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 5.0 | -68 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 2 | 18 | 109 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 6.1 | -70 |
| Deryk Engelland | 1 | 7 | 75 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4.4 | -70 |
| Dion Phaneuf | 1 | 4 | 62 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 5.5 | -71 |
| Erik Karlsson | 3 | 42 | 167 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 6.4 | -72 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 1 | 13 | 74 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4.8 | -72 |
| Kevin Connauton | 1 | 6 | 69 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 6.0 | -76 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 1 | 4 | 49 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 9.4 | -78 |
| Nick Leddy | 1 | 18 | 82 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6.1 | -80 |
| Riley Nash | 1 | 7 | 62 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 9.1 | -82 |
| Tobias Rieder | 0 | 11 | 69 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.7 | -100 |
Legend
- G
- Goals
- A
- Assists
- S
- Shots on goal
- S/GP
- Shots on goal per game
- 3YS/GP
- Three-year average shots on goal per game
- SH%
- 2018-2019 shooting percentage
- CSH%
- Career shooting percentage
- DEV
- Deviation from career shooting percentage