Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Tom Wilson 18 15 97 2.2 1.3 18.6 9.5 95
Morgan Rielly 15 46 161 2.6 2.3 9.3 5.0 87
Casey Cizikas 17 10 85 1.5 1.4 20.0 11.1 81
Ron Hainsey 4 12 54 0.9 1.2 7.4 4.2 75
Michael Frolik 13 10 93 2.0 2.8 14.0 8.1 73
Matt Niskanen 8 14 101 1.6 2.0 7.9 4.6 72
Joe Pavelski 35 24 164 2.6 2.8 21.3 12.5 71
Garnet Hathaway 7 3 53 0.9 2.0 13.2 7.8 69
Tomas Hertl 28 28 131 2.2 2.7 21.4 12.8 67
Brian Boyle 15 6 99 1.7 1.9 15.2 9.2 64
Brad Richardson 12 5 88 1.9 2.0 13.6 8.4 63
Matt Duchene 28 32 132 2.5 2.5 21.2 13.1 62
David Perron 17 18 85 1.9 2.1 20.0 12.4 61
Elias Lindholm 25 46 152 2.4 2.1 16.4 10.2 61
TJ Brodie 8 23 79 1.3 1.3 10.1 6.3 60
Nikita Zadorov 6 4 66 1.3 1.8 9.1 5.8 58
Damon Severson 8 22 106 1.7 1.6 7.5 4.8 56
Jared McCann 13 10 104 1.8 2.6 12.5 8.1 55
Jeff Skinner 36 21 206 3.3 3.4 17.5 11.3 54
Viktor Arvidsson 26 9 141 3.4 3.4 18.4 12.0 53
Alex Chiasson 17 11 88 1.7 1.3 19.3 12.6 53
Valtteri Filppula 12 13 58 1.0 1.2 20.7 13.6 52
Jeff Petry 11 30 133 2.1 2.4 8.3 5.5 51
Mattias Janmark 5 15 85 1.3 5.9 11.9 -50
Niklas Kronwall 2 14 65 1.1 1.3 3.1 6.5 -53
Jake Gardiner 2 27 75 1.3 1.6 2.7 5.6 -53
David Backes 5 9 93 1.8 2.8 5.4 11.6 -54
Alexander Wennberg 2 21 55 0.9 1.5 3.6 8.3 -56
Andrew Cogliano 4 10 88 1.4 2.0 4.5 10.4 -56
Michael Del Zotto 1 6 40 1.1 2.3 2.5 6.0 -58
Colin Miller 2 21 96 2.0 2.3 2.1 5.0 -59
Pat Maroon 4 12 90 1.6 2.0 4.4 11.0 -59
Drew Stafford 2 6 47 1.2 2.6 4.3 10.5 -60
Ian Cole 1 9 63 1.2 1.3 1.6 4.3 -63
Noel Acciari 2 4 71 1.3 1.8 2.8 7.8 -64
Jaden Schwartz 6 22 136 2.7 3.3 4.4 12.4 -64
Carl Hagelin 2 6 72 1.8 2.4 2.8 7.9 -65
James Neal 5 10 122 2.2 3.3 4.1 11.6 -65
Ryan Murray 1 28 71 1.3 1.3 1.4 4.1 -66
Olli Maatta 1 12 65 1.2 1.9 1.5 4.7 -67
Jack Johnson 1 12 62 1.0 1.5 1.6 5.0 -68
Kevin Shattenkirk 2 18 109 2.0 2.7 1.8 6.1 -70
Deryk Engelland 1 7 75 1.3 1.3 1.3 4.4 -70
Dion Phaneuf 1 4 62 1.1 2.0 1.6 5.5 -71
Erik Karlsson 3 42 167 3.2 3.1 1.8 6.4 -72
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 1 13 74 1.4 2.1 1.4 4.8 -72
Kevin Connauton 1 6 69 1.6 2.2 1.4 6.0 -76
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 1 4 49 2.3 1.9 2.0 9.4 -78
Nick Leddy 1 18 82 1.3 1.7 1.2 6.1 -80
Riley Nash 1 7 62 1.0 1.6 1.6 9.1 -82
Tobias Rieder 0 11 69 1.4 2.0 0.0 7.7 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage