Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 20 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
John Carlson 5 15 23 2.1 2.7 21.7 6.1 258
Kevin Shattenkirk 4 3 21 2.6 2.5 19.0 6.1 213
Dougie Hamilton 5 5 29 3.2 3.1 17.2 6.4 169
James Neal 9 1 29 2.9 3.2 31.0 11.9 161
Jakob Silfverberg 5 3 22 2.2 2.7 22.7 9.7 134
Brayden Schenn 6 3 21 2.3 2.5 28.6 12.6 126
Alexander Edler 3 3 25 2.8 2.8 12.0 5.3 126
T.J. Oshie 7 3 22 2.0 2.3 31.8 14.1 125
Drew Doughty 3 3 22 2.4 2.2 13.6 6.1 122
David Pastrnak 10 7 32 3.6 3.7 31.3 14.5 115
Elias Lindholm 6 1 27 2.5 2.2 22.2 10.4 113
Roope Hintz 6 1 23 2.1 2.4 26.1 12.3 112
Erik Haula 7 1 25 2.8 3.1 28.0 13.2 112
Roman Josi 4 5 30 3.3 3.5 13.3 6.5 106
Brett Pesce 2 1 22 2.4 1.5 9.1 4.5 103
Patric Hornqvist 5 3 27 2.7 3.7 18.5 9.7 91
Miro Heiskanen 3 3 22 2.0 2.2 13.6 7.4 85
Kris Letang 4 6 37 3.7 3.9 10.8 5.9 84
Reilly Smith 7 1 32 2.9 2.5 21.9 12.0 82
Evander Kane 4 2 24 4.0 4.1 16.7 9.4 78
Tomas Nosek 3 1 23 2.1 1.9 13.0 7.5 73
Jack Eichel 6 8 35 3.5 4.7 17.1 10.0 72
Darren Helm 3 0 22 2.4 2.5 13.6 8.1 69
Viktor Arvidsson 5 3 24 2.7 3.6 20.8 12.4 67
Alex Pietrangelo 3 2 31 3.4 2.7 9.7 6.0 62
Mathew Barzal 4 3 21 2.6 3.1 19.0 11.9 60
Mike Hoffman 5 3 27 3.0 3.2 18.5 11.7 59
Jonathan Huberdeau 4 6 22 2.4 3.3 18.2 11.7 55
Sam Reinhart 4 4 21 2.1 2.3 19.0 12.4 54
Boone Jenner 1 0 20 2.2 2.6 5.0 10.1 -50
Jonathan Marchessault 2 4 41 3.7 3.3 4.9 10.6 -54
Cam Atkinson 2 2 37 4.1 3.6 5.4 11.6 -54
Sean Monahan 2 4 32 2.9 2.7 6.3 14.8 -58
Max Pacioretty 2 8 43 3.9 3.7 4.7 11.0 -58
Andrei Svechnikov 1 7 25 2.8 2.3 4.0 9.8 -59
Anthony Duclair 1 0 21 2.6 2.1 4.8 12.7 -63
Ondrej Kase 1 4 25 2.5 4.3 4.0 10.8 -63
Vincent Trocheck 1 5 27 3.4 3.5 3.7 10.2 -64
Nick Foligno 1 4 23 2.6 2.3 4.3 11.9 -64
Jake DeBrusk 1 2 24 2.7 2.6 4.2 13.6 -69
Alexander Radulov 1 3 24 2.2 2.7 4.2 13.6 -69
Jamie Benn 1 4 24 2.2 2.8 4.2 13.4 -69
Taylor Hall 1 5 32 4.0 4.8 3.1 10.7 -71
Jeff Carter 1 2 33 3.7 3.6 3.0 11.3 -73
William Karlsson 1 8 29 2.6 1.8 3.4 14.0 -75
Claude Giroux 0 4 24 3.4 2.5 0.0 11.0 -100
Carl Hagelin 0 4 20 1.8 2.4 0.0 7.8 -100
Josh Morrissey 0 6 20 2.2 1.5 0.0 6.0 -100
Justin Schultz 0 5 29 2.9 2.6 0.0 6.4 -100
Adrian Kempe 0 2 22 2.4 1.9 0.0 10.3 -100
James van Riemsdyk 0 0 35 5.0 3.1 0.0 11.7 -100
Aaron Ekblad 0 5 21 2.6 2.7 0.0 6.8 -100
Tyson Barrie 0 4 28 2.5 2.9 0.0 6.9 -100
Tyler Myers 0 3 22 2.4 2.6 0.0 6.9 -100
Clayton Keller 0 7 20 2.5 3.6 0.0 8.6 -100
Nino Niederreiter 0 3 20 2.2 2.4 0.0 11.9 -100
Wayne Simmonds 0 1 24 3.0 2.5 0.0 12.9 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2019-2020 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage