Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 20 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Carlson | 5 | 15 | 23 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 21.7 | 6.1 | 258 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 4 | 3 | 21 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 19.0 | 6.1 | 213 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 5 | 5 | 29 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 17.2 | 6.4 | 169 |
| James Neal | 9 | 1 | 29 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 31.0 | 11.9 | 161 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 5 | 3 | 22 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 22.7 | 9.7 | 134 |
| Brayden Schenn | 6 | 3 | 21 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 28.6 | 12.6 | 126 |
| Alexander Edler | 3 | 3 | 25 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 12.0 | 5.3 | 126 |
| T.J. Oshie | 7 | 3 | 22 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 31.8 | 14.1 | 125 |
| Drew Doughty | 3 | 3 | 22 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 13.6 | 6.1 | 122 |
| David Pastrnak | 10 | 7 | 32 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 31.3 | 14.5 | 115 |
| Elias Lindholm | 6 | 1 | 27 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 22.2 | 10.4 | 113 |
| Roope Hintz | 6 | 1 | 23 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 26.1 | 12.3 | 112 |
| Erik Haula | 7 | 1 | 25 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 28.0 | 13.2 | 112 |
| Roman Josi | 4 | 5 | 30 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 13.3 | 6.5 | 106 |
| Brett Pesce | 2 | 1 | 22 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 9.1 | 4.5 | 103 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 5 | 3 | 27 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 18.5 | 9.7 | 91 |
| Miro Heiskanen | 3 | 3 | 22 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 13.6 | 7.4 | 85 |
| Kris Letang | 4 | 6 | 37 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 10.8 | 5.9 | 84 |
| Reilly Smith | 7 | 1 | 32 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 21.9 | 12.0 | 82 |
| Evander Kane | 4 | 2 | 24 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 16.7 | 9.4 | 78 |
| Tomas Nosek | 3 | 1 | 23 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 13.0 | 7.5 | 73 |
| Jack Eichel | 6 | 8 | 35 | 3.5 | 4.7 | 17.1 | 10.0 | 72 |
| Darren Helm | 3 | 0 | 22 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 13.6 | 8.1 | 69 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 5 | 3 | 24 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 20.8 | 12.4 | 67 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 3 | 2 | 31 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 9.7 | 6.0 | 62 |
| Mathew Barzal | 4 | 3 | 21 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 19.0 | 11.9 | 60 |
| Mike Hoffman | 5 | 3 | 27 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 18.5 | 11.7 | 59 |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 4 | 6 | 22 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 18.2 | 11.7 | 55 |
| Sam Reinhart | 4 | 4 | 21 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 19.0 | 12.4 | 54 |
| Boone Jenner | 1 | 0 | 20 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 5.0 | 10.1 | -50 |
| Jonathan Marchessault | 2 | 4 | 41 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 10.6 | -54 |
| Cam Atkinson | 2 | 2 | 37 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 5.4 | 11.6 | -54 |
| Sean Monahan | 2 | 4 | 32 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 6.3 | 14.8 | -58 |
| Max Pacioretty | 2 | 8 | 43 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 11.0 | -58 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 1 | 7 | 25 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 9.8 | -59 |
| Anthony Duclair | 1 | 0 | 21 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 4.8 | 12.7 | -63 |
| Ondrej Kase | 1 | 4 | 25 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 10.8 | -63 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 1 | 5 | 27 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 10.2 | -64 |
| Nick Foligno | 1 | 4 | 23 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 4.3 | 11.9 | -64 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 1 | 2 | 24 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 13.6 | -69 |
| Alexander Radulov | 1 | 3 | 24 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 13.6 | -69 |
| Jamie Benn | 1 | 4 | 24 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 13.4 | -69 |
| Taylor Hall | 1 | 5 | 32 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 3.1 | 10.7 | -71 |
| Jeff Carter | 1 | 2 | 33 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 11.3 | -73 |
| William Karlsson | 1 | 8 | 29 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 14.0 | -75 |
| Claude Giroux | 0 | 4 | 24 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 11.0 | -100 |
| Carl Hagelin | 0 | 4 | 20 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 7.8 | -100 |
| Josh Morrissey | 0 | 6 | 20 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -100 |
| Justin Schultz | 0 | 5 | 29 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 6.4 | -100 |
| Adrian Kempe | 0 | 2 | 22 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 10.3 | -100 |
| James van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 35 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 11.7 | -100 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 0 | 5 | 21 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 6.8 | -100 |
| Tyson Barrie | 0 | 4 | 28 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 6.9 | -100 |
| Tyler Myers | 0 | 3 | 22 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 6.9 | -100 |
| Clayton Keller | 0 | 7 | 20 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 8.6 | -100 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 0 | 3 | 20 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 11.9 | -100 |
| Wayne Simmonds | 0 | 1 | 24 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 12.9 | -100 |
Legend
- G
- Goals
- A
- Assists
- S
- Shots on goal
- S/GP
- Shots on goal per game
- 3YS/GP
- Three-year average shots on goal per game
- SH%
- 2019-2020 shooting percentage
- CSH%
- Career shooting percentage
- DEV
- Deviation from career shooting percentage