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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

November 6, 2019   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

PlayerGASS/GP3YS/GPSH%CSH%DEV
John Carlson716422.62.716.76.1172
Brayden Schenn105332.12.530.312.8136
Dougie Hamilton610432.93.114.06.4117
T.J. Oshie84261.62.330.814.2117
Jake Muzzin36271.82.111.15.2115
Nick Bonino84312.11.625.812.2111
Elias Lindholm106452.52.222.210.7108
James Neal112452.83.224.411.9106
Jakob Silfverberg76352.12.720.09.8105
Jonathan Huberdeau99372.63.324.312.0103
Roope Hintz92332.12.427.313.6100
Oskar Lindblom74312.23.022.611.499
David Pastrnak1515523.53.728.814.895
MacKenzie Weegar36292.11.510.35.394
Erik Haula83322.33.125.013.290
Jonathan Drouin75382.52.518.49.986
Joel Armia64332.52.518.29.885
Kevin Shattenkirk46362.82.511.16.085
Alex Pietrangelo56452.82.711.16.084
Jean-Gabriel Pageau64342.42.517.69.781
Evander Kane94534.14.117.09.579
Reilly Smith94422.62.521.412.177
Travis Konecny78322.32.221.912.674
Ryan Suter25261.71.97.74.572
Jake Virtanen43271.83.014.88.672
Ivan Provorov36292.12.110.36.169
Drew Doughty46392.62.210.36.167
Darren Helm41301.92.513.38.165
Carl Soderberg44261.72.015.49.463
Morgan Rielly312352.22.68.65.362
Cam Fowler35321.92.39.46.057
Mattias Ekholm36332.21.79.15.857
Lars Eller56322.01.815.610.056
Christian Dvorak61302.02.120.012.955
Roman Josi511503.33.510.06.455
Alexander Edler37372.52.88.15.354
Eric Staal56291.92.717.211.254
Brett Pesce22302.01.56.74.452
Brad Marchand1018412.73.024.416.052
Mathew Barzal65332.43.118.212.051
Miro Heiskanen45362.12.211.17.351
Mike Green11261.92.63.87.9-52
Gustav Nyquist25382.52.55.311.1-53
Nicklas Backstrom210362.32.15.612.0-54
Josh Morrissey19362.61.52.86.0-54
Sean Monahan311442.42.76.814.8-54
Aaron Ekblad18322.52.73.16.9-54
Taylor Hall211423.24.84.810.7-55
Cam Atkinson34593.93.65.111.6-56
Max Pacioretty310633.93.74.810.9-56
Patrik Laine311473.43.06.415.3-58
John Klingberg13362.12.32.86.7-59
Tanner Pearson24463.12.14.311.2-61
Vincent Trocheck15273.43.53.710.2-64
Matt Dumba15332.22.73.08.3-64
Justin Schultz16442.92.62.36.4-64
Mikko Koivu15312.12.23.29.1-65
Ondrej Kase14272.34.33.710.8-66
Thomas Chabot18412.92.62.47.5-67
Craig Smith14322.12.73.19.4-67
Adrian Kempe13302.01.93.310.4-68
Nick Foligno15302.02.33.311.9-72
Andreas Athanasiou15312.22.83.212.5-74
Logan Couture19352.22.72.912.4-77
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins18402.52.72.511.5-78
Wayne Simmonds15393.02.52.612.8-80
Jamie Benn15372.22.82.713.3-80
Christian Fischer01251.82.00.09.5-100
Tyson Barrie05382.42.90.06.8-100
Colin Miller04261.72.20.04.6-100
Dryden Hunt03271.94.50.03.3-100
Tyler Myers04322.12.60.06.9-100
Justin Faulk05311.92.90.05.9-100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2019-2020 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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