Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
John Carlson 7 16 42 2.6 2.7 16.7 6.1 172
Brayden Schenn 10 5 33 2.1 2.5 30.3 12.8 136
Dougie Hamilton 6 10 43 2.9 3.1 14.0 6.4 117
T.J. Oshie 8 4 26 1.6 2.3 30.8 14.2 117
Jake Muzzin 3 6 27 1.8 2.1 11.1 5.2 115
Nick Bonino 8 4 31 2.1 1.6 25.8 12.2 111
Elias Lindholm 10 6 45 2.5 2.2 22.2 10.7 108
James Neal 11 2 45 2.8 3.2 24.4 11.9 106
Jakob Silfverberg 7 6 35 2.1 2.7 20.0 9.8 105
Jonathan Huberdeau 9 9 37 2.6 3.3 24.3 12.0 103
Roope Hintz 9 2 33 2.1 2.4 27.3 13.6 100
Oskar Lindblom 7 4 31 2.2 3.0 22.6 11.4 99
David Pastrnak 15 15 52 3.5 3.7 28.8 14.8 95
MacKenzie Weegar 3 6 29 2.1 1.5 10.3 5.3 94
Erik Haula 8 3 32 2.3 3.1 25.0 13.2 90
Jonathan Drouin 7 5 38 2.5 2.5 18.4 9.9 86
Joel Armia 6 4 33 2.5 2.5 18.2 9.8 85
Kevin Shattenkirk 4 6 36 2.8 2.5 11.1 6.0 85
Alex Pietrangelo 5 6 45 2.8 2.7 11.1 6.0 84
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 6 4 34 2.4 2.5 17.6 9.7 81
Evander Kane 9 4 53 4.1 4.1 17.0 9.5 79
Reilly Smith 9 4 42 2.6 2.5 21.4 12.1 77
Travis Konecny 7 8 32 2.3 2.2 21.9 12.6 74
Ryan Suter 2 5 26 1.7 1.9 7.7 4.5 72
Jake Virtanen 4 3 27 1.8 3.0 14.8 8.6 72
Ivan Provorov 3 6 29 2.1 2.1 10.3 6.1 69
Drew Doughty 4 6 39 2.6 2.2 10.3 6.1 67
Darren Helm 4 1 30 1.9 2.5 13.3 8.1 65
Carl Soderberg 4 4 26 1.7 2.0 15.4 9.4 63
Morgan Rielly 3 12 35 2.2 2.6 8.6 5.3 62
Cam Fowler 3 5 32 1.9 2.3 9.4 6.0 57
Mattias Ekholm 3 6 33 2.2 1.7 9.1 5.8 57
Lars Eller 5 6 32 2.0 1.8 15.6 10.0 56
Christian Dvorak 6 1 30 2.0 2.1 20.0 12.9 55
Roman Josi 5 11 50 3.3 3.5 10.0 6.4 55
Alexander Edler 3 7 37 2.5 2.8 8.1 5.3 54
Eric Staal 5 6 29 1.9 2.7 17.2 11.2 54
Brett Pesce 2 2 30 2.0 1.5 6.7 4.4 52
Brad Marchand 10 18 41 2.7 3.0 24.4 16.0 52
Mathew Barzal 6 5 33 2.4 3.1 18.2 12.0 51
Miro Heiskanen 4 5 36 2.1 2.2 11.1 7.3 51
Mike Green 1 1 26 1.9 2.6 3.8 7.9 -52
Gustav Nyquist 2 5 38 2.5 2.5 5.3 11.1 -53
Nicklas Backstrom 2 10 36 2.3 2.1 5.6 12.0 -54
Josh Morrissey 1 9 36 2.6 1.5 2.8 6.0 -54
Sean Monahan 3 11 44 2.4 2.7 6.8 14.8 -54
Aaron Ekblad 1 8 32 2.5 2.7 3.1 6.9 -54
Taylor Hall 2 11 42 3.2 4.8 4.8 10.7 -55
Cam Atkinson 3 4 59 3.9 3.6 5.1 11.6 -56
Max Pacioretty 3 10 63 3.9 3.7 4.8 10.9 -56
Patrik Laine 3 11 47 3.4 3.0 6.4 15.3 -58
John Klingberg 1 3 36 2.1 2.3 2.8 6.7 -59
Tanner Pearson 2 4 46 3.1 2.1 4.3 11.2 -61
Vincent Trocheck 1 5 27 3.4 3.5 3.7 10.2 -64
Matt Dumba 1 5 33 2.2 2.7 3.0 8.3 -64
Justin Schultz 1 6 44 2.9 2.6 2.3 6.4 -64
Mikko Koivu 1 5 31 2.1 2.2 3.2 9.1 -65
Ondrej Kase 1 4 27 2.3 4.3 3.7 10.8 -66
Thomas Chabot 1 8 41 2.9 2.6 2.4 7.5 -67
Craig Smith 1 4 32 2.1 2.7 3.1 9.4 -67
Adrian Kempe 1 3 30 2.0 1.9 3.3 10.4 -68
Nick Foligno 1 5 30 2.0 2.3 3.3 11.9 -72
Andreas Athanasiou 1 5 31 2.2 2.8 3.2 12.5 -74
Logan Couture 1 9 35 2.2 2.7 2.9 12.4 -77
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 1 8 40 2.5 2.7 2.5 11.5 -78
Wayne Simmonds 1 5 39 3.0 2.5 2.6 12.8 -80
Jamie Benn 1 5 37 2.2 2.8 2.7 13.3 -80
Christian Fischer 0 1 25 1.8 2.0 0.0 9.5 -100
Tyson Barrie 0 5 38 2.4 2.9 0.0 6.8 -100
Colin Miller 0 4 26 1.7 2.2 0.0 4.6 -100
Dryden Hunt 0 3 27 1.9 4.5 0.0 3.3 -100
Tyler Myers 0 4 32 2.1 2.6 0.0 6.9 -100
Justin Faulk 0 5 31 1.9 2.9 0.0 5.9 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2019-2020 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage