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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

January 15, 2020   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

PlayerGASS/GP3YS/GPSH%CSH%DEV
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare79501.11.314.06.5116
Derek Grant93501.51.618.08.7107
Noel Acciari173681.61.825.012.796
Alex Killorn1919952.22.020.011.180
Jean-Gabriel Pageau19121032.22.518.510.675
Ryan Suter624761.71.97.94.673
Zach Hyman129612.22.019.711.473
Zach Werenski15131102.82.513.67.973
Zemgus Girgensons84571.21.614.08.172
Carl Soderberg1313781.62.016.79.969
Eric Staal1617841.82.719.111.368
Jakob Silfverberg1513922.22.716.310.064
Lucas Wallmark1011651.42.815.49.463
Jack Eichel28331603.54.717.510.862
Lawson Crouse116731.62.815.19.362
John Carlson13431322.82.79.96.260
David Krejci1121551.32.020.012.659
Elias Lindholm20161152.42.217.410.959
Ryan Strome1230721.61.716.710.658
Cam Fowler914952.12.39.56.254
Bryan Rust19211023.22.318.612.154
Jason Zucker1212621.72.519.412.554
Jared McCann1414952.22.714.79.753
Jakob Chychrun1091032.12.69.76.452
Zack Kassian1315721.61.418.111.951
James Neal1981062.23.217.911.950
Adam Erne21511.32.13.97.9-50
Tyson Barrie4201232.62.93.36.7-51
Ondrej Kase5121082.74.34.69.6-52
Thomas Chabot4221262.72.63.26.7-52
Frans Nielsen33641.51.94.710.1-53
Yanni Gourde613811.82.27.415.6-53
Andreas Athanasiou514882.42.85.712.1-53
Deryk Engelland15521.21.41.94.1-54
John Klingberg217671.92.33.06.6-55
Nick Foligno414801.82.35.011.7-57
Mike Green26641.72.63.17.8-60
Mikko Koivu211551.62.23.69.0-60
Justin Holl112551.24.11.84.8-62
Duncan Keith111621.62.11.64.3-63
Austin Wagner34912.11.43.39.5-65
Wayne Simmonds414902.02.54.412.7-65
Jonas Brodin117611.31.41.64.7-65
Matt Dumba3101132.52.72.77.7-66
Jamie Oleksiak15541.21.51.95.6-67
Erik Johnson18631.82.81.64.9-68
Joe Thornton217501.01.54.014.0-71
Hampus Lindholm116651.71.91.56.2-75
Carl Hagelin18581.62.41.77.7-78
Josh Anderson13632.42.71.610.5-85
David Savard07581.31.80.05.0-100
Charlie McAvoy016621.41.80.06.4-100
Jordie Benn06501.31.30.03.9-100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2019-2020 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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