Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 7 | 9 | 50 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 14.0 | 6.5 | 116 |
Derek Grant | 9 | 3 | 50 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 18.0 | 8.7 | 107 |
Noel Acciari | 17 | 3 | 68 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 25.0 | 12.7 | 96 |
Alex Killorn | 19 | 19 | 95 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 11.1 | 80 |
Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 19 | 12 | 103 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 18.5 | 10.6 | 75 |
Ryan Suter | 6 | 24 | 76 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 7.9 | 4.6 | 73 |
Zach Hyman | 12 | 9 | 61 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 19.7 | 11.4 | 73 |
Zach Werenski | 15 | 13 | 110 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 13.6 | 7.9 | 73 |
Zemgus Girgensons | 8 | 4 | 57 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 14.0 | 8.1 | 72 |
Carl Soderberg | 13 | 13 | 78 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 16.7 | 9.9 | 69 |
Eric Staal | 16 | 17 | 84 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 19.1 | 11.3 | 68 |
Jakob Silfverberg | 15 | 13 | 92 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 16.3 | 10.0 | 64 |
Lucas Wallmark | 10 | 11 | 65 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 15.4 | 9.4 | 63 |
Jack Eichel | 28 | 33 | 160 | 3.5 | 4.7 | 17.5 | 10.8 | 62 |
Lawson Crouse | 11 | 6 | 73 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 15.1 | 9.3 | 62 |
John Carlson | 13 | 43 | 132 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 9.9 | 6.2 | 60 |
David Krejci | 11 | 21 | 55 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 12.6 | 59 |
Elias Lindholm | 20 | 16 | 115 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 17.4 | 10.9 | 59 |
Ryan Strome | 12 | 30 | 72 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 16.7 | 10.6 | 58 |
Cam Fowler | 9 | 14 | 95 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 9.5 | 6.2 | 54 |
Bryan Rust | 19 | 21 | 102 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 18.6 | 12.1 | 54 |
Jason Zucker | 12 | 12 | 62 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 19.4 | 12.5 | 54 |
Jared McCann | 14 | 14 | 95 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 14.7 | 9.7 | 53 |
Jakob Chychrun | 10 | 9 | 103 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 9.7 | 6.4 | 52 |
Zack Kassian | 13 | 15 | 72 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 18.1 | 11.9 | 51 |
James Neal | 19 | 8 | 106 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 17.9 | 11.9 | 50 |
Adam Erne | 2 | 1 | 51 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3.9 | 7.9 | -50 |
Tyson Barrie | 4 | 20 | 123 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 6.7 | -51 |
Ondrej Kase | 5 | 12 | 108 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 9.6 | -52 |
Thomas Chabot | 4 | 22 | 126 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 6.7 | -52 |
Frans Nielsen | 3 | 3 | 64 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4.7 | 10.1 | -53 |
Yanni Gourde | 6 | 13 | 81 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 7.4 | 15.6 | -53 |
Andreas Athanasiou | 5 | 14 | 88 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 12.1 | -53 |
Deryk Engelland | 1 | 5 | 52 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4.1 | -54 |
John Klingberg | 2 | 17 | 67 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 6.6 | -55 |
Nick Foligno | 4 | 14 | 80 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 5.0 | 11.7 | -57 |
Mike Green | 2 | 6 | 64 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 7.8 | -60 |
Mikko Koivu | 2 | 11 | 55 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 9.0 | -60 |
Justin Holl | 1 | 12 | 55 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 4.8 | -62 |
Duncan Keith | 1 | 11 | 62 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4.3 | -63 |
Austin Wagner | 3 | 4 | 91 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 9.5 | -65 |
Wayne Simmonds | 4 | 14 | 90 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 4.4 | 12.7 | -65 |
Jonas Brodin | 1 | 17 | 61 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4.7 | -65 |
Matt Dumba | 3 | 10 | 113 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 7.7 | -66 |
Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 5 | 54 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 5.6 | -67 |
Erik Johnson | 1 | 8 | 63 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 4.9 | -68 |
Joe Thornton | 2 | 17 | 50 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 14.0 | -71 |
Hampus Lindholm | 1 | 16 | 65 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 6.2 | -75 |
Carl Hagelin | 1 | 8 | 58 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 7.7 | -78 |
Josh Anderson | 1 | 3 | 63 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 10.5 | -85 |
David Savard | 0 | 7 | 58 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 16 | 62 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 6.4 | -100 |
Jordie Benn | 0 | 6 | 50 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2019-2020 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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