Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 30 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Dustin Brown 10 6 35 2.1 2.8 28.6 9.9 188
Drew Doughty 4 11 31 1.8 2.2 12.9 6.1 113
Joe Pavelski 9 8 34 2.6 2.5 26.5 12.6 111
James van Riemsdyk 8 13 33 2.2 2.9 24.2 12.1 100
Jeff Petry 6 10 51 2.8 2.2 11.8 5.9 99
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 7 4 32 1.8 2.6 21.9 11.2 95
Keith Yandle 3 10 35 2.1 2.2 8.6 4.6 87
Tyler Toffoli 12 5 60 3.3 3.0 20.0 10.7 86
Aaron Ekblad 6 5 48 2.8 2.3 12.5 6.7 85
Christian Dvorak 9 6 36 2.0 2.6 25.0 13.6 84
Nicklas Backstrom 8 14 36 2.0 2.2 22.2 12.1 83
Mattias Janmark 6 5 30 1.5 1.5 20.0 11.2 79
Vincent Trocheck 9 7 49 3.1 3.4 18.4 10.4 77
Nick Ritchie 6 7 37 2.3 2.0 16.2 9.3 74
Jack Hughes 4 7 33 2.4 NA 12.1 7.1 72
John Carlson 5 10 47 2.6 2.7 10.6 6.2 72
Boone Jenner 6 5 36 1.8 2.5 16.7 9.8 71
Miles Wood 5 3 34 2.4 2.5 14.7 8.7 70
Johnny Gaudreau 9 9 43 2.3 3.0 20.9 12.4 69
Justin Faulk 5 3 50 2.6 2.6 10.0 5.9 69
David Pastrnak 9 5 36 4.0 3.8 25.0 15.0 67
Josh Anderson 9 3 49 2.7 3.9 18.4 11.0 66
Joel Farabee 8 6 35 2.3 2.1 22.9 13.8 66
Logan Couture 10 6 48 2.8 2.8 20.8 12.8 63
Mitchell Marner 9 21 49 2.5 2.7 18.4 11.4 61
Mark Scheifele 10 16 41 2.3 2.5 24.4 16.2 50
Zach Parise 2 5 35 2.3 3.4 5.7 11.6 -51
Torey Krug 1 10 41 2.2 2.9 2.4 4.9 -51
Adam Fox 1 6 38 2.4 1.8 2.6 5.5 -52
Michael Del Zotto 1 5 37 1.9 1.8 2.7 5.7 -53
Adam Gaudette 2 0 41 2.2 1.5 4.9 10.6 -54
Alex Pietrangelo 1 5 37 2.8 3.0 2.7 6.0 -55
P.K. Subban 1 5 38 2.7 2.7 2.6 5.9 -56
Zach Werenski 1 4 30 2.3 2.7 3.3 7.6 -56
Seth Jones 1 10 42 2.1 3.0 2.4 5.4 -56
Martin Necas 2 9 34 2.4 1.5 5.9 14.8 -60
Jack Eichel 2 12 50 3.1 4.1 4.0 10.6 -62
Timo Meier 2 6 55 3.2 3.0 3.6 9.8 -63
Anthony Duclair 2 8 45 2.8 2.5 4.4 12.3 -64
Mika Zibanejad 2 2 47 2.9 3.4 4.3 12.6 -66
Josh Bailey 1 8 31 1.7 1.7 3.2 11.2 -71
Dougie Hamilton 1 10 56 3.3 3.7 1.8 6.3 -71
Viktor Arvidsson 2 5 61 3.4 3.6 3.3 11.6 -72
Derek Stepan 1 5 44 2.2 2.6 2.3 9.3 -76
Taylor Hall 1 10 43 2.7 4.8 2.3 10.2 -77
Rickard Rakell 1 6 60 3.2 3.2 1.7 11.3 -85
Kevin Shattenkirk 0 5 30 1.6 2.5 0.0 5.8 -100
Alexander Edler 0 4 37 1.7 2.8 0.0 5.1 -100
Jeff Skinner 0 1 31 2.2 3.4 0.0 10.8 -100
Josh Morrissey 0 9 32 1.8 1.8 0.0 5.3 -100
Noah Hanifin 0 3 33 1.7 1.9 0.0 4.1 -100
Filip Hronek 0 9 40 1.9 2.4 0.0 5.9 -100
Duncan Keith 0 7 42 2.1 2.0 0.0 4.2 -100
Ryan Pulock 0 7 32 1.8 2.6 0.0 5.4 -100
Nikita Zaitsev 0 7 34 1.6 1.1 0.0 4.0 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage