Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joonas Donskoi | 15 | 13 | 55 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 27.3 | 12.4 | 120 |
| Alex Wennberg | 11 | 8 | 56 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 19.6 | 9.2 | 114 |
| Jeff Petry | 11 | 17 | 87 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 12.6 | 6.1 | 106 |
| Jared McCann | 10 | 8 | 56 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 17.9 | 9.6 | 87 |
| Drew Doughty | 8 | 20 | 70 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 11.4 | 6.1 | 86 |
| Jonas Brodin | 5 | 11 | 55 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 9.1 | 4.9 | 84 |
| Brandon Saad | 12 | 9 | 57 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 21.1 | 11.8 | 79 |
| Phil Kessel | 15 | 13 | 76 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 19.7 | 11.1 | 78 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 12 | 7 | 82 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 14.6 | 8.3 | 76 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 15 | 16 | 82 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 18.3 | 10.6 | 73 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 19 | 10 | 102 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 18.6 | 10.9 | 71 |
| Nicklas Backstrom | 13 | 26 | 63 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 20.6 | 12.2 | 69 |
| Samuel Girard | 5 | 25 | 63 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 7.9 | 4.7 | 68 |
| John Carlson | 10 | 22 | 96 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 10.4 | 6.3 | 65 |
| Alec Martinez | 7 | 15 | 58 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 12.1 | 7.4 | 63 |
| Mikael Granlund | 9 | 7 | 53 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 17.0 | 10.5 | 61 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 11 | 12 | 61 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 18.0 | 11.3 | 60 |
| Chris Kreider | 17 | 9 | 77 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 22.1 | 13.9 | 59 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 11 | 11 | 101 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 10.9 | 6.9 | 59 |
| Alex Tuch | 13 | 11 | 79 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 16.5 | 10.4 | 58 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 12 | 15 | 108 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 11.1 | 7.1 | 56 |
| Dustin Brown | 15 | 7 | 101 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 14.9 | 9.9 | 51 |
| Erik Haula | 3 | 8 | 51 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 5.9 | 12.1 | -52 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 3 | 12 | 55 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 11.4 | -52 |
| Erik Cernak | 1 | 9 | 55 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 3.8 | -53 |
| Josh Morrissey | 2 | 15 | 81 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 5.2 | -53 |
| Matt Duchene | 3 | 5 | 52 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 5.8 | 12.5 | -54 |
| Anthony Duclair | 4 | 12 | 73 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 12.1 | -55 |
| Nikita Zaitsev | 1 | 11 | 56 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4.0 | -55 |
| Filip Hronek | 2 | 20 | 79 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 5.8 | -56 |
| Zach Parise | 3 | 9 | 59 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 5.1 | 11.5 | -56 |
| Darren Helm | 2 | 4 | 60 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 7.8 | -57 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 2 | 20 | 82 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 5.7 | -57 |
| Ben Chiarot | 1 | 4 | 55 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4.3 | -58 |
| Jacob Trouba | 1 | 9 | 52 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 4.7 | -59 |
| Jeff Skinner | 3 | 2 | 69 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 10.7 | -60 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 13 | 56 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 4.5 | -60 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 5 | 13 | 122 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 11.2 | -64 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 1 | 9 | 65 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4.3 | -64 |
| Brady Skjei | 1 | 5 | 70 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4.2 | -66 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 2 | 19 | 64 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 9.2 | -66 |
| Nick Leddy | 1 | 24 | 50 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 5.9 | -66 |
| Jack Eichel | 2 | 16 | 61 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 10.5 | -69 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 11 | 83 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4.2 | -72 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 18 | 85 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 4.8 | -75 |
| Taylor Hall | 2 | 17 | 88 | 2.4 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 10.0 | -77 |
| Ryan Graves | 0 | 11 | 71 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 5.2 | -100 |
| Alexander Edler | 0 | 6 | 68 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.0 | -100 |
| Ryan Pulock | 0 | 13 | 86 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2020-2021 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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