Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

Features

The latest fantasy hockey advice and analysis.

Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Ben Chiarot 3 1 26 1.9 1.9 11.5 4.4 161
Troy Terry 9 7 29 2.2 2.0 31.0 12.1 157
Anthony Duclair 8 5 26 2.0 2.6 30.8 13.1 135
Boone Jenner 6 1 26 2.6 2.5 23.1 9.9 134
Jesse Puljujarvi 6 7 25 2.3 NA 24.0 10.3 134
Pavel Zacha 6 2 25 2.3 2.0 24.0 11.5 109
Josh Morrissey 3 2 26 2.2 2.1 11.5 5.5 108
Tyler Bertuzzi 9 6 29 2.6 2.5 31.0 15.9 95
Andrew Mangiapane 8 2 26 2.2 2.0 30.8 17.1 80
John Carlson 3 6 27 2.3 2.6 11.1 6.3 77
Chris Kreider 9 3 36 2.8 2.6 25.0 14.2 76
Brandon Tanev 6 2 31 2.4 1.7 19.4 11.1 75
Brock Nelson 7 2 30 3.0 2.3 23.3 13.4 74
Leon Draisaitl 10 13 33 3.0 3.0 30.3 17.4 74
Cam Atkinson 6 2 31 3.1 3.9 19.4 11.4 69
Andrew Copp 5 7 26 2.2 1.9 19.2 11.5 68
Ryan Hartman 6 1 38 3.5 1.7 15.8 9.4 68
Tage Thompson 4 3 32 2.7 8.1 12.5 7.6 65
Adam Fox 3 10 29 2.2 1.8 10.3 6.3 65
Pierre-Luc Dubois 7 4 32 2.7 2.2 21.9 13.4 63
Patrice Bergeron 5 4 28 2.8 3.8 17.9 11.0 63
Mark Giordano 3 4 26 2.0 2.9 11.5 7.1 62
Roman Josi 4 8 39 3.3 3.5 10.3 6.3 62
Elias Lindholm 7 7 37 3.1 2.3 18.9 11.8 60
Jonathan Marchessault 6 4 35 2.7 3.5 17.1 10.7 60
Zach Hyman 7 3 35 3.2 2.8 20.0 12.6 59
Jordan Eberle 7 2 34 2.6 2.4 20.6 13.2 56
Oliver Bjorkstrand 5 8 27 2.7 2.9 18.5 12.0 55
Danton Heinen 4 3 25 2.3 1.8 16.0 10.3 55
Sam Bennett 5 3 31 3.4 2.2 16.1 10.4 55
Joel Eriksson Ek 4 2 28 2.5 2.2 14.3 9.4 52
Sean Couturier 5 7 28 2.8 2.9 17.9 11.7 52
Andrei Svechnikov 7 8 39 3.5 2.6 18.0 11.8 52
Lawson Crouse 4 2 29 2.4 1.6 13.8 9.2 50
Victor Hedman 1 9 31 2.6 2.7 3.2 6.8 -52
Logan O'Connor 1 2 29 2.9 4.3 3.5 7.3 -53
Dustin Brown 2 5 44 3.4 2.8 4.6 9.8 -53
David Pastrnak 3 5 45 4.5 4.2 6.7 14.1 -53
Elias Pettersson 3 6 41 3.2 2.8 7.3 16.6 -56
Seth Jones 1 11 45 3.2 2.7 2.2 5.2 -57
Trevor Moore 1 0 25 1.9 1.9 4.0 9.5 -58
Jakob Silfverberg 1 7 26 2.9 2.5 3.9 9.8 -61
Patric Hornqvist 1 5 27 2.1 3.9 3.7 9.6 -61
Ondrej Kase 1 1 32 2.5 6.5 3.1 8.9 -65
Brent Burns 1 10 43 3.6 3.2 2.3 6.7 -65
Pierre Engvall 1 2 29 2.2 2.1 3.5 9.9 -65
Nils Hoglander 1 3 30 2.3 2.1 3.3 9.5 -65
Kirill Kaprizov 2 7 41 3.7 2.9 4.9 14.6 -67
Dillon Dube 1 6 33 2.8 2.0 3.0 9.5 -68
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 1 2 44 3.4 2.2 2.3 7.3 -69
Wayne Simmonds 1 2 26 2.0 2.1 3.9 12.5 -69
James van Riemsdyk 1 4 28 2.8 2.6 3.6 11.9 -70
Kevin Fiala 1 4 33 3.0 2.7 3.0 10.7 -72
Christian Dvorak 1 4 29 2.1 2.5 3.5 13.0 -74
Tanner Pearson 1 4 36 2.8 2.2 2.8 11.2 -75
Eeli Tolvanen 1 1 36 3.0 2.3 2.8 12.3 -77
Ryan Getzlaf 1 11 39 2.8 2.1 2.6 11.2 -77
Jonathan Toews 0 8 25 1.8 2.8 0.0 13.8 -100
Joel Armia 0 1 29 2.1 3.1 0.0 9.1 -100
MacKenzie Weegar 0 5 25 1.9 2.0 0.0 5.5 -100
Gustav Forsling 0 10 30 2.3 NA 0.0 4.2 -100
Thomas Chabot 0 4 35 2.9 2.8 0.0 5.6 -100
Matt Grzelcyk 0 0 27 2.7 2.0 0.0 3.8 -100
Erik Cernak 0 3 29 2.4 2.3 0.0 4.3 -100
Darnell Nurse 0 9 42 3.8 2.5 0.0 4.7 -100
Jakob Chychrun 0 1 35 2.9 3.1 0.0 6.9 -100
Esa Lindell 0 1 26 2.4 1.6 0.0 5.4 -100
Roope Hintz 0 2 29 2.6 2.6 0.0 12.6 -100
Jacob Trouba 0 3 28 2.2 2.3 0.0 4.6 -100
Morgan Rielly 0 8 29 2.2 2.7 0.0 4.8 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage