Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 25 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Chiarot | 3 | 1 | 26 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 11.5 | 4.4 | 161 |
| Troy Terry | 9 | 7 | 29 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 31.0 | 12.1 | 157 |
| Anthony Duclair | 8 | 5 | 26 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 30.8 | 13.1 | 135 |
| Boone Jenner | 6 | 1 | 26 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 23.1 | 9.9 | 134 |
| Jesse Puljujarvi | 6 | 7 | 25 | 2.3 | NA | 24.0 | 10.3 | 134 |
| Pavel Zacha | 6 | 2 | 25 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 11.5 | 109 |
| Josh Morrissey | 3 | 2 | 26 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 108 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 9 | 6 | 29 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 31.0 | 15.9 | 95 |
| Andrew Mangiapane | 8 | 2 | 26 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 30.8 | 17.1 | 80 |
| John Carlson | 3 | 6 | 27 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 11.1 | 6.3 | 77 |
| Chris Kreider | 9 | 3 | 36 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 25.0 | 14.2 | 76 |
| Brandon Tanev | 6 | 2 | 31 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 19.4 | 11.1 | 75 |
| Brock Nelson | 7 | 2 | 30 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 23.3 | 13.4 | 74 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 10 | 13 | 33 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 30.3 | 17.4 | 74 |
| Cam Atkinson | 6 | 2 | 31 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 19.4 | 11.4 | 69 |
| Andrew Copp | 5 | 7 | 26 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 19.2 | 11.5 | 68 |
| Ryan Hartman | 6 | 1 | 38 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 15.8 | 9.4 | 68 |
| Tage Thompson | 4 | 3 | 32 | 2.7 | 8.1 | 12.5 | 7.6 | 65 |
| Adam Fox | 3 | 10 | 29 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 10.3 | 6.3 | 65 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | 7 | 4 | 32 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 21.9 | 13.4 | 63 |
| Patrice Bergeron | 5 | 4 | 28 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 17.9 | 11.0 | 63 |
| Mark Giordano | 3 | 4 | 26 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 11.5 | 7.1 | 62 |
| Roman Josi | 4 | 8 | 39 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 10.3 | 6.3 | 62 |
| Elias Lindholm | 7 | 7 | 37 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 18.9 | 11.8 | 60 |
| Jonathan Marchessault | 6 | 4 | 35 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 17.1 | 10.7 | 60 |
| Zach Hyman | 7 | 3 | 35 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 20.0 | 12.6 | 59 |
| Jordan Eberle | 7 | 2 | 34 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 20.6 | 13.2 | 56 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 5 | 8 | 27 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 18.5 | 12.0 | 55 |
| Danton Heinen | 4 | 3 | 25 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 16.0 | 10.3 | 55 |
| Sam Bennett | 5 | 3 | 31 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 16.1 | 10.4 | 55 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 4 | 2 | 28 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 14.3 | 9.4 | 52 |
| Sean Couturier | 5 | 7 | 28 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 17.9 | 11.7 | 52 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 7 | 8 | 39 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 18.0 | 11.8 | 52 |
| Lawson Crouse | 4 | 2 | 29 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 13.8 | 9.2 | 50 |
| Victor Hedman | 1 | 9 | 31 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 6.8 | -52 |
| Logan O'Connor | 1 | 2 | 29 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 7.3 | -53 |
| Dustin Brown | 2 | 5 | 44 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 4.6 | 9.8 | -53 |
| David Pastrnak | 3 | 5 | 45 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 6.7 | 14.1 | -53 |
| Elias Pettersson | 3 | 6 | 41 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 7.3 | 16.6 | -56 |
| Seth Jones | 1 | 11 | 45 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 5.2 | -57 |
| Trevor Moore | 1 | 0 | 25 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 9.5 | -58 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 1 | 7 | 26 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 3.9 | 9.8 | -61 |
| Patric Hornqvist | 1 | 5 | 27 | 2.1 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 9.6 | -61 |
| Ondrej Kase | 1 | 1 | 32 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 8.9 | -65 |
| Brent Burns | 1 | 10 | 43 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 6.7 | -65 |
| Pierre Engvall | 1 | 2 | 29 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 9.9 | -65 |
| Nils Hoglander | 1 | 3 | 30 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 9.5 | -65 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | 2 | 7 | 41 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 4.9 | 14.6 | -67 |
| Dillon Dube | 1 | 6 | 33 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 9.5 | -68 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 2 | 44 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 7.3 | -69 |
| Wayne Simmonds | 1 | 2 | 26 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3.9 | 12.5 | -69 |
| James van Riemsdyk | 1 | 4 | 28 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 11.9 | -70 |
| Kevin Fiala | 1 | 4 | 33 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 10.7 | -72 |
| Christian Dvorak | 1 | 4 | 29 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 13.0 | -74 |
| Tanner Pearson | 1 | 4 | 36 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 11.2 | -75 |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 1 | 1 | 36 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 12.3 | -77 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 1 | 11 | 39 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 11.2 | -77 |
| Jonathan Toews | 0 | 8 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 13.8 | -100 |
| Joel Armia | 0 | 1 | 29 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 9.1 | -100 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 5 | 25 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
| Gustav Forsling | 0 | 10 | 30 | 2.3 | NA | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
| Thomas Chabot | 0 | 4 | 35 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.6 | -100 |
| Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.8 | -100 |
| Erik Cernak | 0 | 3 | 29 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| Darnell Nurse | 0 | 9 | 42 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 0 | 1 | 35 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 0.0 | 6.9 | -100 |
| Esa Lindell | 0 | 1 | 26 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Roope Hintz | 0 | 2 | 29 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 12.6 | -100 |
| Jacob Trouba | 0 | 3 | 28 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 4.6 | -100 |
| Morgan Rielly | 0 | 8 | 29 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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