Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marcus Foligno | 18 | 10 | 69 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 26.1 | 13.6 | 92 |
Brayden Schenn | 16 | 15 | 63 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 25.4 | 13.5 | 88 |
Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 11 | 11 | 61 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 9.8 | 84 |
Dylan Larkin | 27 | 29 | 148 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 18.2 | 10.0 | 82 |
Gabriel Landeskog | 29 | 26 | 133 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 21.8 | 12.3 | 78 |
Filip Forsberg | 27 | 18 | 118 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 22.9 | 12.9 | 78 |
Adam Boqvist | 10 | 9 | 50 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 20.0 | 11.5 | 74 |
Vinnie Hinostroza | 8 | 9 | 54 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 14.8 | 8.5 | 74 |
Sean Kuraly | 8 | 10 | 80 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 10.0 | 5.9 | 69 |
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 6 | 9 | 48 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 12.5 | 7.6 | 65 |
David Kampf | 8 | 12 | 65 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 12.3 | 7.4 | 65 |
Jack Hughes | 17 | 22 | 112 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 15.2 | 9.3 | 64 |
Barclay Goodrow | 11 | 11 | 73 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 15.1 | 9.2 | 63 |
Anthony Duclair | 20 | 20 | 92 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 21.7 | 13.5 | 61 |
Troy Terry | 27 | 19 | 114 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 23.7 | 14.8 | 60 |
Alexandre Texier | 11 | 9 | 59 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 18.6 | 11.6 | 60 |
Ilya Mikheyev | 9 | 5 | 63 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 14.3 | 9.0 | 60 |
Mats Zuccarello | 17 | 36 | 91 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 18.7 | 11.8 | 59 |
Samuel Girard | 5 | 22 | 63 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 7.9 | 5.0 | 58 |
Brandon Tanev | 9 | 6 | 51 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 57 |
Colton Parayko | 6 | 15 | 87 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 54 |
Valeri Nichushkin | 14 | 15 | 100 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 14.0 | 9.2 | 51 |
Jared McCann | 21 | 12 | 130 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 16.2 | 10.7 | 51 |
Torey Krug | 6 | 22 | 81 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 7.4 | 4.9 | 51 |
Wayne Simmonds | 4 | 9 | 65 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 6.2 | 12.4 | -51 |
Phil Kessel | 6 | 27 | 112 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 5.4 | 10.9 | -51 |
Ryan Pulock | 1 | 5 | 42 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 4.8 | -51 |
Riley Sheahan | 2 | 8 | 45 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4.4 | 9.0 | -51 |
Dustin Brown | 6 | 16 | 126 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 9.6 | -51 |
Seth Jones | 3 | 31 | 129 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 5.0 | -53 |
Marc Staal | 1 | 9 | 49 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4.4 | -53 |
Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 4 | 12 | 121 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 7.1 | -54 |
Sam Lafferty | 1 | 3 | 40 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 5.4 | -54 |
Duncan Keith | 1 | 13 | 53 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4.2 | -55 |
Brendan Gallagher | 4 | 8 | 93 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 9.8 | -56 |
Radek Faksa | 2 | 10 | 48 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 10.0 | -58 |
Dante Fabbro | 1 | 13 | 58 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 4.2 | -59 |
Jonathan Toews | 4 | 15 | 73 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 5.5 | 13.7 | -60 |
Joel Armia | 2 | 5 | 58 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 9.0 | -62 |
Jakob Chychrun | 3 | 12 | 123 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 6.5 | -63 |
Marco Scandella | 1 | 9 | 53 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 5.1 | -63 |
Nick Leddy | 1 | 11 | 49 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 5.7 | -64 |
Max Comtois | 2 | 4 | 44 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 14.0 | -67 |
Nick Foligno | 2 | 7 | 59 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 11.3 | -70 |
Ryan Getzlaf | 3 | 28 | 89 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 11.1 | -70 |
John Marino | 1 | 17 | 60 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5.6 | -70 |
John Hayden | 1 | 2 | 57 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 5.9 | -70 |
Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 11 | 62 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 5.5 | -71 |
Keith Yandle | 1 | 13 | 80 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4.3 | -71 |
Zack MacEwen | 1 | 3 | 50 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 7.0 | -71 |
Jakob Silfverberg | 3 | 16 | 113 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 9.4 | -72 |
Zach Aston-Reese | 1 | 9 | 48 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 8.7 | -76 |
Alexander Radulov | 2 | 15 | 67 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 12.9 | -77 |
Jakub Voracek | 2 | 38 | 98 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 8.9 | -77 |
John Klingberg | 1 | 25 | 73 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 6.3 | -78 |
Tyler Myers | 1 | 12 | 91 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6.3 | -83 |
Loui Eriksson | 1 | 11 | 52 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 12.7 | -85 |
Joonas Donskoi | 1 | 15 | 64 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 11.2 | -86 |
Danny DeKeyser | 0 | 5 | 50 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 5.7 | -100 |
Matt Benning | 0 | 9 | 44 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
Zdeno Chara | 0 | 8 | 53 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6.1 | -100 |
Gavin Bayreuther | 0 | 8 | 40 | 1.2 | 11.2 | 0.0 | 3.7 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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