Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Oleksiak | 9 | 12 | 67 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 13.4 | 6.1 | 120 |
| Julien Gauthier | 8 | 5 | 52 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 15.4 | 7.7 | 100 |
| Olli Maatta | 5 | 14 | 57 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 8.8 | 4.5 | 97 |
| Brady Skjei | 16 | 17 | 166 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 9.6 | 5.3 | 83 |
| Nic Dowd | 13 | 12 | 58 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 22.4 | 13.0 | 73 |
| Connor Murphy | 6 | 5 | 77 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 7.8 | 4.6 | 68 |
| Nicholas Paul | 17 | 15 | 111 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 15.3 | 9.1 | 68 |
| Jared McCann | 35 | 24 | 176 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 19.9 | 12.1 | 65 |
| Brett Ritchie | 8 | 4 | 61 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 13.1 | 8.1 | 63 |
| Erik Karlsson | 22 | 69 | 198 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 11.1 | 6.8 | 62 |
| Sean Kuraly | 10 | 7 | 88 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 11.4 | 7.2 | 59 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 35 | 61 | 183 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 19.1 | 12.2 | 57 |
| William Carrier | 16 | 9 | 118 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 13.6 | 8.8 | 54 |
| Calle Jarnkrok | 18 | 18 | 95 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 19.0 | 12.4 | 53 |
| Alex Tuch | 32 | 37 | 186 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 17.2 | 11.4 | 51 |
| Nick Holden | 2 | 13 | 59 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3.4 | 6.8 | -50 |
| Nick Leddy | 2 | 19 | 73 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 5.6 | -51 |
| Jake Evans | 2 | 12 | 50 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 8.2 | -51 |
| Zach Bogosian | 1 | 4 | 51 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 4.1 | -52 |
| Casey Cizikas | 5 | 15 | 99 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 10.6 | -52 |
| Pat Maroon | 3 | 9 | 59 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 10.8 | -53 |
| Jordan Greenway | 3 | 5 | 77 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3.9 | 8.2 | -53 |
| Alec Martinez | 2 | 11 | 65 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 7.2 | -57 |
| Cole Sillinger | 3 | 8 | 93 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 7.9 | -59 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 3 | 14 | 55 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5.5 | 13.3 | -59 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 5 | 15 | 92 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 5.4 | 13.9 | -61 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 5 | 12 | 99 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 5.1 | 13.8 | -63 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 2 | 26 | 65 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 8.6 | -64 |
| Carson Soucy | 2 | 11 | 79 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 6.9 | -64 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 20 | 90 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 6.8 | -67 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 1 | 17 | 63 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4.8 | -67 |
| Dante Fabbro | 1 | 9 | 86 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3.6 | -68 |
| Colin Blackwell | 2 | 8 | 53 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 11.7 | -68 |
| Chris Tanev | 1 | 12 | 65 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5.2 | -70 |
| Cody Ceci | 1 | 13 | 81 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4.2 | -70 |
| Jack Johnson | 1 | 5 | 76 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4.7 | -72 |
| Parker Kelly | 1 | 3 | 59 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 8.3 | -80 |
| Tyler Myers | 1 | 14 | 95 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5.8 | -82 |
| Niko Mikkola | 0 | 5 | 54 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 2.8 | -100 |
| Brendan Smith | 0 | 5 | 54 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 4.6 | -100 |
| Erik Johnson | 0 | 7 | 83 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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