Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Doughty | 11 | 13 | 80 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 13.8 | 6.4 | 116 |
| Jake Middleton | 7 | 11 | 51 | 1.1 | NA | 13.7 | 6.6 | 109 |
| Jake Walman | 9 | 8 | 68 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 13.2 | 6.4 | 106 |
| Jason Dickinson | 15 | 9 | 71 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 21.1 | 10.3 | 105 |
| Colton Parayko | 8 | 9 | 90 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 8.9 | 4.5 | 99 |
| Sam Lafferty | 10 | 10 | 49 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 20.4 | 10.3 | 98 |
| Robby Fabbri | 13 | 7 | 45 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 28.9 | 15.0 | 93 |
| Noah Hanifin | 8 | 17 | 87 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 9.2 | 4.8 | 91 |
| Connor Dewar | 7 | 2 | 43 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 16.3 | 8.6 | 89 |
| Jake McCabe | 4 | 13 | 42 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 9.5 | 5.1 | 87 |
| Curtis Lazar | 6 | 10 | 40 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 15.0 | 8.2 | 84 |
| Stefan Noesen | 11 | 16 | 57 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 19.3 | 10.6 | 83 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 11 | 17 | 115 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 9.6 | 5.3 | 81 |
| Quinn Hughes | 12 | 45 | 113 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 10.6 | 5.9 | 81 |
| Blake Coleman | 20 | 19 | 109 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 18.4 | 10.3 | 79 |
| Sam Reinhart | 34 | 24 | 127 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 26.8 | 15.2 | 76 |
| Logan O'Connor | 11 | 11 | 69 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 15.9 | 9.3 | 71 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 10 | 16 | 65 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 15.4 | 9.1 | 70 |
| Adam Fox | 8 | 27 | 65 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 12.3 | 7.2 | 70 |
| Trent Frederic | 13 | 12 | 67 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 19.4 | 12.0 | 62 |
| Charlie Coyle | 17 | 21 | 94 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 18.1 | 11.2 | 61 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 14 | 11 | 84 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 16.7 | 10.4 | 61 |
| Tyler Seguin | 17 | 19 | 96 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 17.7 | 11.0 | 61 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 8 | 14 | 72 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 60 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 22 | 20 | 128 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 17.2 | 10.8 | 59 |
| Brock Boeser | 27 | 19 | 125 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 21.6 | 13.6 | 59 |
| Michael McLeod | 10 | 9 | 73 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 13.7 | 8.7 | 57 |
| Sean Kuraly | 6 | 5 | 51 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 11.8 | 7.5 | 57 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 7 | 20 | 99 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 7.1 | 4.5 | 57 |
| Anthony Mantha | 14 | 7 | 74 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 18.9 | 12.2 | 55 |
| Kevin Stenlund | 8 | 2 | 44 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 18.2 | 11.8 | 54 |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 11 | 8 | 68 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 16.2 | 10.5 | 54 |
| Sean Durzi | 7 | 20 | 72 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 9.7 | 6.3 | 54 |
| A.J. Greer | 6 | 4 | 47 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 12.8 | 8.3 | 54 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 5 | 8 | 60 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 8.3 | 5.5 | 53 |
| Quinton Byfield | 14 | 19 | 87 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 16.1 | 10.5 | 53 |
| Nico Hischier | 13 | 13 | 69 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 18.8 | 12.4 | 52 |
| Mason Marchment | 15 | 19 | 87 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 17.2 | 11.5 | 50 |
| Calen Addison | 1 | 11 | 51 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -51 |
| Kevin Labanc | 2 | 5 | 43 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 9.4 | -51 |
| John Carlson | 3 | 24 | 99 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 6.3 | -52 |
| Cam Fowler | 2 | 20 | 69 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 6.2 | -53 |
| Jonny Brodzinski | 1 | 8 | 43 | 1.5 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 4.9 | -53 |
| Christian Fischer | 2 | 7 | 49 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 8.8 | -54 |
| Brandon Montour | 2 | 8 | 76 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 5.8 | -54 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 2 | 14 | 72 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 6.2 | -55 |
| Mikey Anderson | 1 | 13 | 59 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3.7 | -55 |
| Nate Schmidt | 1 | 6 | 44 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 5.2 | -56 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 8 | 20 | 147 | 3.5 | 4.7 | 5.4 | 12.8 | -57 |
| Jack Roslovic | 2 | 8 | 40 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 12.0 | -58 |
| Nick Cousins | 2 | 3 | 63 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 7.7 | -59 |
| Tyson Barrie | 1 | 10 | 40 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 6.3 | -60 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 1 | 10 | 48 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 5.3 | -61 |
| Mark Giordano | 1 | 5 | 40 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 6.7 | -63 |
| Jonas Brodin | 1 | 11 | 57 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4.8 | -63 |
| Anton Lundell | 3 | 13 | 89 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 9.0 | -63 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 9 | 61 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4.5 | -63 |
| Justin Faulk | 2 | 17 | 90 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 5.9 | -63 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 1 | 9 | 50 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 5.7 | -65 |
| Thomas Chabot | 1 | 10 | 51 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 5.5 | -65 |
| Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 42 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 14.0 | -66 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 2 | 19 | 103 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 5.9 | -67 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 1 | 16 | 61 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 5.6 | -71 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 18 | 97 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 4.8 | -79 |
| Zach Werenski | 1 | 24 | 87 | 2.6 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 6.8 | -83 |
| Jordan Spence | 0 | 14 | 49 | 1.2 | 13.7 | 0.0 | 2.1 | -100 |
| Cody Ceci | 0 | 13 | 47 | 1.1 | NA | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
| Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 11 | 46 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 6.4 | -100 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 0 | 11 | 44 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 0 | 3 | 40 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 7.6 | -100 |
| Connor Brown | 0 | 4 | 65 | 1.8 | NA | 0.0 | 10.7 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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