Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 30 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Andersson | 5 | 7 | 36 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 13.9 | 4.8 | 188 |
| Matt Duchene | 10 | 11 | 31 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 32.3 | 13.5 | 139 |
| Stefan Noesen | 9 | 7 | 35 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 25.7 | 11.0 | 134 |
| Morgan Rielly | 4 | 9 | 36 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 11.1 | 4.8 | 134 |
| Colton Parayko | 4 | 7 | 38 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 10.5 | 4.6 | 131 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 4 | 8 | 31 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 12.9 | 5.9 | 120 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 8 | 2 | 37 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 21.6 | 9.9 | 118 |
| Martin Necas | 11 | 19 | 42 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 26.2 | 12.3 | 113 |
| Jordan Martinook | 6 | 5 | 34 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 17.7 | 8.5 | 107 |
| Cole Caufield | 12 | 4 | 46 | 2.4 | 4.3 | 26.1 | 12.6 | 106 |
| Dylan Larkin | 11 | 4 | 48 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 22.9 | 11.2 | 106 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 5 | 5 | 33 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 15.2 | 7.8 | 94 |
| Tyler Seguin | 7 | 8 | 33 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 21.2 | 11.2 | 90 |
| Damon Severson | 4 | 4 | 35 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 11.4 | 6.1 | 88 |
| Connor McMichael | 12 | 7 | 48 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 25.0 | 13.4 | 87 |
| Owen Power | 3 | 10 | 30 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 10.0 | 5.4 | 85 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 15 | 10 | 63 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 23.8 | 13.0 | 84 |
| Sam Reinhart | 14 | 15 | 48 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 29.2 | 16.0 | 82 |
| Alex Laferriere | 9 | 6 | 46 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 19.6 | 10.9 | 80 |
| Travis Sanheim | 5 | 7 | 46 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 10.9 | 6.2 | 77 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 4 | 9 | 32 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 12.5 | 7.3 | 72 |
| Ryan Donato | 8 | 3 | 46 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 17.4 | 10.1 | 71 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 7 | 7 | 41 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 17.1 | 10.0 | 70 |
| Jack Roslovic | 9 | 1 | 44 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 20.5 | 12.2 | 68 |
| Tage Thompson | 11 | 7 | 51 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 21.6 | 13.0 | 67 |
| Noah Hanifin | 3 | 5 | 36 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 66 |
| Sam Bennett | 9 | 9 | 52 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 17.3 | 10.6 | 63 |
| Brett Howden | 7 | 1 | 35 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 20.0 | 12.3 | 63 |
| Jared McCann | 9 | 12 | 44 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 20.5 | 12.6 | 62 |
| Ross Colton | 8 | 1 | 37 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 21.6 | 13.3 | 62 |
| JJ Peterka | 7 | 9 | 36 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 19.4 | 12.1 | 61 |
| Mark Scheifele | 12 | 12 | 45 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 26.7 | 17.0 | 57 |
| Travis Konecny | 11 | 12 | 55 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 20.0 | 12.8 | 56 |
| Tim Stuetzle | 8 | 14 | 39 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 20.5 | 13.3 | 55 |
| Will Cuylle | 6 | 8 | 31 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 19.4 | 12.6 | 54 |
| Mason Marchment | 6 | 12 | 33 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 18.2 | 11.9 | 53 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 3 | 4 | 35 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 8.6 | 5.6 | 52 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 2 | 9 | 40 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 5.0 | 10.1 | -50 |
| Jeff Skinner | 3 | 3 | 55 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 5.5 | 11.1 | -51 |
| Shea Theodore | 1 | 12 | 37 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 5.6 | -51 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 2 | 3 | 38 | 2.4 | 4.9 | 5.3 | 10.9 | -52 |
| Brayden Schenn | 3 | 6 | 47 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 6.4 | 13.4 | -52 |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 2 | 0 | 31 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 6.5 | 13.8 | -53 |
| Jonathan Marchessault | 3 | 7 | 57 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 5.3 | 11.4 | -54 |
| Justin Faulk | 1 | 4 | 38 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 5.8 | -54 |
| Roman Josi | 2 | 12 | 69 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 6.6 | -56 |
| Zach Hyman | 3 | 5 | 51 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 5.9 | 13.4 | -56 |
| Lucas Raymond | 2 | 15 | 32 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 6.3 | 14.2 | -56 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 2 | 7 | 40 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 5.0 | 11.9 | -58 |
| Adam Henrique | 2 | 2 | 31 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 15.3 | -58 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 4 | 9 | 69 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 5.8 | 14.2 | -59 |
| Jake Walman | 1 | 10 | 40 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 6.1 | -59 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 6 | 38 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 6.7 | -61 |
| Thomas Chabot | 1 | 10 | 47 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 5.8 | -63 |
| Thomas Harley | 1 | 7 | 38 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 7.5 | -65 |
| Frank Vatrano | 2 | 5 | 54 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 10.6 | -65 |
| Kirby Dach | 1 | 7 | 35 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 8.8 | -67 |
| Phillip Danault | 1 | 9 | 30 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 10.1 | -67 |
| Wyatt Johnston | 2 | 5 | 44 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 4.6 | 13.8 | -67 |
| Noah Dobson | 1 | 7 | 57 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 5.6 | -69 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 1 | 14 | 68 | 3.2 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 6.3 | -77 |
| Jacob Trouba | 0 | 5 | 34 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
| Ryan Pulock | 0 | 7 | 33 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 4.6 | -100 |
| Brent Burns | 0 | 5 | 34 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 6.5 | -100 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 0 | 13 | 36 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 13.6 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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