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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

December 18, 2024   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Mikhail Sergachev 7 15 49 1.6 2.4 14.3 6.1 135
Aliaksei Protas 11 15 56 1.8 2.0 19.6 8.4 134
Jakob Chychrun 9 12 59 2.3 3.8 15.3 7.2 111
Matt Duchene 13 17 49 1.6 2.7 26.5 13.5 96
Rasmus Andersson 6 9 64 2.0 2.0 9.4 4.8 96
Artturi Lehkonen 10 5 48 2.3 3.0 20.8 10.8 92
Tyler Seguin 9 11 43 2.3 2.7 20.9 11.2 87
Brayden Point 21 16 59 2.4 3.0 35.6 19.0 87
Alex Ovechkin 15 10 63 3.5 4.2 23.8 13.0 84
Colton Parayko 5 11 60 1.8 1.8 8.3 4.6 82
Jordan Martinook 8 8 52 1.7 1.9 15.4 8.6 80
Damon Severson 6 11 56 1.8 1.6 10.7 6.1 74
Stefan Noesen 14 9 73 2.1 2.4 19.2 11.1 73
Kiefer Sherwood 11 6 61 2.0 3.5 18.0 10.5 71
Adam Lowry 9 11 48 1.5 1.5 18.8 11.1 69
Jonathan Huberdeau 11 11 53 1.7 2.1 20.8 12.4 67
Jack Roslovic 13 5 63 2.0 1.9 20.6 12.4 66
Kent Johnson 9 9 41 2.3 2.1 22.0 13.2 66
Alex Laferriere 12 10 64 2.1 1.8 18.8 11.4 65
Pius Suter 11 7 53 1.8 1.8 20.8 12.5 65
Alexander Wennberg 8 8 45 1.3 1.2 17.8 10.8 64
Brett Howden 11 1 53 1.7 1.4 20.8 12.8 63
Ivan Barbashev 15 15 51 1.6 1.5 29.4 18.1 63
Cole Caufield 17 12 84 2.7 4.3 20.2 12.7 60
Luke Kunin 8 4 46 1.4 1.9 17.4 10.8 60
Ross Colton 10 1 47 2.9 2.0 21.3 13.4 58
Jake DeBrusk 14 9 69 2.3 2.8 20.3 12.9 57
Marco Rossi 11 14 52 1.7 2.9 21.2 13.5 57
Rickard Rakell 14 10 79 2.4 3.0 17.7 11.3 57
Evan Rodrigues 7 8 57 1.8 2.8 12.3 7.8 57
Martin Necas 14 30 74 2.4 2.8 18.9 12.2 55
Matt Coronato 8 6 56 2.1 4.1 14.3 9.3 53
Anthony Cirelli 12 15 57 2.0 2.1 21.1 14.0 51
Brendan Gallagher 8 7 54 1.7 3.3 14.8 9.8 51
Joel Farabee 4 7 67 2.2 2.1 6.0 12.0 -50
Thomas Chabot 2 13 73 2.4 3.6 2.7 5.7 -52
Ryan Pulock 1 10 46 1.4 2.2 2.2 4.7 -54
Brent Burns 2 6 66 2.1 2.6 3.0 6.5 -54
Kirby Dach 2 7 50 1.6 3.3 4.0 8.7 -54
Alexander Holtz 2 7 41 1.3 2.3 4.9 10.7 -54
Sam Malinski 1 3 49 1.5 4.8 2.0 5.0 -59
Erik Karlsson 2 18 79 2.4 2.9 2.5 6.7 -62
Christian Dvorak 2 8 42 1.4 2.3 4.8 12.8 -63
Jake Sanderson 1 15 64 2.1 1.9 1.6 4.2 -63
Devon Toews 1 12 45 1.6 2.3 2.2 6.2 -64
Andre Burakovsky 2 10 44 1.4 2.7 4.6 13.4 -66
Justin Faulk 1 8 53 1.7 2.5 1.9 5.7 -67
Adam Fox 1 24 47 1.5 2.1 2.1 7.4 -71
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 1 10 55 1.8 2.1 1.8 6.7 -73
Aaron Ekblad 1 14 57 1.8 3.6 1.8 6.6 -74
Adam Henrique 2 7 50 1.6 2.5 4.0 15.2 -74
Jacob Trouba 0 6 50 1.8 2.4 0.0 4.4 -100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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