Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Dunn | 8 | 10 | 43 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 18.6 | 7.7 | 141 |
| Aliaksei Protas | 18 | 17 | 74 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 24.3 | 10.2 | 138 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 8 | 20 | 65 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 12.3 | 6.1 | 102 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 14 | 6 | 63 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 22.2 | 11.0 | 101 |
| Colton Parayko | 7 | 16 | 78 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 9.0 | 4.6 | 93 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 10 | 3 | 52 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 19.2 | 10.1 | 91 |
| Mathieu Olivier | 10 | 6 | 49 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 20.4 | 10.7 | 91 |
| Eric Robinson | 9 | 11 | 46 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 19.6 | 10.4 | 89 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 11 | 17 | 80 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 13.8 | 7.3 | 89 |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 17 | 13 | 72 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 23.6 | 12.6 | 87 |
| Tyler Seguin | 9 | 11 | 43 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 20.9 | 11.2 | 87 |
| Anze Kopitar | 12 | 27 | 49 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 24.5 | 13.1 | 86 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 11 | 6 | 52 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 21.2 | 11.6 | 83 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 9 | 9 | 48 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 18.8 | 10.8 | 74 |
| Rickard Rakell | 20 | 15 | 102 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 19.6 | 11.5 | 71 |
| Jack Roslovic | 17 | 8 | 80 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 21.3 | 12.7 | 68 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 3 | 5 | 42 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 67 |
| Brett Howden | 15 | 6 | 68 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 22.1 | 13.3 | 66 |
| Damon Severson | 6 | 11 | 59 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 10.2 | 6.1 | 66 |
| Vladislav Namestnikov | 9 | 11 | 43 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 20.9 | 12.7 | 65 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 6 | 12 | 77 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 7.8 | 4.7 | 65 |
| Brock Boeser | 14 | 12 | 60 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 23.3 | 14.2 | 64 |
| Matt Duchene | 16 | 22 | 72 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 22.2 | 13.5 | 64 |
| Ivan Barbashev | 15 | 15 | 51 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 29.4 | 18.1 | 63 |
| Noah Hanifin | 6 | 15 | 72 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 8.3 | 5.1 | 63 |
| Nick Paul | 10 | 11 | 56 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 17.9 | 11.0 | 63 |
| Nick Foligno | 10 | 7 | 56 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 17.9 | 11.4 | 57 |
| Jason Zucker | 15 | 16 | 76 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 19.7 | 12.6 | 57 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 19 | 11 | 93 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 20.4 | 13.0 | 57 |
| Tom Wilson | 18 | 14 | 93 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 19.4 | 12.4 | 56 |
| Brayden Point | 24 | 22 | 82 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 29.3 | 18.9 | 55 |
| Mats Zuccarello | 10 | 17 | 57 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 17.5 | 11.4 | 54 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 17 | 12 | 85 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 54 |
| Adam Lowry | 10 | 14 | 59 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 53 |
| Jason Dickinson | 7 | 6 | 42 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 16.7 | 11.0 | 52 |
| Stefan Noesen | 16 | 11 | 96 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 16.7 | 11.0 | 51 |
| Zach Bogosian | 3 | 5 | 48 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 51 |
| Cody Ceci | 3 | 8 | 46 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 51 |
| Jan Rutta | 1 | 5 | 45 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 4.5 | -51 |
| Connor Murphy | 1 | 12 | 45 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 4.5 | -51 |
| Vladimir Tarasenko | 4 | 10 | 64 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 6.3 | 12.7 | -51 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 1 | 9 | 40 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 5.2 | -52 |
| Christian Dvorak | 3 | 9 | 50 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 6.0 | 12.7 | -53 |
| Arber Xhekaj | 1 | 4 | 43 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 5.0 | -54 |
| Mike Matheson | 2 | 18 | 74 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 5.9 | -54 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 13 | 70 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 6.7 | -57 |
| Michael Carcone | 3 | 6 | 50 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 14.2 | -58 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 3 | 12 | 54 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 5.6 | 13.4 | -58 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 2 | 18 | 74 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 6.6 | -59 |
| Sam Malinski | 1 | 4 | 59 | 1.4 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 4.4 | -62 |
| Carson Soucy | 1 | 5 | 43 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 6.5 | -64 |
| Adam Fox | 1 | 30 | 65 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 7.2 | -79 |
| Jacob Trouba | 0 | 8 | 67 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| Nils Lundkvist | 0 | 4 | 45 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 3.7 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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