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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

January 29, 2025   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Colton Parayko 11 17 100 2.0 1.8 11.0 4.8 127
Aliaksei Protas 21 21 87 1.7 2.0 24.1 10.7 125
Jake Evans 11 14 51 1.0 1.5 21.6 10.0 116
Artturi Lehkonen 21 8 86 2.2 3.0 24.4 11.4 114
Tyler Seguin 9 11 43 2.3 2.7 20.9 11.2 87
Mikhail Sergachev 8 22 72 1.6 2.4 11.1 6.0 84
Valeri Nichushkin 11 6 52 2.5 4.3 21.2 11.6 83
Nate Schmidt 4 7 41 0.8 1.6 9.8 5.3 83
Zach Bogosian 4 7 53 1.1 1.9 7.6 4.2 80
Joel Kiviranta 10 5 58 1.1 1.4 17.2 9.9 75
Vince Dunn 10 12 76 2.4 2.1 13.2 7.7 72
Jonathan Huberdeau 19 17 88 1.8 2.1 21.6 12.6 71
Jakob Chychrun 13 20 105 2.3 3.8 12.4 7.3 70
Mathieu Olivier 10 8 57 1.1 2.0 17.5 10.3 70
Keegan Kolesar 10 11 55 1.1 1.1 18.2 10.8 68
Nick Perbix 4 8 47 1.1 1.3 8.5 5.1 66
Jamie Oleksiak 4 8 43 0.8 1.3 9.3 5.6 66
Eric Robinson 11 13 65 1.3 1.9 16.9 10.4 63
Quinn Hughes 14 42 133 3.0 2.2 10.5 6.6 60
Rickard Rakell 23 19 126 2.5 3.0 18.3 11.5 59
Cam Fowler 5 12 50 1.3 1.6 10.0 6.3 58
Cody Ceci 4 11 59 1.1 1.3 6.8 4.3 56
Matt Duchene 18 30 86 1.7 2.7 20.9 13.5 55
Nick Paul 14 14 82 1.9 1.8 17.1 11.1 54
Seth Jones 5 18 64 1.9 2.9 7.8 5.2 51
Adam Lowry 11 15 66 1.4 1.5 16.7 11.1 51
Rasmus Andersson 7 12 98 2.0 2.0 7.1 4.7 51
James van Riemsdyk 10 11 56 1.3 2.4 17.9 11.9 50
Christian Dvorak 4 11 64 1.3 2.3 6.3 12.6 -51
Justin Danforth 3 6 55 1.9 2.6 5.5 11.2 -51
Connor Murphy 1 12 45 1.2 1.5 2.2 4.5 -51
Olli Maatta 1 10 45 1.0 0.9 2.2 4.6 -52
Erik Karlsson 4 28 128 2.5 2.9 3.1 6.6 -53
Adam Fox 3 37 87 1.7 2.1 3.5 7.3 -53
Jake Sanderson 2 25 107 2.2 1.9 1.9 4.0 -54
Justin Faulk 2 17 79 1.7 2.5 2.5 5.7 -56
Arber Xhekaj 1 4 49 1.0 2.4 2.0 4.9 -58
Ryan McDonagh 1 13 46 0.9 1.3 2.2 5.2 -58
Patrick Maroon 2 9 45 1.0 1.2 4.4 10.5 -58
Michael Carcone 3 6 51 1.6 3.0 5.9 14.1 -58
Andre Burakovsky 4 14 74 1.5 2.7 5.4 13.2 -59
Michael Amadio 2 9 42 1.1 1.8 4.8 11.6 -59
Jake McCabe 1 12 48 1.2 1.2 2.1 5.2 -60
Josh Manson 1 12 52 1.3 2.2 1.9 4.8 -60
Sam Malinski 1 4 67 1.4 4.8 1.5 4.1 -63
Martin Fehervary 1 10 47 0.9 1.4 2.1 6.0 -64
Carson Soucy 1 6 54 1.1 1.6 1.9 6.3 -71
Carl Grundstrom 1 4 43 1.3 2.5 2.3 9.8 -76
Alexey Toropchenko 1 6 46 0.9 1.9 2.2 9.3 -77
Jacob Trouba 0 11 77 1.6 2.4 0.0 4.3 -100
Zemgus Girgensons 0 2 52 1.1 1.7 0.0 8.4 -100
Nils Lundkvist 0 5 52 1.3 1.9 0.0 3.6 -100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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