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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

February 5, 2025   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Colton Parayko 12 17 105 2.0 1.8 11.4 4.9 133
Aliaksei Protas 22 23 94 1.8 2.0 23.4 10.8 117
Jake Evans 11 16 52 1.0 1.5 21.2 10.0 112
Artturi Lehkonen 21 9 91 2.1 3.0 23.1 11.4 103
Mikhail Sergachev 10 24 80 1.7 2.4 12.5 6.2 102
Tyler Seguin 9 11 43 2.3 2.7 20.9 11.2 87
Valeri Nichushkin 11 6 52 2.5 4.3 21.2 11.6 83
Joel Kiviranta 11 5 61 1.1 1.4 18.0 10.1 78
Nate Schmidt 4 8 44 0.8 1.6 9.1 5.3 71
Jakob Chychrun 13 20 108 2.3 3.8 12.0 7.3 66
Ryan McLeod 12 15 53 1.1 1.5 22.6 13.7 66
Zach Bogosian 4 7 58 1.1 1.9 6.9 4.2 65
Nick Perbix 4 9 48 1.0 1.3 8.3 5.1 64
Keegan Kolesar 10 12 57 1.1 1.1 17.5 10.8 63
Jonathan Huberdeau 20 19 97 1.8 2.1 20.6 12.6 63
Mathieu Olivier 10 8 61 1.1 2.0 16.4 10.1 62
Vince Dunn 10 14 82 2.3 2.1 12.2 7.6 60
Evan Rodrigues 13 11 103 1.9 2.8 12.6 8.0 58
Eric Robinson 12 13 73 1.4 1.9 16.4 10.4 58
Quinn Hughes 14 45 136 2.9 2.2 10.3 6.6 57
Cam Fowler 5 12 51 1.2 1.6 9.8 6.3 55
Jason Zucker 18 22 92 1.8 3.1 19.6 12.6 55
Adam Lowry 11 15 66 1.4 1.5 16.7 11.1 51
Brent Burns 4 15 124 2.3 2.6 3.2 6.5 -50
Michael Carcone 4 6 57 1.6 3.0 7.0 14.2 -50
Daniil Miromanov 1 5 42 1.2 6.5 2.4 4.8 -50
Sean Walker 2 9 91 1.7 2.6 2.2 4.5 -51
Alexander Holtz 3 8 60 1.3 2.3 5.0 10.2 -51
Max Domi 3 16 63 1.4 1.9 4.8 9.7 -51
Connor Murphy 1 12 46 1.2 1.5 2.2 4.5 -52
Nikita Zadorov 2 9 73 1.3 1.5 2.7 5.8 -53
Adam Fox 3 38 88 1.7 2.1 3.4 7.3 -53
Justin Danforth 3 7 58 1.8 2.6 5.2 11.1 -53
Olli Määttä 1 10 48 1.0 0.9 2.1 4.6 -55
Justin Faulk 2 17 81 1.6 2.5 2.5 5.7 -57
Arber Xhekaj 1 4 51 1.0 2.4 2.0 4.8 -59
Mathieu Joseph 2 3 44 1.3 1.7 4.6 11.2 -59
Carl Grundstrom 2 4 51 1.4 2.5 3.9 9.8 -60
Patrick Maroon 2 9 47 1.0 1.2 4.3 10.5 -60
Andre Burakovsky 4 15 80 1.5 2.7 5.0 13.2 -62
Jake McCabe 1 12 51 1.2 1.2 2.0 5.2 -62
Sam Malinski 1 4 70 1.3 4.8 1.4 4.0 -64
Josh Manson 1 12 57 1.3 2.2 1.8 4.8 -64
Martin Fehervary 1 11 51 1.0 1.4 2.0 5.9 -67
Alexey Toropchenko 1 7 49 0.9 1.9 2.0 9.2 -78
Zemgus Girgensons 0 2 56 1.1 1.7 0.0 8.4 -100
Nils Lundkvist 0 5 52 1.3 1.9 0.0 3.6 -100
Jacob Trouba 0 11 82 1.6 2.4 0.0 4.3 -100
Josh Mahura 0 6 42 1.0 1.5 0.0 4.4 -100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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