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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

February 12, 2025   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Colton Parayko 12 17 107 1.9 1.8 11.2 4.9 129
Aliaksei Protas 22 24 99 1.8 2.0 22.2 10.6 109
Artturi Lehkonen 23 10 100 2.2 3.0 23.0 11.4 101
Jake Evans 11 16 56 1.0 1.5 19.6 9.9 99
Tyler Seguin 9 11 43 2.3 2.7 20.9 11.2 87
Mikhail Sergachev 10 26 88 1.7 2.4 11.4 6.2 85
Valeri Nichushkin 11 6 52 2.5 4.3 21.2 11.6 83
Joel Kiviranta 11 5 61 1.1 1.4 18.0 10.1 78
Cam Fowler 6 12 54 1.3 1.6 11.1 6.4 74
Nate Schmidt 4 9 45 0.8 1.6 8.9 5.3 68
Jakob Chychrun 14 21 115 2.3 3.8 12.2 7.3 67
Ryan McLeod 12 16 54 1.1 1.5 22.2 13.6 63
Jonathan Huberdeau 21 20 103 1.9 2.1 20.4 12.6 61
Nick Perbix 4 10 49 1.0 1.3 8.2 5.1 61
Keegan Kolesar 10 12 58 1.0 1.1 17.2 10.7 60
Matt Duchene 22 33 101 1.8 2.7 21.8 13.6 60
Zach Bogosian 4 8 60 1.1 1.9 6.7 4.2 60
Quinn Hughes 14 45 136 2.9 2.2 10.3 6.6 57
Nick Paul 16 14 91 1.9 1.8 17.6 11.2 57
Seth Jones 6 20 74 1.9 2.9 8.1 5.2 56
Rasmus Andersson 8 13 109 2.0 2.0 7.3 4.8 54
James van Riemsdyk 11 14 60 1.2 2.4 18.3 11.9 54
Tom Wilson 24 18 125 2.3 2.9 19.2 12.6 53
Evan Rodrigues 13 12 107 1.9 2.8 12.2 8.0 52
Jason Zucker 18 23 94 1.8 3.1 19.2 12.6 52
Vince Dunn 10 15 87 2.4 2.1 11.5 7.6 52
Jack Roslovic 19 9 100 1.8 1.9 19.0 12.6 51
Adam Lowry 11 15 66 1.4 1.5 16.7 11.1 51
Max Domi 3 17 65 1.4 1.9 4.6 9.6 -52
Alexander Holtz 3 8 62 1.3 2.3 4.8 10.1 -52
Aaron Ekblad 3 23 94 1.9 3.6 3.2 6.6 -52
Daniil Miromanov 1 6 44 1.2 6.5 2.3 4.7 -52
Sean Walker 2 9 95 1.7 2.6 2.1 4.4 -52
Connor Murphy 1 12 46 1.1 1.5 2.2 4.5 -52
Andre Burakovsky 5 16 81 1.5 2.7 6.2 13.2 -53
Andrei Kuzmenko 4 12 40 1.1 1.8 10.0 21.4 -53
Brent Burns 4 16 133 2.4 2.6 3.0 6.5 -53
Pontus Holmberg 2 6 41 1.0 1.6 4.9 11.5 -57
Justin Faulk 2 17 85 1.6 2.5 2.4 5.7 -59
Carl Grundstrom 2 5 56 1.5 2.5 3.6 9.7 -63
Arber Xhekaj 1 4 58 1.1 2.4 1.7 4.6 -63
Josh Manson 1 12 57 1.3 2.2 1.8 4.8 -64
Sam Malinski 1 5 71 1.3 4.8 1.4 3.9 -64
Jake McCabe 1 13 55 1.2 1.2 1.8 5.2 -65
Martin Fehervary 1 12 54 1.0 1.4 1.9 5.8 -68
Ryan Lomberg 1 4 43 0.8 1.6 2.3 7.5 -69
Alexey Toropchenko 1 8 49 0.9 1.9 2.0 9.2 -78
Zemgus Girgensons 1 2 59 1.1 1.7 1.7 8.4 -80
Jacob Trouba 0 12 84 1.6 2.4 0.0 4.3 -100
Nils Lundkvist 0 5 52 1.3 1.9 0.0 3.6 -100
Josh Mahura 0 6 47 1.0 1.5 0.0 4.3 -100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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