Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Parayko | 13 | 19 | 112 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 11.6 | 4.9 | 135 |
| Aliaksei Protas | 23 | 27 | 107 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 21.5 | 10.7 | 101 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 23 | 11 | 104 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 22.1 | 11.4 | 94 |
| Jake Evans | 11 | 16 | 58 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 19.0 | 9.8 | 93 |
| Tyler Seguin | 9 | 11 | 43 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 20.9 | 11.2 | 87 |
| Cam Fowler | 7 | 15 | 59 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 11.9 | 6.4 | 85 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 11 | 6 | 52 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 21.2 | 11.6 | 83 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 17 | 22 | 128 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 13.3 | 7.5 | 78 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 10 | 26 | 93 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 10.8 | 6.1 | 76 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 11 | 5 | 63 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 17.5 | 10.0 | 74 |
| Ryan McLeod | 14 | 16 | 58 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 24.1 | 14.1 | 72 |
| Seth Jones | 7 | 20 | 78 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 9.0 | 5.2 | 71 |
| Nick Paul | 18 | 14 | 95 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 19.0 | 11.4 | 66 |
| Nate Schmidt | 4 | 9 | 46 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 8.7 | 5.3 | 64 |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 22 | 21 | 107 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 20.6 | 12.7 | 62 |
| James van Riemsdyk | 12 | 14 | 62 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 19.4 | 11.9 | 62 |
| Nick Perbix | 4 | 10 | 49 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 8.2 | 5.1 | 61 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 10 | 12 | 58 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 17.2 | 10.7 | 60 |
| Ivan Provorov | 7 | 20 | 72 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 9.7 | 6.2 | 58 |
| Matt Duchene | 23 | 36 | 108 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 21.3 | 13.6 | 57 |
| Tom Wilson | 26 | 19 | 131 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 19.9 | 12.7 | 57 |
| Quinn Hughes | 14 | 45 | 136 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 10.3 | 6.6 | 57 |
| Zach Bogosian | 4 | 8 | 61 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 57 |
| Vince Dunn | 11 | 15 | 94 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 11.7 | 7.6 | 53 |
| Morgan Rielly | 7 | 23 | 97 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 7.2 | 4.8 | 52 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 8 | 13 | 111 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 7.2 | 4.8 | 51 |
| Mathieu Olivier | 11 | 8 | 73 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 15.1 | 10.0 | 50 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 3 | 21 | 91 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 6.7 | -51 |
| Daniil Miromanov | 1 | 6 | 44 | 1.2 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 4.7 | -52 |
| Alexander Holtz | 3 | 8 | 62 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 4.8 | 10.1 | -52 |
| Sean Walker | 2 | 9 | 96 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 4.4 | -53 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 3 | 24 | 99 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 6.6 | -54 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 5 | 16 | 84 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 13.2 | -55 |
| Brent Burns | 4 | 17 | 137 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 6.5 | -55 |
| Connor Murphy | 1 | 12 | 50 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 4.5 | -56 |
| Max Domi | 3 | 19 | 71 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4.2 | 9.6 | -56 |
| Justin Faulk | 2 | 20 | 89 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 5.7 | -60 |
| Carl Grundstrom | 2 | 5 | 56 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 9.7 | -63 |
| Arber Xhekaj | 1 | 5 | 59 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 4.6 | -63 |
| Josh Manson | 1 | 12 | 57 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 4.8 | -64 |
| Ryan Lomberg | 1 | 6 | 49 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 7.3 | -72 |
| Alexey Toropchenko | 1 | 8 | 52 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 9.2 | -79 |
| Zemgus Girgensons | 1 | 3 | 62 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 8.4 | -81 |
| Josh Mahura | 0 | 7 | 49 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| P.O Joseph | 0 | 3 | 42 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.5 | -100 |
| Nils Lundkvist | 0 | 5 | 52 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 3.6 | -100 |
| Jacob Trouba | 0 | 12 | 85 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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