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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

March 5, 2025   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Colton Parayko 15 19 122 2.0 1.8 12.3 5.0 144
Blake Lizotte 9 5 41 0.9 1.5 22.0 10.3 113
Jake Evans 12 16 59 1.0 1.5 20.3 10.1 102
Artturi Lehkonen 26 11 113 2.3 3.0 23.0 11.6 99
Aliaksei Protas 23 28 115 1.9 2.0 20.0 10.4 92
Nate Schmidt 5 10 49 0.8 1.6 10.2 5.4 89
Tyler Seguin 9 11 43 2.3 2.7 20.9 11.2 87
Mikhail Sergachev 11 28 96 1.7 2.4 11.5 6.2 85
James van Riemsdyk 14 15 66 1.2 2.4 21.2 12.0 77
Cam Fowler 7 15 63 1.3 1.6 11.1 6.4 74
Jakob Chychrun 17 22 132 2.4 3.8 12.9 7.4 73
Joel Kiviranta 11 6 64 1.0 1.4 17.2 10.0 72
Keegan Kolesar 12 12 63 1.1 1.1 19.1 11.2 70
Ryan McLeod 14 17 60 1.1 1.5 23.3 14.0 67
Jaccob Slavin 6 17 83 1.3 2.0 7.2 4.4 66
Nick Paul 18 15 97 1.8 1.8 18.6 11.4 63
Matt Duchene 25 37 112 1.8 2.7 22.3 13.7 63
Valeri Nichushkin 12 7 64 2.7 4.3 18.8 11.5 62
Seth Jones 7 20 84 2.0 2.9 8.3 5.2 60
Trevor Lewis 4 4 42 0.9 1.6 9.5 6.1 57
Tom Wilson 27 20 136 2.3 2.9 19.9 12.7 57
Nick Perbix 4 10 51 0.9 1.3 7.8 5.0 56
Ryan Donato 22 23 133 2.3 2.1 16.5 10.7 55
Zach Bogosian 4 8 62 1.0 1.9 6.5 4.2 55
Frederick Gaudreau 14 15 87 1.4 1.8 16.1 10.4 54
Ivan Provorov 7 21 74 1.2 1.6 9.5 6.2 54
Jonathan Huberdeau 22 24 113 1.9 2.1 19.5 12.6 54
Rickard Rakell 29 24 165 2.6 3.0 17.6 11.6 52
Quinn Hughes 14 46 143 2.9 2.2 9.8 6.5 50
Marcus Johansson 5 17 84 1.6 1.7 6.0 12.2 -51
Andre Burakovsky 6 16 93 1.6 2.7 6.5 13.2 -51
Daniil Miromanov 1 6 44 1.2 6.5 2.3 4.7 -52
Alexander Holtz 3 8 62 1.3 2.3 4.8 10.1 -52
Andrew Peeke 1 12 55 1.0 1.2 1.8 3.9 -53
Sean Walker 2 9 102 1.6 2.6 2.0 4.4 -55
Aaron Ekblad 3 28 105 1.9 3.6 2.9 6.6 -57
Brent Burns 4 17 146 2.4 2.6 2.7 6.4 -57
Connor Murphy 1 15 54 1.1 1.5 1.9 4.5 -59
Justin Faulk 2 20 93 1.6 2.5 2.2 5.7 -62
David Perron 2 3 41 1.9 2.5 4.9 12.7 -62
Josh Manson 1 12 57 1.3 2.2 1.8 4.8 -64
Carl Grundstrom 2 5 57 1.4 2.5 3.5 9.7 -64
Arber Xhekaj 1 5 62 1.1 2.4 1.6 4.5 -65
Ryan Lomberg 1 7 52 0.9 1.6 1.9 7.3 -74
Zemgus Girgensons 1 3 68 1.1 1.7 1.5 8.4 -82
Alexey Toropchenko 1 9 62 1.0 1.9 1.6 8.9 -82
Nils Lundkvist 0 5 52 1.3 1.9 0.0 3.6 -100
P.O Joseph 0 3 42 0.9 1.5 0.0 3.5 -100
Connor Clifton 0 9 40 0.8 1.3 0.0 3.7 -100
Josh Mahura 0 7 50 1.0 1.5 0.0 4.3 -100
Jacob Trouba 0 12 86 1.5 2.4 0.0 4.3 -100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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