Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Parayko | 15 | 20 | 122 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 12.3 | 5.0 | 144 |
| Blake Lizotte | 9 | 5 | 41 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 22.0 | 10.3 | 113 |
| Jake Evans | 12 | 17 | 60 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 99 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 9 | 19 | 46 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 19.6 | 9.8 | 99 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 27 | 14 | 118 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 22.9 | 11.6 | 97 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 15 | 6 | 68 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 22.1 | 11.2 | 97 |
| Jamie Drysdale | 5 | 11 | 47 | 0.9 | 5.9 | 10.6 | 5.5 | 95 |
| Aliaksei Protas | 28 | 30 | 125 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 22.4 | 11.5 | 94 |
| Jonny Brodzinski | 6 | 6 | 44 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 13.6 | 7.2 | 90 |
| Tyler Seguin | 9 | 11 | 43 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 20.9 | 11.2 | 87 |
| Nate Schmidt | 5 | 12 | 53 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 9.4 | 5.4 | 76 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 11 | 31 | 101 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 10.9 | 6.2 | 76 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 15 | 8 | 73 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 20.6 | 11.7 | 75 |
| James van Riemsdyk | 14 | 16 | 68 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 20.6 | 12.0 | 72 |
| Cam Fowler | 7 | 18 | 64 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 10.9 | 6.4 | 71 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 18 | 24 | 145 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 12.4 | 7.4 | 67 |
| Nick Paul | 19 | 16 | 104 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 18.3 | 11.4 | 60 |
| Tom Wilson | 29 | 25 | 143 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 20.3 | 12.8 | 59 |
| Matt Duchene | 25 | 41 | 116 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 21.6 | 13.6 | 58 |
| Mathieu Olivier | 15 | 10 | 87 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 17.2 | 11.1 | 56 |
| Adam Lowry | 14 | 15 | 80 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 17.5 | 11.2 | 56 |
| Ryan McLeod | 14 | 20 | 65 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 21.5 | 13.8 | 56 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 6 | 17 | 89 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 55 |
| Keegan Kolesar | 12 | 13 | 71 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 16.9 | 10.9 | 55 |
| Trevor Lewis | 4 | 4 | 43 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 9.3 | 6.0 | 54 |
| Ryan Donato | 23 | 25 | 139 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 16.6 | 10.7 | 54 |
| Nick Perbix | 4 | 10 | 53 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 7.6 | 5.0 | 52 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 4 | 9 | 62 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 50 |
| Quinn Hughes | 14 | 46 | 143 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 9.8 | 6.5 | 50 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 14 | 15 | 90 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 15.6 | 10.4 | 50 |
| Zach Bogosian | 4 | 8 | 64 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 6.3 | 4.2 | 50 |
| Andrei Kuzmenko | 6 | 14 | 58 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 10.3 | 20.8 | -50 |
| Miles Wood | 2 | 2 | 49 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 8.2 | -50 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 6 | 18 | 93 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 6.5 | 13.2 | -51 |
| Mattias Janmark | 2 | 15 | 40 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 5.0 | 10.2 | -51 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 11 | 46 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 4.4 | -51 |
| Alexander Holtz | 3 | 8 | 62 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 4.8 | 10.1 | -52 |
| Daniil Miromanov | 1 | 6 | 44 | 1.2 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 4.7 | -52 |
| John Carlson | 4 | 39 | 136 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 6.2 | -53 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 3 | 23 | 111 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 5.7 | -53 |
| Marcus Johansson | 5 | 18 | 93 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 12.1 | -55 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 3 | 7 | 60 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5.0 | 11.0 | -55 |
| Andrew Peeke | 1 | 14 | 60 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3.8 | -56 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 3 | 30 | 106 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 6.6 | -57 |
| Connor Murphy | 1 | 16 | 60 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4.5 | -63 |
| Justin Faulk | 2 | 21 | 98 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 5.7 | -64 |
| Arber Xhekaj | 1 | 5 | 64 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 4.5 | -65 |
| Carl Grundstrom | 2 | 6 | 61 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 9.6 | -66 |
| Tomas Nosek | 1 | 8 | 40 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 7.4 | -66 |
| Josh Manson | 1 | 14 | 62 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 4.8 | -66 |
| Alexey Toropchenko | 2 | 10 | 69 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 9.0 | -68 |
| Ryan Lomberg | 1 | 7 | 53 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 7.3 | -74 |
| Jacob Trouba | 1 | 12 | 91 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 4.3 | -75 |
| Zemgus Girgensons | 1 | 4 | 70 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 8.4 | -83 |
| P.O Joseph | 0 | 3 | 42 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.5 | -100 |
| Josh Mahura | 0 | 8 | 52 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
| Nils Lundkvist | 0 | 5 | 52 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 3.6 | -100 |
| Connor Clifton | 0 | 9 | 43 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.7 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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