Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Parayko | 15 | 20 | 122 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 12.3 | 5.0 | 144 |
| Blake Lizotte | 9 | 8 | 41 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 22.0 | 10.3 | 113 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 10 | 20 | 48 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 20.8 | 9.9 | 110 |
| Jake Evans | 12 | 19 | 61 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 19.7 | 10.0 | 97 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 27 | 14 | 120 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 22.5 | 11.6 | 94 |
| Jonny Brodzinski | 7 | 6 | 49 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 14.3 | 7.4 | 94 |
| Aliaksei Protas | 29 | 32 | 128 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 22.7 | 11.7 | 93 |
| Tyler Seguin | 9 | 11 | 43 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 20.9 | 11.2 | 87 |
| Jamie Drysdale | 5 | 11 | 50 | 0.9 | 5.9 | 10.0 | 5.4 | 85 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 15 | 6 | 74 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 20.3 | 11.0 | 85 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 17 | 9 | 78 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 21.8 | 11.8 | 84 |
| Nate Schmidt | 5 | 12 | 53 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 9.4 | 5.4 | 76 |
| James van Riemsdyk | 14 | 16 | 70 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 67 |
| Cam Fowler | 7 | 22 | 66 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 10.6 | 6.4 | 66 |
| Mikhail Sergachev | 11 | 32 | 108 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 10.2 | 6.1 | 66 |
| Quinn Hughes | 16 | 49 | 150 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 10.7 | 6.7 | 60 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 18 | 25 | 153 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 11.8 | 7.4 | 59 |
| Nick Paul | 20 | 17 | 110 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 18.2 | 11.4 | 59 |
| Tom Wilson | 30 | 27 | 147 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 20.4 | 12.8 | 59 |
| Adam Larsson | 6 | 16 | 86 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 7.0 | 4.4 | 59 |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 25 | 25 | 128 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 19.5 | 12.7 | 54 |
| Trevor Lewis | 4 | 4 | 43 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 9.3 | 6.0 | 54 |
| Rickard Rakell | 31 | 28 | 173 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 17.9 | 11.6 | 54 |
| Ryan McLeod | 15 | 22 | 71 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 21.1 | 13.8 | 53 |
| Adam Lowry | 14 | 15 | 82 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 17.1 | 11.2 | 53 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 15 | 15 | 94 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 16.0 | 10.5 | 52 |
| Jaccob Slavin | 6 | 17 | 91 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 6.6 | 4.3 | 52 |
| Matt Duchene | 26 | 42 | 126 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 20.6 | 13.6 | 51 |
| Mathieu Olivier | 16 | 10 | 96 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 16.7 | 11.1 | 51 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 4 | 9 | 62 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 50 |
| Miles Wood | 2 | 2 | 49 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 8.2 | -50 |
| Mattias Janmark | 2 | 15 | 41 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 10.2 | -52 |
| Andrei Kuzmenko | 6 | 14 | 60 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 10.0 | 20.7 | -52 |
| Alexander Holtz | 3 | 8 | 62 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 4.8 | 10.1 | -52 |
| Daniil Miromanov | 1 | 6 | 45 | 1.2 | 6.5 | 2.2 | 4.7 | -53 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 6 | 20 | 97 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 6.2 | 13.1 | -53 |
| John Carlson | 4 | 41 | 140 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 6.2 | -54 |
| Alexey Toropchenko | 3 | 12 | 73 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 9.2 | -55 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 3 | 30 | 106 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 6.6 | -57 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 12 | 53 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4.4 | -57 |
| Andrew Peeke | 1 | 15 | 67 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3.7 | -60 |
| Connor Murphy | 1 | 16 | 66 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4.4 | -66 |
| Arber Xhekaj | 1 | 5 | 66 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 4.5 | -66 |
| Carl Grundstrom | 2 | 6 | 61 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 9.6 | -66 |
| Tomas Nosek | 1 | 8 | 40 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 7.4 | -66 |
| Josh Manson | 1 | 14 | 65 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 4.8 | -68 |
| Zemgus Girgensons | 2 | 4 | 74 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 8.4 | -68 |
| Ryan Lomberg | 1 | 7 | 54 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 7.3 | -74 |
| Jacob Trouba | 1 | 12 | 95 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 4.3 | -76 |
| Nils Lundkvist | 0 | 5 | 52 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 3.6 | -100 |
| P.O Joseph | 0 | 3 | 42 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.5 | -100 |
| Connor Clifton | 0 | 9 | 47 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.6 | -100 |
| Josh Mahura | 0 | 8 | 54 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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