Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lewis | 14 | 11 | 124 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 11.3 | 6.1 | 86 |
| Brett Connolly | 15 | 10 | 64 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 23.4 | 13.0 | 80 |
| Matt Nieto | 13 | 10 | 80 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 16.3 | 9.3 | 74 |
| Eric Staal | 40 | 33 | 219 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 18.3 | 11.2 | 63 |
| William Karlsson | 40 | 29 | 172 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 23.3 | 14.3 | 62 |
| Carl Gunnarsson | 5 | 4 | 59 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8.5 | 5.3 | 61 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 8 | 4 | 68 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 11.8 | 7.4 | 60 |
| Alex Goligoski | 11 | 23 | 110 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 10.0 | 6.2 | 60 |
| Austin Watson | 12 | 4 | 86 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 14.0 | 8.9 | 56 |
| Andrew MacDonald | 6 | 13 | 75 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 8.0 | 5.1 | 56 |
| Torey Krug | 14 | 41 | 177 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 7.9 | 5.1 | 55 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 38 | 54 | 261 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 14.6 | 9.5 | 53 |
| Tom Wilson | 13 | 20 | 112 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 11.6 | 7.6 | 53 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 7 | 7 | 57 | 1.2 | 27.3 | 12.3 | 8.1 | 51 |
| Luke Glendening | 11 | 8 | 85 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 12.9 | 8.6 | 50 |
| Brent Burns | 11 | 51 | 310 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 3.5 | 7.1 | -50 |
| Sami Vatanen | 4 | 27 | 131 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 6.1 | -50 |
| Matt Stajan | 4 | 7 | 63 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6.3 | 12.7 | -50 |
| Tom Kuhnhackl | 2 | 6 | 59 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3.4 | 6.9 | -51 |
| Nick Holden | 3 | 13 | 74 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 8.3 | -51 |
| Dustin Byfuglien | 6 | 34 | 176 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 6.9 | -51 |
| Zack Smith | 5 | 13 | 112 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 9.7 | -54 |
| Jacob Trouba | 3 | 19 | 133 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 5.0 | -55 |
| Derek MacKenzie | 3 | 11 | 83 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3.6 | 8.2 | -56 |
| Fredrik Claesson | 1 | 6 | 56 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4.2 | -57 |
| Tomas Plekanec | 6 | 18 | 141 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 4.3 | 9.9 | -57 |
| Jason Chimera | 3 | 10 | 76 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3.9 | 9.3 | -57 |
| Jason Spezza | 7 | 18 | 130 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 5.4 | 13.0 | -59 |
| Ryan Callahan | 4 | 11 | 97 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 10.1 | -59 |
| Henrik Sedin | 3 | 44 | 60 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 13.0 | -61 |
| Brendan Smith | 1 | 7 | 66 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3.9 | -61 |
| Cody Franson | 1 | 6 | 51 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -61 |
| Jussi Jokinen | 3 | 8 | 67 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 4.5 | 11.9 | -62 |
| Brad Richardson | 3 | 11 | 99 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 8.0 | -62 |
| Michael Cammalleri | 5 | 22 | 114 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 11.9 | -63 |
| Braydon Coburn | 1 | 12 | 69 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3.9 | -63 |
| Kevan Miller | 1 | 13 | 55 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4.9 | -63 |
| Joakim Nordstrom | 2 | 4 | 93 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 5.8 | -63 |
| Marc Staal | 1 | 7 | 61 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4.6 | -64 |
| Jannik Hansen | 2 | 11 | 53 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 11.1 | -66 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 30 | 180 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 4.4 | -87 |
| Brandon Carlo | 0 | 6 | 75 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 3.7 | -100 |
| Nick Jensen | 0 | 14 | 103 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | -100 |
| Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 8 | 68 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 3.9 | -100 |
| Dylan DeMelo | 0 | 18 | 64 | 1.1 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 2.2 | -100 |
| Kevin Bieksa | 0 | 8 | 66 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2017-2018 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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