Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Trevor Lewis 14 11 124 2.0 2.1 11.3 6.1 86
Brett Connolly 15 10 64 1.0 1.7 23.4 13.0 80
Matt Nieto 13 10 80 1.2 1.9 16.3 9.3 74
Eric Staal 40 33 219 2.9 2.7 18.3 11.2 63
William Karlsson 40 29 172 2.3 1.7 23.3 14.3 62
Carl Gunnarsson 5 4 59 0.9 0.9 8.5 5.3 61
Nicolas Deslauriers 8 4 68 1.3 1.1 11.8 7.4 60
Alex Goligoski 11 23 110 1.5 1.5 10.0 6.2 60
Austin Watson 12 4 86 1.2 1.3 14.0 8.9 56
Andrew MacDonald 6 13 75 1.2 1.4 8.0 5.1 56
Torey Krug 14 41 177 2.6 2.8 7.9 5.1 55
Nathan MacKinnon 38 54 261 3.8 3.5 14.6 9.5 53
Tom Wilson 13 20 112 1.6 1.3 11.6 7.6 53
Barclay Goodrow 7 7 57 1.2 27.3 12.3 8.1 51
Luke Glendening 11 8 85 1.3 1.2 12.9 8.6 50
Brent Burns 11 51 310 4.0 3.7 3.5 7.1 -50
Sami Vatanen 4 27 131 2.0 2.1 3.1 6.1 -50
Matt Stajan 4 7 63 1.0 0.8 6.3 12.7 -50
Tom Kuhnhackl 2 6 59 0.9 1.7 3.4 6.9 -51
Nick Holden 3 13 74 1.1 1.2 4.1 8.3 -51
Dustin Byfuglien 6 34 176 2.8 3.2 3.4 6.9 -51
Zack Smith 5 13 112 1.8 2.0 4.5 9.7 -54
Jacob Trouba 3 19 133 2.6 2.4 2.3 5.0 -55
Derek MacKenzie 3 11 83 1.2 1.1 3.6 8.2 -56
Fredrik Claesson 1 6 56 1.0 1.9 1.8 4.2 -57
Tomas Plekanec 6 18 141 2.0 2.4 4.3 9.9 -57
Jason Chimera 3 10 76 1.1 1.6 3.9 9.3 -57
Jason Spezza 7 18 130 1.8 2.7 5.4 13.0 -59
Ryan Callahan 4 11 97 1.5 3.2 4.1 10.1 -59
Henrik Sedin 3 44 60 0.8 1.3 5.0 13.0 -61
Brendan Smith 1 7 66 1.5 1.6 1.5 3.9 -61
Cody Franson 1 6 51 2.2 1.8 2.0 5.0 -61
Jussi Jokinen 3 8 67 1.2 1.9 4.5 11.9 -62
Brad Richardson 3 11 99 1.4 2.5 3.0 8.0 -62
Michael Cammalleri 5 22 114 1.8 3.4 4.4 11.9 -63
Braydon Coburn 1 12 69 1.0 1.4 1.4 3.9 -63
Kevan Miller 1 13 55 0.9 1.3 1.8 4.9 -63
Joakim Nordstrom 2 4 93 1.3 1.5 2.2 5.8 -63
Marc Staal 1 7 61 0.9 1.1 1.6 4.6 -64
Jannik Hansen 2 11 53 1.2 2.3 3.8 11.1 -66
Duncan Keith 1 30 180 2.3 2.3 0.6 4.4 -87
Brandon Carlo 0 6 75 1.0 1.1 0.0 3.7 -100
Nick Jensen 0 14 103 1.4 2.0 0.0 2.5 -100
Tony DeAngelo 0 8 68 2.1 3.2 0.0 3.9 -100
Dylan DeMelo 0 18 64 1.1 4.2 0.0 2.2 -100
Kevin Bieksa 0 8 66 1.1 1.6 0.0 4.4 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2017-2018 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage