Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Foligno | 17 | 10 | 58 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 29.3 | 13.6 | 115 |
| Sean Kuraly | 8 | 8 | 68 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 11.8 | 6.0 | 95 |
| Filip Forsberg | 24 | 14 | 96 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 25.0 | 12.9 | 94 |
| Dylan Larkin | 23 | 21 | 128 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 18.0 | 9.9 | 81 |
| Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 9 | 11 | 54 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 16.7 | 9.4 | 77 |
| Paul Stastny | 11 | 9 | 49 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 22.5 | 12.7 | 76 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 10 | 10 | 62 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 16.1 | 9.2 | 75 |
| Vinnie Hinostroza | 8 | 9 | 54 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 14.8 | 8.5 | 74 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 12 | 11 | 75 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 16.0 | 9.3 | 72 |
| Connor Murphy | 4 | 4 | 53 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 71 |
| Troy Terry | 25 | 16 | 99 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 25.3 | 14.9 | 70 |
| Samuel Girard | 5 | 21 | 58 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 8.6 | 5.1 | 70 |
| Ryan Johansen | 13 | 21 | 68 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 19.1 | 11.2 | 70 |
| Torey Krug | 6 | 19 | 72 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 8.3 | 4.9 | 68 |
| Jared McCann | 19 | 11 | 105 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 18.1 | 10.7 | 68 |
| Anthony Duclair | 19 | 16 | 85 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 22.4 | 13.5 | 66 |
| Brayden Schenn | 10 | 11 | 46 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 21.7 | 13.3 | 64 |
| Alexandre Texier | 11 | 9 | 59 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 18.6 | 11.6 | 60 |
| Jack Hughes | 12 | 15 | 89 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 13.5 | 8.5 | 59 |
| Colton Parayko | 5 | 13 | 71 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 7.0 | 4.4 | 58 |
| Brandon Tanev | 9 | 6 | 51 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 17.7 | 11.3 | 57 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 19 | 26 | 102 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 18.6 | 12.0 | 56 |
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare | 5 | 8 | 43 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 11.6 | 7.5 | 55 |
| Boone Jenner | 19 | 13 | 121 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 15.7 | 10.1 | 55 |
| Nino Niederreiter | 14 | 9 | 72 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 19.4 | 12.6 | 54 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 7 | 15 | 71 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 9.9 | 6.4 | 54 |
| Chris Kreider | 33 | 14 | 147 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 22.5 | 14.8 | 52 |
| Brock Nelson | 14 | 8 | 68 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 20.6 | 13.6 | 52 |
| Sam Carrick | 9 | 4 | 55 | 1.5 | 7.6 | 16.4 | 10.8 | 51 |
| Dante Fabbro | 1 | 10 | 46 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 4.5 | -51 |
| Oskar Sundqvist | 2 | 6 | 42 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 9.8 | -51 |
| Brent Burns | 4 | 26 | 124 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 6.6 | -51 |
| Thomas Chabot | 3 | 21 | 114 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 5.4 | -52 |
| Cody Eakin | 3 | 6 | 57 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 5.3 | 10.9 | -52 |
| Phil Kessel | 5 | 24 | 98 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 5.1 | 10.9 | -53 |
| Mark Pysyk | 1 | 7 | 45 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 4.9 | -54 |
| P.K. Subban | 2 | 13 | 74 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 5.8 | -54 |
| Duncan Keith | 1 | 13 | 52 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4.2 | -55 |
| Jake Muzzin | 1 | 10 | 46 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 4.9 | -56 |
| Radek Faksa | 2 | 9 | 45 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4.4 | 10.0 | -56 |
| Noah Gregor | 2 | 6 | 80 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 5.8 | -57 |
| Zach Parise | 3 | 10 | 61 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 4.9 | 11.4 | -57 |
| Nick Leddy | 1 | 11 | 42 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 5.7 | -58 |
| Nick Ritchie | 2 | 7 | 52 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 3.9 | 9.1 | -58 |
| Cody Ceci | 1 | 11 | 59 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4.2 | -59 |
| Carl Hagelin | 2 | 8 | 64 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 7.7 | -59 |
| Alex Galchenyuk | 2 | 5 | 42 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 4.8 | 11.6 | -59 |
| Jonathan Toews | 4 | 15 | 73 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 5.5 | 13.7 | -60 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 3 | 9 | 106 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 7.1 | -60 |
| Marco Scandella | 1 | 9 | 51 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 5.1 | -61 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 10 | 51 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 5.6 | -65 |
| John Hayden | 1 | 2 | 48 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 6.1 | -66 |
| Max Comtois | 2 | 4 | 42 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 14.1 | -66 |
| Ryan Getzlaf | 3 | 24 | 80 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 11.1 | -66 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 3 | 12 | 95 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 9.5 | -67 |
| John Marino | 1 | 17 | 50 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -67 |
| Jeff Petry | 1 | 5 | 54 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 5.9 | -68 |
| Zack MacEwen | 1 | 2 | 44 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 7.4 | -70 |
| Cole Caufield | 1 | 7 | 74 | 2.5 | 16.4 | 1.4 | 4.8 | -72 |
| Jakob Chychrun | 2 | 8 | 108 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 6.5 | -72 |
| Zach Aston-Reese | 1 | 8 | 42 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 8.9 | -73 |
| John Klingberg | 1 | 22 | 59 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 6.4 | -73 |
| Blake Wheeler | 2 | 19 | 71 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 10.6 | -73 |
| Alexander Radulov | 2 | 13 | 59 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 13.0 | -74 |
| Jordan Staal | 2 | 10 | 76 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 11.1 | -76 |
| Joel Armia | 1 | 5 | 51 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 8.9 | -78 |
| Nick Foligno | 1 | 6 | 46 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 11.3 | -81 |
| Loui Eriksson | 1 | 8 | 47 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 12.7 | -83 |
| Joonas Donskoi | 1 | 14 | 57 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 11.3 | -84 |
| Jakub Voracek | 1 | 28 | 80 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 8.9 | -86 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 1 | 6 | 63 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 12.0 | -87 |
| Ryan Carpenter | 0 | 5 | 48 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -100 |
| Keith Yandle | 0 | 13 | 74 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 4.3 | -100 |
| Zdeno Chara | 0 | 4 | 43 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 6.1 | -100 |
| Danny DeKeyser | 0 | 3 | 46 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 5.8 | -100 |
| Matt Benning | 0 | 9 | 41 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
| Tyler Myers | 0 | 11 | 76 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.3 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2021-2022 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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