Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Paul | 16 | 10 | 80 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 20.0 | 9.5 | 111 |
| Connor Murphy | 5 | 2 | 52 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 9.6 | 4.7 | 107 |
| Jared McCann | 23 | 12 | 97 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 23.7 | 11.8 | 101 |
| Brady Skjei | 10 | 13 | 111 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 9.0 | 4.9 | 82 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 8 | 5 | 80 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 10.0 | 5.5 | 81 |
| Erik Karlsson | 16 | 50 | 131 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 12.2 | 6.8 | 80 |
| Sean Kuraly | 9 | 4 | 71 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 12.7 | 7.2 | 76 |
| Filip Chytil | 16 | 13 | 89 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 18.0 | 10.2 | 76 |
| Lawson Crouse | 16 | 12 | 82 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 19.5 | 11.6 | 68 |
| Jordan Staal | 14 | 10 | 73 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 19.2 | 11.7 | 64 |
| Josh Morrissey | 10 | 43 | 99 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 10.1 | 6.2 | 63 |
| Ryan Donato | 12 | 8 | 70 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 17.1 | 10.7 | 61 |
| Nate Schmidt | 5 | 6 | 58 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 8.6 | 5.4 | 60 |
| Sam Lafferty | 8 | 9 | 61 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 13.1 | 8.3 | 59 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 22 | 38 | 116 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 12.0 | 59 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 9 | 14 | 61 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 14.8 | 9.5 | 56 |
| Trent Frederic | 10 | 8 | 68 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 14.7 | 9.5 | 55 |
| Bo Horvat | 31 | 23 | 143 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 21.7 | 14.0 | 55 |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 10 | 4 | 54 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 18.5 | 12.0 | 54 |
| Rasmus Dahlin | 14 | 41 | 141 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 9.9 | 6.5 | 53 |
| William Carrier | 12 | 6 | 93 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 12.9 | 8.5 | 52 |
| Alex Wennberg | 10 | 14 | 63 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 15.9 | 10.5 | 51 |
| Alexis Lafreniere | 6 | 16 | 85 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 7.1 | 14.1 | -50 |
| Evgenii Dadonov | 4 | 9 | 62 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 6.5 | 13.3 | -51 |
| Jacob Trouba | 3 | 11 | 136 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 4.6 | -52 |
| Joel Edmundson | 1 | 5 | 53 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 4.1 | -54 |
| Anthony Cirelli | 3 | 8 | 53 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 5.7 | 12.9 | -56 |
| Jack Roslovic | 4 | 23 | 73 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5.5 | 12.3 | -56 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 5 | 8 | 79 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 6.3 | 15.0 | -58 |
| Cody Ceci | 1 | 6 | 56 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4.3 | -58 |
| Dante Fabbro | 1 | 7 | 63 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3.9 | -59 |
| Cole Sillinger | 2 | 5 | 60 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 8.7 | -62 |
| Erik Haula | 4 | 17 | 93 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 4.3 | 11.7 | -63 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 12 | 63 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4.5 | -65 |
| Nick Leddy | 1 | 12 | 52 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5.6 | -65 |
| Jonas Brodin | 1 | 6 | 61 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4.9 | -66 |
| Morgan Rielly | 1 | 21 | 69 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 4.7 | -69 |
| Nick Holden | 1 | 8 | 51 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 6.7 | -71 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 1 | 14 | 87 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 4.6 | -75 |
| Tyler Myers | 1 | 9 | 69 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 5.9 | -76 |
| Parker Kelly | 1 | 3 | 51 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -78 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 18 | 87 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 6.8 | -83 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 0 | 11 | 90 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.3 | -100 |
| Erik Johnson | 0 | 7 | 77 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -100 |
| Jack Johnson | 0 | 4 | 51 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
Comments (0)
Leave a comment
In order to leave a comment, you must be a registered user at our website and logged in.