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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

February 8, 2023   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Nicholas Paul 16 10 80 1.6 2.1 20.0 9.5 111
Connor Murphy 5 2 53 1.1 2.0 9.4 4.6 103
Jared McCann 23 12 99 2.1 2.8 23.2 11.8 97
Erik Karlsson 17 52 132 2.5 2.9 12.9 6.8 89
Filip Chytil 18 13 93 2.2 2.4 19.4 10.5 84
Nikita Zadorov 8 5 80 1.6 1.3 10.0 5.5 81
Brady Skjei 10 13 113 2.3 2.2 8.9 4.9 79
Sean Kuraly 9 4 71 1.4 1.7 12.7 7.2 76
Lawson Crouse 16 12 84 1.8 1.9 19.1 11.6 65
Josh Morrissey 10 43 99 1.9 2.1 10.1 6.2 63
Jordan Staal 14 11 74 1.5 1.9 18.9 11.7 62
Nate Schmidt 5 6 58 1.3 1.8 8.6 5.4 60
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 23 39 120 2.4 3.0 19.2 12.0 60
Sam Lafferty 8 9 61 1.4 1.9 13.1 8.3 59
Ryan Donato 12 8 71 1.7 2.2 16.9 10.6 59
William Carrier 13 7 96 2.1 1.7 13.5 8.6 57
Bo Horvat 32 23 149 2.9 2.8 21.5 14.0 53
Trent Frederic 10 9 69 1.4 1.9 14.5 9.4 53
Rasmus Dahlin 14 41 142 2.9 2.1 9.9 6.5 52
Evgenii Dadonov 4 9 62 1.5 2.2 6.5 13.3 -51
Jacob Trouba 3 11 136 2.7 2.6 2.2 4.6 -52
Joel Edmundson 1 5 53 1.4 2.0 1.9 4.1 -54
Jack Roslovic 4 23 73 1.5 1.7 5.5 12.3 -56
Tanner Jeannot 5 8 79 1.6 2.2 6.3 15.0 -58
Cody Ceci 1 6 56 1.1 1.2 1.8 4.3 -58
Dante Fabbro 1 7 63 1.4 1.7 1.6 3.9 -59
Anthony Cirelli 3 8 59 2.2 1.8 5.1 12.7 -60
Cole Sillinger 2 5 60 1.3 1.9 3.3 8.7 -62
Denis Gurianov 2 6 58 1.6 2.3 3.5 9.4 -63
Erik Haula 4 17 95 1.9 2.1 4.2 11.7 -64
Nick Leddy 1 12 52 1.1 1.3 1.9 5.6 -65
Ryan Suter 1 12 64 1.2 1.5 1.6 4.5 -66
Morgan Rielly 1 22 69 1.9 2.7 1.5 4.7 -69
Nick Holden 1 8 51 1.1 1.7 2.0 6.7 -71
MacKenzie Weegar 1 14 87 1.7 2.5 1.2 4.6 -75
Tyler Myers 1 9 69 1.5 1.8 1.5 5.9 -76
Parker Kelly 1 3 51 1.1 2.3 2.0 9.0 -78
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 1 20 88 1.8 2.2 1.1 6.7 -83
Jack Johnson 0 4 53 1.1 1.2 0.0 4.7 -100
Kevin Shattenkirk 0 12 93 2.1 1.9 0.0 5.3 -100
Erik Johnson 0 7 80 1.6 2.6 0.0 4.8 -100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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