Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 50 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Oleksiak | 9 | 9 | 57 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 15.8 | 6.2 | 154 |
| Nicholas Paul | 17 | 14 | 96 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 17.7 | 9.4 | 89 |
| Jared McCann | 31 | 19 | 141 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 22.0 | 12.1 | 82 |
| Connor Murphy | 5 | 4 | 61 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.2 | 4.6 | 78 |
| Brady Skjei | 12 | 15 | 137 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 8.8 | 5.0 | 74 |
| Josh Morrissey | 15 | 52 | 135 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 11.1 | 6.5 | 70 |
| Erik Karlsson | 19 | 63 | 165 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 11.5 | 6.8 | 69 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 9 | 5 | 98 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 9.2 | 5.5 | 66 |
| Sean Kuraly | 10 | 7 | 86 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 11.6 | 7.2 | 62 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 30 | 48 | 157 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 19.1 | 12.1 | 58 |
| Lawson Crouse | 21 | 13 | 114 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 18.4 | 11.8 | 56 |
| William Carrier | 16 | 9 | 118 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 13.6 | 8.8 | 54 |
| Jordan Staal | 16 | 13 | 90 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 17.8 | 11.7 | 52 |
| Alex Tuch | 28 | 34 | 164 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 17.1 | 11.2 | 52 |
| Evan Bouchard | 3 | 21 | 130 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 4.7 | -51 |
| Erik Haula | 7 | 25 | 127 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 5.5 | 11.6 | -52 |
| Morgan Rielly | 2 | 30 | 96 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 4.6 | -55 |
| Joel Edmundson | 1 | 6 | 54 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 4.1 | -55 |
| Evgenii Dadonov | 5 | 16 | 84 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 6.0 | 13.1 | -55 |
| Drew Doughty | 3 | 38 | 114 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 5.9 | -56 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 4 | 11 | 63 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 6.4 | 14.4 | -56 |
| Mathieu Joseph | 3 | 13 | 51 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 13.5 | -56 |
| Carson Soucy | 2 | 8 | 73 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 7.1 | -61 |
| Tanner Jeannot | 5 | 12 | 88 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 5.7 | 14.5 | -61 |
| Denis Gurianov | 3 | 7 | 86 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 9.1 | -62 |
| Dante Fabbro | 1 | 7 | 73 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3.8 | -64 |
| Chris Tanev | 1 | 12 | 53 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 5.3 | -64 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 1 | 16 | 57 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 4.8 | -64 |
| Ryan McDonagh | 1 | 14 | 53 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 5.4 | -65 |
| Jordan Greenway | 2 | 5 | 71 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 8.1 | -65 |
| Alex Goligoski | 1 | 3 | 52 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 5.5 | -65 |
| Cody Ceci | 1 | 11 | 71 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4.2 | -66 |
| Pat Maroon | 2 | 9 | 54 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 10.8 | -66 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 2 | 20 | 90 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 6.8 | -67 |
| Teddy Blueger | 2 | 9 | 64 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 9.7 | -68 |
| Colin Blackwell | 2 | 8 | 53 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 11.7 | -68 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 2 | 17 | 118 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 5.3 | -68 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 14 | 72 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4.5 | -69 |
| Cole Sillinger | 2 | 7 | 82 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 7.8 | -69 |
| Nick Holden | 1 | 11 | 54 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 6.7 | -72 |
| Alec Martinez | 1 | 9 | 57 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 7.2 | -76 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 1 | 21 | 55 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 8.6 | -79 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 1 | 19 | 116 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 4.4 | -80 |
| Parker Kelly | 1 | 3 | 58 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 8.4 | -80 |
| Jack Johnson | 0 | 4 | 67 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.6 | -100 |
| Erik Johnson | 0 | 7 | 80 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.8 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2022-2023 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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