Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 30 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drew Doughty | 7 | 8 | 45 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 15.6 | 6.3 | 147 |
Jason Dickinson | 9 | 5 | 39 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 23.1 | 9.8 | 136 |
Jake Walman | 6 | 7 | 45 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 13.3 | 5.9 | 125 |
Nils Hoglander | 9 | 5 | 37 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 24.3 | 11.1 | 120 |
Sam Lafferty | 8 | 7 | 36 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 22.2 | 10.1 | 120 |
Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 7 | 7 | 47 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 14.9 | 7.0 | 113 |
Noah Hanifin | 5 | 10 | 51 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 9.8 | 4.7 | 108 |
Mike Hoffman | 8 | 4 | 33 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 24.2 | 11.9 | 104 |
Stefan Noesen | 8 | 8 | 38 | 1.4 | 4.3 | 21.1 | 10.4 | 103 |
Brock Boeser | 21 | 14 | 77 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 27.3 | 13.6 | 100 |
Quinn Hughes | 9 | 30 | 79 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 11.4 | 5.7 | 99 |
Yegor Chinakhov | 6 | 3 | 31 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 19.4 | 9.8 | 97 |
Trevor Moore | 13 | 9 | 72 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 18.1 | 9.5 | 90 |
MacKenzie Weegar | 7 | 10 | 75 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 9.3 | 5.0 | 86 |
Charlie Coyle | 10 | 11 | 49 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 20.4 | 11.1 | 84 |
Sean Durzi | 5 | 8 | 44 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 11.4 | 6.2 | 82 |
Alex Newhook | 7 | 6 | 31 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 22.6 | 12.7 | 78 |
K'Andre Miller | 5 | 7 | 34 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 14.7 | 8.4 | 76 |
Quinton Byfield | 8 | 13 | 49 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 16.3 | 9.4 | 75 |
Teuvo Teravainen | 11 | 8 | 62 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 17.7 | 10.3 | 72 |
Jimmy Vesey | 6 | 3 | 33 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 18.2 | 10.8 | 68 |
Colton Parayko | 4 | 5 | 56 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 67 |
Sam Reinhart | 17 | 20 | 70 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 24.3 | 14.6 | 66 |
Nico Hischier | 6 | 6 | 30 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 20.0 | 12.2 | 65 |
Evan Bouchard | 8 | 22 | 76 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 10.5 | 6.4 | 65 |
Trent Frederic | 6 | 6 | 33 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 18.2 | 11.0 | 65 |
Ryan Johansen | 9 | 2 | 46 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 19.6 | 12.0 | 62 |
Lawson Crouse | 13 | 6 | 65 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 20.0 | 12.3 | 62 |
Anthony Mantha | 7 | 3 | 36 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 19.4 | 12.0 | 62 |
Rasmus Andersson | 4 | 12 | 57 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 7.0 | 4.4 | 61 |
A.J. Greer | 4 | 4 | 32 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 12.5 | 7.7 | 61 |
Joe Veleno | 7 | 5 | 35 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 20.0 | 12.4 | 61 |
Michael Carcone | 14 | 3 | 40 | 1.5 | 15.2 | 35.0 | 22.0 | 59 |
Philipp Kurashev | 6 | 10 | 40 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 15.0 | 9.4 | 59 |
Tyler Seguin | 9 | 10 | 52 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 17.3 | 10.9 | 59 |
Mason Appleton | 6 | 9 | 37 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 16.2 | 10.3 | 57 |
Nicholas Paul | 9 | 3 | 60 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 15.0 | 9.6 | 57 |
Shayne Gostisbehere | 5 | 16 | 44 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 11.4 | 7.3 | 56 |
Sean Kuraly | 5 | 4 | 43 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 11.6 | 7.4 | 56 |
Ilya Mikheyev | 9 | 7 | 50 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 18.0 | 11.8 | 53 |
Brady Skjei | 5 | 13 | 59 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 8.5 | 5.5 | 53 |
Fabian Zetterlund | 8 | 4 | 69 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 11.6 | 7.6 | 52 |
Boone Jenner | 13 | 5 | 81 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 16.1 | 10.7 | 51 |
Anze Kopitar | 10 | 15 | 52 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 19.2 | 12.8 | 50 |
Vladislav Namestnikov | 2 | 10 | 33 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 6.1 | 12.2 | -50 |
Yanni Gourde | 4 | 7 | 63 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 6.4 | 13.9 | -54 |
Alex Kerfoot | 2 | 13 | 37 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5.4 | 11.9 | -54 |
Jordan Kyrou | 5 | 12 | 89 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 5.6 | 12.5 | -55 |
Jesper Fast | 2 | 4 | 36 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 12.8 | -56 |
Alex Ovechkin | 5 | 11 | 90 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 5.6 | 12.8 | -57 |
Jonas Brodin | 1 | 8 | 48 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 4.8 | -57 |
Adam Larsson | 1 | 6 | 57 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4.2 | -58 |
Hampus Lindholm | 1 | 6 | 42 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 5.7 | -58 |
Jordan Eberle | 3 | 11 | 58 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 12.7 | -59 |
Matthew Tkachuk | 5 | 15 | 105 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 4.8 | 12.7 | -62 |
Philip Tomasino | 1 | 8 | 30 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 8.7 | -62 |
Anton Lundell | 2 | 10 | 55 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 9.6 | -62 |
Dmitry Orlov | 1 | 11 | 42 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 6.3 | -62 |
Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 41 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 14.1 | -65 |
Cole Sillinger | 1 | 8 | 42 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 7.1 | -66 |
Kevin Labanc | 1 | 4 | 31 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 9.5 | -66 |
Scott Laughton | 2 | 11 | 65 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 9.4 | -67 |
Jakob Silfverberg | 1 | 6 | 37 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 9.1 | -70 |
Torey Krug | 1 | 11 | 67 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4.9 | -70 |
Trevor Zegras | 1 | 1 | 30 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 11.2 | -70 |
John Carlson | 1 | 14 | 54 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 6.4 | -71 |
Alex Pietrangelo | 1 | 13 | 60 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 5.9 | -72 |
Max Domi | 1 | 13 | 37 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 10.0 | -73 |
Andrei Svechnikov | 1 | 10 | 41 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 11.1 | -78 |
Marcus Johansson | 1 | 10 | 39 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 12.5 | -79 |
Zach Werenski | 1 | 20 | 70 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 6.9 | -79 |
Jordan Martinook | 1 | 6 | 64 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 7.5 | -79 |
T.J. Oshie | 1 | 1 | 36 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 14.5 | -81 |
Josh Anderson | 1 | 4 | 59 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 11.0 | -85 |
Rickard Rakell | 0 | 4 | 44 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 10.9 | -100 |
Ryan Suter | 0 | 6 | 37 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 6 | 32 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 6.8 | -100 |
Tyson Barrie | 0 | 10 | 35 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 6.3 | -100 |
Seth Jones | 0 | 11 | 60 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
Justin Faulk | 0 | 12 | 64 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
Cody Ceci | 0 | 7 | 31 | 1.2 | NA | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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