Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 30 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Dewar | 6 | 2 | 32 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 18.8 | 8.6 | 118 |
| Nils Hoglander | 10 | 5 | 42 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 23.8 | 11.2 | 112 |
| Jason Dickinson | 9 | 5 | 44 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 20.5 | 9.7 | 111 |
| Sam Lafferty | 8 | 7 | 38 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 21.1 | 10.0 | 110 |
| Drew Doughty | 7 | 8 | 55 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 12.7 | 6.3 | 103 |
| Jake Walman | 6 | 7 | 52 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 11.5 | 5.8 | 99 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 7 | 9 | 51 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 13.7 | 7.0 | 97 |
| Stefan Noesen | 9 | 10 | 44 | 1.4 | 4.3 | 20.5 | 10.4 | 96 |
| Mike Hoffman | 8 | 4 | 35 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 22.9 | 11.9 | 93 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 8 | 11 | 81 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 9.9 | 5.1 | 93 |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 8 | 6 | 40 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 20.0 | 10.4 | 92 |
| Colton Parayko | 5 | 5 | 60 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 8.3 | 4.3 | 92 |
| Quinn Hughes | 9 | 32 | 87 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 10.3 | 5.6 | 83 |
| Brock Boeser | 23 | 14 | 93 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 24.7 | 13.6 | 82 |
| Sean Durzi | 5 | 8 | 44 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 11.4 | 6.2 | 82 |
| Anze Kopitar | 13 | 16 | 56 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 23.2 | 12.9 | 80 |
| Alex Newhook | 7 | 6 | 31 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 22.6 | 12.7 | 78 |
| A.J. Greer | 5 | 4 | 34 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 14.7 | 8.3 | 77 |
| Trevor Moore | 15 | 9 | 90 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 16.7 | 9.5 | 75 |
| Kevin Stenlund | 6 | 2 | 30 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 20.0 | 11.6 | 72 |
| Jalen Chatfield | 3 | 6 | 32 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 71 |
| Ryan Johansen | 10 | 2 | 49 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 20.4 | 12.1 | 69 |
| Sean Kuraly | 6 | 5 | 47 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 12.8 | 7.5 | 69 |
| Sam Reinhart | 18 | 21 | 74 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 24.3 | 14.6 | 66 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 11 | 8 | 65 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 16.9 | 10.3 | 64 |
| Michael McLeod | 7 | 5 | 51 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 13.7 | 8.4 | 64 |
| K'Andre Miller | 5 | 7 | 37 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 13.5 | 8.3 | 63 |
| Anthony Mantha | 7 | 4 | 36 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 19.4 | 12.0 | 62 |
| Quinton Byfield | 8 | 15 | 55 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 14.6 | 9.0 | 61 |
| Trent Frederic | 7 | 6 | 40 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 17.5 | 11.1 | 58 |
| Brady Skjei | 6 | 14 | 68 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 8.8 | 5.6 | 58 |
| Nicholas Paul | 10 | 6 | 66 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 15.2 | 9.6 | 57 |
| Charlie Coyle | 10 | 11 | 58 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 17.2 | 11.0 | 57 |
| Mitchell Marner | 13 | 21 | 64 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 20.3 | 13.0 | 57 |
| Lawson Crouse | 13 | 6 | 68 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 19.1 | 12.3 | 56 |
| Jimmy Vesey | 7 | 3 | 42 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 16.7 | 10.8 | 54 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 15 | 14 | 93 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 16.1 | 10.5 | 53 |
| Sam Carrick | 6 | 2 | 38 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 15.8 | 10.3 | 53 |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 13 | 13 | 72 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 18.1 | 11.8 | 53 |
| Philipp Kurashev | 6 | 11 | 42 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 14.3 | 9.4 | 52 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 4 | 13 | 61 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 6.6 | 4.3 | 51 |
| Boone Jenner | 13 | 5 | 81 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 16.1 | 10.7 | 51 |
| Max Domi | 2 | 15 | 40 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.1 | -50 |
| Jake DeBrusk | 4 | 7 | 65 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 6.2 | 12.4 | -50 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 2 | 11 | 36 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 5.6 | 11.4 | -51 |
| Brandon Montour | 1 | 3 | 35 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 5.9 | -51 |
| Ryan McLeod | 2 | 5 | 37 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 5.4 | 11.0 | -51 |
| Craig Smith | 2 | 1 | 44 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 4.6 | 9.3 | -51 |
| Nick Cousins | 2 | 3 | 52 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3.9 | 7.8 | -51 |
| Jordan Kyrou | 6 | 15 | 105 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 12.4 | -54 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 1 | 6 | 38 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 5.8 | -55 |
| Jonas Brodin | 1 | 8 | 48 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 4.8 | -57 |
| Tyson Barrie | 1 | 10 | 38 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 6.3 | -58 |
| Jesper Fast | 2 | 6 | 39 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5.1 | 12.7 | -60 |
| Alex Kerfoot | 2 | 15 | 42 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4.8 | 11.8 | -60 |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 2 | 10 | 45 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 11.2 | -60 |
| Yanni Gourde | 4 | 8 | 74 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 5.4 | 13.7 | -61 |
| Jordan Eberle | 3 | 12 | 61 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 12.7 | -61 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 1 | 6 | 47 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 5.6 | -62 |
| Anton Lundell | 2 | 10 | 55 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 9.6 | -62 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 5 | 12 | 104 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 12.8 | -62 |
| Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 41 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 14.1 | -65 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 5 | 17 | 112 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 12.6 | -65 |
| Marcus Johansson | 2 | 12 | 47 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 4.3 | 12.5 | -66 |
| T.J. Oshie | 2 | 2 | 40 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 5.0 | 14.5 | -66 |
| Kevin Labanc | 1 | 5 | 32 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 9.5 | -67 |
| Nathan Bastian | 1 | 4 | 32 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 10.0 | -69 |
| Scott Laughton | 2 | 11 | 68 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 9.3 | -69 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 1 | 11 | 53 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 6.2 | -70 |
| Trevor Zegras | 1 | 1 | 30 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 11.2 | -70 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 14 | 71 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 4.9 | -71 |
| Conor Garland | 2 | 10 | 73 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 10.0 | -72 |
| John Carlson | 1 | 14 | 59 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 6.4 | -73 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 1 | 13 | 67 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 5.9 | -75 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 1 | 6 | 45 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 9.1 | -76 |
| Justin Faulk | 1 | 14 | 74 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 5.9 | -77 |
| Jordan Martinook | 1 | 8 | 69 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 7.5 | -81 |
| Zach Werenski | 1 | 24 | 77 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 6.9 | -81 |
| Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 6 | 36 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 6.7 | -100 |
| Rickard Rakell | 0 | 4 | 46 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 10.9 | -100 |
| Seth Jones | 0 | 11 | 60 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
| Ryan Suter | 0 | 6 | 42 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.5 | -100 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 0 | 4 | 32 | 2.3 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 6.8 | -100 |
| Jordan Spence | 0 | 10 | 32 | 1.2 | 13.7 | 0.0 | 2.5 | -100 |
| Cody Ceci | 0 | 7 | 34 | 1.2 | NA | 0.0 | 4.0 | -100 |
| Connor Brown | 0 | 1 | 34 | 1.5 | NA | 0.0 | 11.2 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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