Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 5 | 1 | 40 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 12.5 | 5.0 | 151 |
| Damon Severson | 6 | 10 | 42 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 14.3 | 5.9 | 142 |
| Jake Middleton | 7 | 11 | 53 | 1.0 | NA | 13.2 | 6.5 | 103 |
| Jake Walman | 11 | 9 | 80 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 13.8 | 6.8 | 103 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 15 | 17 | 131 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 11.5 | 5.7 | 102 |
| Colton Parayko | 9 | 11 | 100 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 100 |
| Drew Doughty | 11 | 16 | 87 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 12.6 | 6.3 | 99 |
| Sam Lafferty | 10 | 10 | 51 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 19.6 | 10.2 | 91 |
| Nils Hoglander | 17 | 6 | 74 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 23.0 | 12.2 | 89 |
| Connor Dewar | 7 | 2 | 43 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 16.3 | 8.6 | 89 |
| Jason Dickinson | 16 | 10 | 82 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 19.5 | 10.3 | 89 |
| Noah Hanifin | 9 | 20 | 100 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 9.0 | 4.8 | 86 |
| Sam Reinhart | 39 | 25 | 140 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 27.9 | 15.4 | 81 |
| Robby Fabbri | 13 | 8 | 50 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 26.0 | 14.9 | 75 |
| Logan O'Connor | 13 | 12 | 79 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 16.5 | 9.6 | 71 |
| Adam Fox | 8 | 31 | 68 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 11.8 | 7.2 | 64 |
| Quinn Hughes | 12 | 54 | 127 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 9.5 | 5.7 | 64 |
| Jordan Greenway | 8 | 9 | 54 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 14.8 | 9.1 | 63 |
| Stefan Noesen | 11 | 16 | 65 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 16.9 | 10.4 | 63 |
| Jake McCabe | 4 | 13 | 49 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 8.2 | 5.0 | 62 |
| Blake Coleman | 21 | 22 | 127 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 16.5 | 10.2 | 62 |
| John Marino | 4 | 13 | 44 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 9.1 | 5.7 | 61 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 16 | 18 | 96 | 1.8 | 3.1 | 16.7 | 10.4 | 60 |
| Anthony Mantha | 16 | 10 | 82 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 19.5 | 12.3 | 59 |
| Josh Manson | 6 | 12 | 74 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 8.1 | 5.1 | 59 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 22 | 20 | 128 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 17.2 | 10.8 | 59 |
| Michael McLeod | 10 | 9 | 73 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 13.7 | 8.7 | 57 |
| Brock Boeser | 30 | 24 | 141 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 21.3 | 13.7 | 56 |
| Sean Durzi | 8 | 20 | 79 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 10.1 | 6.5 | 56 |
| Ryan Pulock | 3 | 4 | 40 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 7.5 | 4.8 | 55 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 9 | 16 | 84 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 10.7 | 6.9 | 54 |
| A.J. Greer | 6 | 4 | 47 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 12.8 | 8.3 | 54 |
| Jan Rutta | 3 | 9 | 43 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 4.6 | 53 |
| Trent Frederic | 14 | 15 | 77 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 18.2 | 11.9 | 53 |
| Charlie Coyle | 18 | 27 | 105 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 17.1 | 11.2 | 53 |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 14 | 10 | 82 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 17.1 | 11.2 | 53 |
| Tyler Seguin | 19 | 23 | 113 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 16.8 | 11.0 | 52 |
| Curtis Lazar | 6 | 11 | 49 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 12.2 | 8.0 | 52 |
| Quinton Byfield | 16 | 22 | 96 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 16.7 | 11.0 | 51 |
| Pius Suter | 12 | 7 | 65 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 18.5 | 12.2 | 51 |
| Jonathan Drouin | 10 | 20 | 74 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 13.5 | 9.0 | 51 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 5 | 8 | 61 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 8.2 | 5.5 | 50 |
| Yanni Gourde | 7 | 13 | 105 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 6.7 | 13.6 | -51 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 3 | 7 | 63 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 9.8 | -51 |
| Kevin Labanc | 2 | 5 | 43 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 4.7 | 9.4 | -51 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 6 | 15 | 96 | 1.9 | 4.2 | 6.3 | 13.1 | -52 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 2 | 6 | 76 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 5.6 | -53 |
| Calen Addison | 1 | 11 | 55 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3.9 | -54 |
| Zach Bogosian | 1 | 8 | 54 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 4.0 | -54 |
| Cody Ceci | 1 | 14 | 54 | 1.1 | NA | 1.9 | 4.0 | -54 |
| MacKenzie Entwistle | 2 | 3 | 51 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 8.5 | -54 |
| Anton Lundell | 4 | 14 | 102 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3.9 | 9.0 | -56 |
| John Carlson | 3 | 27 | 111 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 6.3 | -57 |
| Mikey Anderson | 1 | 14 | 64 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3.7 | -57 |
| Christian Fischer | 2 | 9 | 56 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 8.7 | -59 |
| Nate Schmidt | 1 | 7 | 48 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 5.2 | -60 |
| Nick Cousins | 2 | 3 | 65 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 7.7 | -60 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 2 | 11 | 75 | 2.1 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 6.8 | -61 |
| Brandon Montour | 2 | 9 | 93 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 5.7 | -62 |
| Justin Faulk | 2 | 17 | 90 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 5.9 | -63 |
| Mark Giordano | 1 | 6 | 44 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 6.7 | -66 |
| Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 42 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 14.0 | -66 |
| Ryan Suter | 1 | 10 | 68 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4.5 | -67 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 1 | 9 | 54 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 5.7 | -68 |
| Tyson Barrie | 1 | 11 | 51 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 6.3 | -69 |
| Alex Pietrangelo | 2 | 23 | 113 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 5.8 | -70 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 1 | 18 | 66 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 5.5 | -73 |
| Seth Jones | 1 | 15 | 86 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 4.9 | -76 |
| Cody Glass | 1 | 4 | 45 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 9.1 | -76 |
| Torey Krug | 1 | 24 | 114 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 4.8 | -82 |
| Zach Werenski | 1 | 29 | 109 | 2.7 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 6.7 | -86 |
| Kevin Bahl | 0 | 8 | 43 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 3.3 | -100 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 0 | 3 | 40 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 7.6 | -100 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 0 | 13 | 52 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.2 | -100 |
| Jordan Spence | 0 | 16 | 54 | 1.2 | 13.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -100 |
| Connor Brown | 0 | 4 | 71 | 1.7 | NA | 0.0 | 10.7 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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