Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Savard | 5 | 10 | 44 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 11.4 | 4.8 | 135 |
| Luke Glendening | 9 | 1 | 47 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 19.2 | 8.8 | 117 |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic | 5 | 3 | 48 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 10.4 | 5.0 | 110 |
| Drew Doughty | 14 | 27 | 109 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 12.8 | 6.4 | 100 |
| Jake McCabe | 6 | 17 | 60 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 10.0 | 5.3 | 89 |
| Connor Dewar | 10 | 4 | 57 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 17.5 | 9.6 | 83 |
| Jake Walman | 12 | 9 | 102 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 11.8 | 6.6 | 77 |
| Noah Hanifin | 11 | 26 | 130 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 8.5 | 4.9 | 73 |
| Anthony Mantha | 20 | 14 | 92 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 21.7 | 12.6 | 73 |
| Damon Severson | 6 | 13 | 61 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 9.8 | 5.8 | 70 |
| Sam Lafferty | 11 | 10 | 64 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 17.2 | 10.1 | 69 |
| Nils Hoglander | 20 | 11 | 97 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 20.6 | 12.2 | 69 |
| MacKenzie Weegar | 15 | 21 | 164 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 9.2 | 5.4 | 68 |
| Jason Dickinson | 18 | 13 | 105 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 17.1 | 10.2 | 67 |
| Sam Reinhart | 46 | 31 | 178 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 25.8 | 15.5 | 67 |
| Blake Coleman | 26 | 22 | 151 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 17.2 | 10.4 | 66 |
| Teuvo Teravainen | 21 | 26 | 121 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 17.4 | 10.6 | 64 |
| Colton Parayko | 9 | 13 | 125 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 7.2 | 4.4 | 63 |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 24 | 22 | 134 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 17.9 | 11.0 | 63 |
| Jake Middleton | 7 | 14 | 72 | 1.1 | NA | 9.7 | 6.0 | 62 |
| Logan O'Connor | 13 | 12 | 85 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 15.3 | 9.5 | 61 |
| Phillip Di Giuseppe | 5 | 5 | 50 | 1.1 | NA | 10.0 | 6.3 | 60 |
| Adam Fox | 11 | 41 | 93 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 11.8 | 7.4 | 60 |
| Michael McLeod | 10 | 9 | 73 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 13.7 | 8.7 | 57 |
| A.J. Greer | 6 | 4 | 47 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 12.8 | 8.3 | 54 |
| Stefan Noesen | 14 | 19 | 87 | 1.4 | 4.3 | 16.1 | 10.5 | 53 |
| Josh Manson | 7 | 13 | 90 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 7.8 | 5.1 | 52 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 11 | 11 | 71 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 15.5 | 10.3 | 51 |
| Nicholas Paul | 18 | 17 | 119 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 15.1 | 10.1 | 50 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | 4 | 9 | 84 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 9.6 | -50 |
| Noel Acciari | 3 | 2 | 56 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 5.4 | 10.8 | -50 |
| Kevin Bahl | 1 | 9 | 52 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4.0 | -52 |
| Anthony Beauvillier | 4 | 10 | 77 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 5.2 | 11.1 | -53 |
| Barrett Hayton | 3 | 7 | 66 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 4.6 | 9.6 | -53 |
| Yanni Gourde | 8 | 17 | 127 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 6.3 | 13.4 | -53 |
| Noah Cates | 3 | 10 | 56 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 5.4 | 11.3 | -53 |
| Kevin Labanc | 2 | 5 | 47 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 9.4 | -55 |
| Torey Krug | 3 | 30 | 138 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 4.8 | -55 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 3 | 8 | 49 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 6.1 | 14.0 | -56 |
| Taylor Raddysh | 5 | 7 | 106 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4.7 | 10.6 | -56 |
| Calen Addison | 1 | 14 | 66 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3.7 | -58 |
| Max Pacioretty | 3 | 12 | 64 | 2.3 | 8.9 | 4.7 | 11.2 | -58 |
| Mikey Anderson | 1 | 14 | 67 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3.6 | -59 |
| Jamie Oleksiak | 2 | 8 | 89 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 5.5 | -59 |
| Zach Werenski | 4 | 34 | 144 | 2.7 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 6.7 | -59 |
| Christian Fischer | 2 | 12 | 67 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 8.6 | -65 |
| Jakub Vrana | 2 | 4 | 42 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 14.0 | -66 |
| Justin Faulk | 2 | 19 | 101 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 5.9 | -66 |
| Mark Giordano | 1 | 6 | 46 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 6.7 | -68 |
| Nate Schmidt | 1 | 9 | 63 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 5.1 | -69 |
| Tyson Barrie | 1 | 11 | 52 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 6.3 | -69 |
| Adam Boqvist | 1 | 8 | 45 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 8.6 | -74 |
| Barclay Goodrow | 1 | 8 | 44 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 8.9 | -74 |
| Jordan Spence | 0 | 17 | 63 | 1.2 | 13.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | -100 |
| Connor Brown | 0 | 5 | 88 | 1.6 | NA | 0.0 | 10.5 | -100 |
| Dmitry Kulikov | 0 | 16 | 61 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.1 | -100 |
| Nicolas Deslauriers | 0 | 3 | 48 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 7.5 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2023-2024 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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