Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 20 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas | 5 | 8 | 22 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 22.7 | 7.1 | 218 |
| Rasmus Andersson | 4 | 7 | 31 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 12.9 | 4.7 | 172 |
| Morgan Rielly | 4 | 8 | 31 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 12.9 | 4.8 | 171 |
| Matt Duchene | 8 | 10 | 22 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 36.4 | 13.5 | 170 |
| Colton Parayko | 4 | 5 | 33 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 12.1 | 4.6 | 164 |
| Zach Bogosian | 2 | 2 | 20 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 10.0 | 4.2 | 141 |
| Matt Coronato | 5 | 2 | 22 | 1.8 | 4.1 | 22.7 | 9.5 | 139 |
| Trevor Lewis | 3 | 2 | 21 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 14.3 | 6.1 | 135 |
| Cole Caufield | 12 | 1 | 41 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 29.3 | 12.7 | 130 |
| Jordan Martinook | 5 | 4 | 26 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 19.2 | 8.5 | 127 |
| Dmitry Orlov | 3 | 5 | 21 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 14.3 | 6.4 | 123 |
| Brendan Gallagher | 7 | 2 | 32 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 21.9 | 9.9 | 121 |
| Shayne Gostisbehere | 4 | 5 | 25 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 16.0 | 7.3 | 119 |
| Joel Kiviranta | 4 | 1 | 21 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 19.1 | 8.9 | 113 |
| Noah Hanifin | 3 | 5 | 28 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 10.7 | 5.0 | 112 |
| Martin Necas | 8 | 16 | 32 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 25.0 | 12.1 | 107 |
| Brayden Point | 8 | 5 | 21 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 38.1 | 18.6 | 105 |
| Owen Power | 3 | 9 | 27 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 11.1 | 5.5 | 104 |
| Colin Miller | 2 | 4 | 20 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 10.0 | 4.9 | 104 |
| Stefan Noesen | 7 | 7 | 32 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 21.9 | 10.7 | 104 |
| Dylan Larkin | 9 | 2 | 40 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 22.5 | 11.1 | 103 |
| Eric Robinson | 4 | 5 | 20 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 20.0 | 9.8 | 103 |
| Alex Laferriere | 9 | 6 | 40 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 22.5 | 11.2 | 100 |
| Paul Cotter | 7 | 5 | 26 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 26.9 | 13.6 | 98 |
| Ryan Donato | 7 | 3 | 35 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 20.0 | 10.2 | 97 |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 5 | 1 | 21 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 23.8 | 12.1 | 96 |
| Jack Roslovic | 9 | 1 | 38 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 23.7 | 12.3 | 93 |
| Pius Suter | 6 | 1 | 26 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 23.1 | 12.2 | 89 |
| Jonathan Huberdeau | 6 | 4 | 26 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 23.1 | 12.4 | 87 |
| Sam Reinhart | 12 | 12 | 41 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 29.3 | 15.9 | 84 |
| Mats Zuccarello | 6 | 8 | 29 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 20.7 | 11.3 | 83 |
| Tim Stuetzle | 7 | 13 | 29 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 24.1 | 13.3 | 81 |
| Sam Bennett | 9 | 6 | 47 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 19.2 | 10.6 | 80 |
| JJ Peterka | 7 | 7 | 32 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 21.9 | 12.2 | 80 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 9 | 11 | 43 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 20.9 | 11.9 | 76 |
| Connor McMichael | 10 | 6 | 44 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 22.7 | 12.9 | 76 |
| Gustav Forsling | 3 | 5 | 29 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 10.3 | 5.9 | 74 |
| Evan Rodrigues | 4 | 5 | 30 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 13.3 | 7.7 | 73 |
| Jordan Eberle | 6 | 5 | 27 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 22.2 | 12.8 | 73 |
| Alexis Lafreniere | 6 | 6 | 24 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 25.0 | 14.6 | 71 |
| Brandon Duhaime | 3 | 2 | 22 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 13.6 | 8.1 | 69 |
| Michael Kesselring | 3 | 4 | 24 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 12.5 | 7.4 | 69 |
| Vladislav Gavrikov | 2 | 5 | 21 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 9.5 | 5.6 | 69 |
| Craig Smith | 4 | 2 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 16.0 | 9.5 | 68 |
| Tage Thompson | 11 | 7 | 51 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 21.6 | 13.0 | 67 |
| Damon Severson | 3 | 4 | 30 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 66 |
| Brock Boeser | 6 | 5 | 26 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 23.1 | 14.0 | 65 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | 6 | 5 | 37 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 16.2 | 9.9 | 64 |
| Leon Draisaitl | 12 | 8 | 40 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 30.0 | 18.4 | 63 |
| Jared McCann | 8 | 11 | 39 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 20.5 | 12.6 | 63 |
| Ivan Barbashev | 8 | 9 | 28 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 28.6 | 17.6 | 62 |
| Ross Colton | 8 | 1 | 37 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 21.6 | 13.3 | 62 |
| Nick Foligno | 5 | 1 | 28 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 17.9 | 11.3 | 59 |
| Alex Ovechkin | 10 | 8 | 50 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 20.0 | 12.9 | 55 |
| Brett Howden | 6 | 1 | 32 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 18.8 | 12.1 | 55 |
| Barrett Hayton | 5 | 3 | 32 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 15.6 | 10.1 | 54 |
| Zachary Aston-Reese | 3 | 3 | 20 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 15.0 | 9.8 | 54 |
| Leo Carlsson | 5 | 2 | 26 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 19.2 | 12.6 | 53 |
| Mason Appleton | 4 | 6 | 25 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 10.5 | 53 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 5 | 3 | 32 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 15.6 | 10.2 | 53 |
| Hampus Lindholm | 3 | 4 | 35 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 8.6 | 5.6 | 52 |
| Anton Lundell | 6 | 8 | 39 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 15.4 | 10.2 | 51 |
| Nico Hischier | 10 | 7 | 52 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 19.2 | 12.7 | 51 |
| Tom Wilson | 6 | 6 | 33 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 18.2 | 12.1 | 51 |
| Warren Foegele | 6 | 3 | 39 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 15.4 | 10.2 | 50 |
| Sebastian Aho | 3 | 10 | 40 | 2.9 | NA | 7.5 | 15.1 | -50 |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -50 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 2 | 3 | 38 | 2.4 | 4.9 | 5.3 | 10.9 | -52 |
| Jake Walman | 1 | 8 | 35 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 6.2 | -54 |
| Michael Bunting | 2 | 1 | 34 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 5.9 | 13.1 | -55 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 4 | 8 | 64 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 6.3 | 14.3 | -56 |
| Nicholas Robertson | 1 | 0 | 21 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 10.8 | -56 |
| Thomas Harley | 1 | 6 | 30 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 7.8 | -57 |
| Thomas Chabot | 1 | 8 | 40 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 5.8 | -57 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson | 1 | 5 | 35 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 6.8 | -58 |
| Trent Frederic | 1 | 2 | 22 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4.6 | 11.2 | -59 |
| Brayden Schenn | 2 | 4 | 37 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 5.4 | 13.4 | -60 |
| Marcus Johansson | 1 | 2 | 20 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 5.0 | 12.4 | -60 |
| Kirby Dach | 1 | 6 | 29 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 8.9 | -61 |
| Morgan Frost | 1 | 5 | 29 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 9.2 | -62 |
| Wyatt Johnston | 2 | 5 | 38 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 14.0 | -62 |
| Jack Quinn | 1 | 3 | 22 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 4.6 | 11.9 | -62 |
| Phillip Danault | 1 | 8 | 27 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 10.1 | -63 |
| Trevor Zegras | 1 | 2 | 26 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 10.8 | -64 |
| Alexander Holtz | 1 | 6 | 27 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 11.0 | -66 |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | 1 | 7 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 12.4 | -68 |
| Lucas Raymond | 1 | 12 | 23 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 4.4 | 14.3 | -70 |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 1 | 6 | 30 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 11.9 | -72 |
| Adam Henrique | 1 | 1 | 24 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 15.3 | -73 |
| Dougie Hamilton | 1 | 13 | 62 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 6.3 | -74 |
| Roman Josi | 1 | 10 | 64 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 6.6 | -76 |
| Frank Vatrano | 1 | 4 | 40 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 10.6 | -76 |
| Andrei Kuzmenko | 1 | 8 | 21 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4.8 | 21.8 | -78 |
| Jacob Trouba | 0 | 5 | 25 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.4 | -100 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 0 | 3 | 21 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 9.1 | -100 |
| Darnell Nurse | 0 | 6 | 41 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 4.9 | -100 |
| Noah Dobson | 0 | 6 | 51 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 5.5 | -100 |
| Cody Ceci | 0 | 3 | 23 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 4.1 | -100 |
| Brent Burns | 0 | 5 | 31 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 6.5 | -100 |
| Michael Eyssimont | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 5.4 | -100 |
| Parker Kelly | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 7.9 | -100 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 5 | 24 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 0 | 12 | 32 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 13.7 | -100 |
| Max Domi | 0 | 6 | 21 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 9.7 | -100 |
| Andre Burakovsky | 0 | 7 | 21 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 13.5 | -100 |
| Mike Matheson | 0 | 10 | 24 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 5.9 | -100 |
| Aaron Ekblad | 0 | 6 | 21 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 0.0 | 6.7 | -100 |
| Ryan Pulock | 0 | 6 | 24 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 4.7 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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