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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

January 15, 2025   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Jake Evans 10 13 42 1.0 1.5 23.8 10.0 139
Aliaksei Protas 18 18 77 1.8 2.0 23.4 10.1 132
Colton Parayko 9 16 86 1.9 1.8 10.5 4.8 120
Vince Dunn 8 11 51 2.0 2.1 15.7 7.7 105
Artturi Lehkonen 16 6 72 2.2 3.0 22.2 11.1 100
Jonathan Huberdeau 18 14 74 1.7 2.1 24.3 12.7 92
Mikhail Sergachev 8 21 70 1.6 2.4 11.4 6.1 89
Tyler Seguin 9 11 43 2.3 2.7 20.9 11.2 87
Zach Bogosian 4 6 51 1.2 1.9 7.8 4.2 87
Joel Kiviranta 10 4 54 1.2 1.4 18.5 10.0 85
Jakob Chychrun 12 18 89 2.3 3.8 13.5 7.3 85
Valeri Nichushkin 11 6 52 2.5 4.3 21.2 11.6 83
Nick Perbix 4 6 42 1.1 1.3 9.5 5.2 82
Mathieu Olivier 10 7 52 1.2 2.0 19.2 10.6 82
Eric Robinson 10 11 54 1.2 1.9 18.5 10.4 78
Keegan Kolesar 10 9 52 1.2 1.1 19.2 10.9 76
Anze Kopitar 12 28 54 1.3 2.1 22.2 13.1 69
Matt Duchene 17 24 77 1.8 2.7 22.1 13.5 63
Rickard Rakell 22 16 117 2.5 3.0 18.8 11.5 63
Vladislav Namestnikov 9 11 44 1.0 1.4 20.5 12.7 62
Jack Roslovic 17 8 84 1.9 1.9 20.2 12.6 61
Brett Howden 15 6 73 1.7 1.4 20.6 13.1 57
Nick Paul 11 14 64 1.8 1.8 17.2 11.0 57
Patrik Laine 10 2 43 2.9 5.8 23.3 14.9 56
Nick Foligno 11 8 62 1.4 2.0 17.7 11.4 56
Brock Boeser 15 12 68 1.9 2.8 22.1 14.2 56
Jason Zucker 15 16 77 1.8 3.1 19.5 12.6 55
Cam Fowler 4 11 41 1.3 1.6 9.8 6.3 55
Stefan Noesen 17 11 99 2.2 2.4 17.2 11.1 54
Rasmus Andersson 6 12 83 1.9 2.0 7.2 4.7 54
Tom Wilson 19 14 99 2.3 2.9 19.2 12.4 54
Brayden Point 25 22 86 2.3 3.0 29.1 18.9 53
Mats Zuccarello 11 19 63 2.0 2.8 17.5 11.4 53
Kevin Hayes 7 3 41 1.4 2.8 17.1 11.3 51
Alex Ovechkin 20 12 102 3.6 4.2 19.6 13.0 51
Phillip Danault 3 18 62 1.6 2.2 4.8 10.0 -51
Connor Murphy 1 12 45 1.2 1.5 2.2 4.5 -51
Barclay Goodrow 2 2 48 1.2 1.1 4.2 8.8 -52
Patrick Maroon 2 8 40 1.0 1.2 5.0 10.6 -53
Darren Raddysh 1 14 47 1.4 2.1 2.1 4.6 -53
Ben Chiarot 1 6 48 1.1 1.7 2.1 4.4 -53
K'Andre Miller 2 5 59 1.6 1.3 3.4 7.2 -53
Andre Burakovsky 4 12 64 1.5 2.7 6.3 13.4 -53
Arber Xhekaj 1 4 43 1.1 2.4 2.3 5.0 -54
Christian Dvorak 3 9 53 1.2 2.3 5.7 12.7 -55
Josh Manson 1 9 45 1.4 2.2 2.2 4.9 -55
Ryan McDonagh 1 13 44 1.0 1.3 2.3 5.2 -56
Michael Carcone 3 6 50 1.7 3.0 6.0 14.2 -58
Aaron Ekblad 2 18 76 1.9 3.6 2.6 6.6 -60
Oliver Ekman-Larsson 2 13 75 1.7 2.1 2.7 6.7 -60
Adam Fox 2 31 70 1.6 2.1 2.9 7.3 -61
Sam Malinski 1 4 63 1.4 4.8 1.6 4.3 -63
Carson Soucy 1 5 43 1.0 1.6 2.3 6.5 -64
Cody Glass 1 8 42 1.3 3.8 2.4 8.7 -73
Alexey Toropchenko 1 6 40 0.9 1.9 2.5 9.5 -74
Carl Grundstrom 1 4 41 1.3 2.5 2.4 9.8 -75
Jacob Trouba 0 8 70 1.6 2.4 0.0 4.3 -100
Zemgus Girgensons 0 2 43 1.0 1.7 0.0 8.5 -100
Nils Lundkvist 0 5 48 1.4 1.9 0.0 3.6 -100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2024-2025 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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