Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters
Introduction
Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).
The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.
| Player | G | A | S | S/GP | 3YS/GP | SH% | CSH% | DEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Rielly | 18 | 47 | 183 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 9.8 | 5.2 | 90 |
| Tom Wilson | 19 | 16 | 107 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 17.8 | 9.5 | 86 |
| Brad Richardson | 16 | 6 | 102 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 15.7 | 8.6 | 82 |
| Casey Cizikas | 19 | 11 | 94 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 20.2 | 11.3 | 80 |
| Ron Hainsey | 5 | 15 | 65 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 7.7 | 4.3 | 80 |
| Joe Pavelski | 37 | 25 | 177 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 20.9 | 12.5 | 67 |
| Damon Severson | 10 | 25 | 119 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 8.4 | 5.1 | 66 |
| Brian Boyle | 17 | 6 | 110 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 15.5 | 9.3 | 66 |
| Jared McCann | 17 | 14 | 118 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 14.4 | 8.8 | 64 |
| Tomas Hertl | 31 | 32 | 147 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 21.1 | 12.9 | 63 |
| Tyler Ennis | 12 | 5 | 73 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 16.4 | 10.2 | 62 |
| David Perron | 17 | 18 | 85 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 20.0 | 12.4 | 61 |
| Valtteri Filppula | 15 | 14 | 69 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 21.7 | 13.7 | 59 |
| Jakob Silfverberg | 20 | 12 | 136 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 14.7 | 9.4 | 57 |
| Elias Lindholm | 27 | 49 | 169 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 16.0 | 10.2 | 56 |
| Michael Frolik | 13 | 14 | 106 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 12.3 | 8.0 | 53 |
| Matt Niskanen | 8 | 15 | 114 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 4.6 | 53 |
| Alex Chiasson | 19 | 12 | 98 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 19.4 | 12.8 | 52 |
| Nikita Zadorov | 7 | 4 | 79 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 8.9 | 5.8 | 52 |
| Ryan Strome | 13 | 12 | 91 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 14.3 | 9.4 | 51 |
| Garnet Hathaway | 7 | 4 | 64 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.9 | 7.3 | 50 |
| Stefan Noesen | 2 | 5 | 40 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -50 |
| Jake Gardiner | 2 | 27 | 75 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 5.6 | -53 |
| Noel Acciari | 3 | 5 | 80 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 8.0 | -53 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 3 | 5 | 67 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 4.5 | 9.4 | -53 |
| Pat Maroon | 5 | 14 | 100 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 10.9 | -54 |
| Alexander Wennberg | 2 | 21 | 56 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 8.3 | -57 |
| Andrew Cogliano | 4 | 10 | 90 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 4.4 | 10.4 | -57 |
| David Backes | 5 | 11 | 105 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 11.6 | -59 |
| Michael Del Zotto | 1 | 6 | 42 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 6.0 | -60 |
| Jaden Schwartz | 7 | 22 | 152 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 12.3 | -62 |
| James Neal | 5 | 10 | 122 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 11.6 | -65 |
| Ryan Murray | 1 | 28 | 71 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4.1 | -66 |
| Ian Cole | 1 | 10 | 69 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4.3 | -66 |
| Olli Maatta | 1 | 12 | 65 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4.7 | -67 |
| Drew Stafford | 2 | 6 | 60 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 10.4 | -68 |
| Erik Karlsson | 3 | 42 | 167 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 6.4 | -72 |
| Kevin Shattenkirk | 2 | 22 | 120 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 6.0 | -72 |
| Jack Johnson | 1 | 12 | 71 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5.0 | -72 |
| Dion Phaneuf | 1 | 4 | 69 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 5.5 | -74 |
| Kevin Connauton | 1 | 7 | 69 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 6.0 | -76 |
| Riley Nash | 1 | 9 | 65 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 9.0 | -83 |
| Tobias Rieder | 0 | 11 | 76 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7.6 | -100 |
Legend
G: Goals
A: Assists
S: Shots on goal
S/GP: Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%: Career shooting percentage
DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage
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