Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Morgan Rielly 18 47 183 2.7 2.3 9.8 5.2 90
Tom Wilson 19 16 107 2.1 1.3 17.8 9.5 86
Brad Richardson 16 6 102 1.9 2.0 15.7 8.6 82
Casey Cizikas 19 11 94 1.5 1.4 20.2 11.3 80
Ron Hainsey 5 15 65 0.9 1.2 7.7 4.3 80
Joe Pavelski 37 25 177 2.5 2.8 20.9 12.5 67
Damon Severson 10 25 119 1.7 1.6 8.4 5.1 66
Brian Boyle 17 6 110 1.8 1.9 15.5 9.3 66
Jared McCann 17 14 118 1.8 2.6 14.4 8.8 64
Tomas Hertl 31 32 147 2.3 2.7 21.1 12.9 63
Tyler Ennis 12 5 73 1.7 3.0 16.4 10.2 62
David Perron 17 18 85 1.9 2.1 20.0 12.4 61
Valtteri Filppula 15 14 69 1.0 1.2 21.7 13.7 59
Jakob Silfverberg 20 12 136 2.2 2.7 14.7 9.4 57
Elias Lindholm 27 49 169 2.4 2.1 16.0 10.2 56
Michael Frolik 13 14 106 2.0 2.8 12.3 8.0 53
Matt Niskanen 8 15 114 1.7 2.0 7.0 4.6 53
Alex Chiasson 19 12 98 1.6 1.3 19.4 12.8 52
Nikita Zadorov 7 4 79 1.4 1.8 8.9 5.8 52
Ryan Strome 13 12 91 1.3 2.0 14.3 9.4 51
Garnet Hathaway 7 4 64 1.0 2.0 10.9 7.3 50
Stefan Noesen 2 5 40 1.3 2.3 5.0 10.0 -50
Jake Gardiner 2 27 75 1.3 1.6 2.7 5.6 -53
Noel Acciari 3 5 80 1.3 1.8 3.8 8.0 -53
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 3 5 67 2.4 1.9 4.5 9.4 -53
Pat Maroon 5 14 100 1.6 2.0 5.0 10.9 -54
Alexander Wennberg 2 21 56 0.9 1.5 3.6 8.3 -57
Andrew Cogliano 4 10 90 1.4 2.0 4.4 10.4 -57
David Backes 5 11 105 1.8 2.8 4.8 11.6 -59
Michael Del Zotto 1 6 42 1.2 2.3 2.4 6.0 -60
Jaden Schwartz 7 22 152 2.7 3.3 4.6 12.3 -62
James Neal 5 10 122 2.2 3.3 4.1 11.6 -65
Ryan Murray 1 28 71 1.3 1.3 1.4 4.1 -66
Ian Cole 1 10 69 1.2 1.3 1.4 4.3 -66
Olli Maatta 1 12 65 1.2 1.9 1.5 4.7 -67
Drew Stafford 2 6 60 1.3 2.6 3.3 10.4 -68
Erik Karlsson 3 42 167 3.2 3.1 1.8 6.4 -72
Kevin Shattenkirk 2 22 120 2.0 2.7 1.7 6.0 -72
Jack Johnson 1 12 71 1.0 1.5 1.4 5.0 -72
Dion Phaneuf 1 4 69 1.2 2.0 1.4 5.5 -74
Kevin Connauton 1 7 69 1.5 2.2 1.4 6.0 -76
Riley Nash 1 9 65 1.0 1.6 1.5 9.0 -83
Tobias Rieder 0 11 76 1.4 2.0 0.0 7.6 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage