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Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

March 20, 2019   Left Wing Lock Staff   0 Comments

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

PlayerGASS/GP3YS/GPSH%CSH%DEV
Morgan Rielly20481972.72.310.25.391
Tom Wilson21161132.11.318.69.890
Brad Richardson1671051.82.015.28.677
Casey Cizikas1911981.51.419.411.273
Brian Boyle1861131.71.915.99.470
Ron Hainsey517701.01.27.14.368
David Perron2020952.02.121.112.568
Michael Frolik15161102.02.813.68.168
Joe Pavelski37261782.52.820.812.567
Damon Severson11261301.81.68.55.264
Jakob Silfverberg22121452.22.715.29.560
Cody Eakin19181051.51.618.111.557
Tyler Ennis125761.73.015.810.156
Garnet Hathaway84661.02.012.17.856
Ryan Strome1413951.32.014.79.555
Viktor Arvidsson31121623.23.419.112.355
Elias Lindholm27501702.32.115.910.255
Jared McCann17141291.82.613.28.554
James van Riemsdyk25181352.43.618.512.054
Tomas Hertl31321592.32.719.512.753
Jaden Schwartz10241612.73.36.212.4-50
Victor Rask26441.12.14.59.3-51
Nick Leddy321981.31.73.16.2-51
Marc-Edouard Vlasic219851.32.12.44.9-52
Jake Gardiner227751.31.62.75.6-53
Jean-Gabriel Pageau35692.31.94.39.4-54
Andrew Cogliano410941.32.04.310.4-59
Alexander Wennberg221600.91.53.38.2-60
David Backes5111101.82.84.511.6-61
Michael Del Zotto18441.12.32.36.0-62
James Neal5101222.23.34.111.6-65
Ryan Murray128711.31.31.44.1-66
Olli Maatta112651.21.91.54.7-67
Drew Stafford27641.32.63.110.4-70
Erik Karlsson3421673.23.11.86.4-72
Jack Johnson112751.01.51.35.0-73
Dion Phaneuf14721.22.01.45.5-75
Kevin Shattenkirk2241322.12.71.56.0-75
Kevin Connauton17691.52.21.46.0-76
Riley Nash19661.01.61.59.0-83
Andrew MacDonald09410.91.50.04.7-100
Tobias Rieder011781.32.00.07.6-100
Thomas Hickey04441.21.30.04.5-100

Legend

G: Goals

A: Assists

S: Shots on goal

S/GP: Shots on goal per game

3YS/GP: Three-year average shots on goal per game

SH%: 2018-2019 shooting percentage

CSH%: Career shooting percentage

DEV: Deviation from career shooting percentage

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