Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters | Fantasy Hockey Advice and Analysis | leftwinglock.com

Features

The latest fantasy hockey advice and analysis.

Buy-Low and Sell-High: Skaters

Introduction

Welcome to Unsustainable - our weekly look at skaters performing at unsustainable levels. Below, you'll find a data table with an emphasis on shooting percentages. What we know, from years and years of data, is that it is unlikely that a player can maintain a shooting percentage that deviates significantly from his career numbers for long amounts of time (which translates to lots of shots).

The aim of this weekly article is to highlight players, that the data suggests, are playing at levels inconsistent with their actual talent. The last column (Dev) measures the deviation from career levels. As a fantasy hockey manager (at least one in a league that emphasizes goal scoring), you could interpret this data as a player's trade value. Today's article will include the requirements that a player has taken at least 40 shots on goal and has a deviation of at least 50% from his career numbers.

Shot Production and Shooting Percentage Data

Player G A S S/GP 3YS/GP SH% CSH% DEV
Morgan Rielly 20 48 197 2.7 2.3 10.2 5.3 91
Tom Wilson 21 16 113 2.1 1.3 18.6 9.8 90
Brad Richardson 16 7 105 1.8 2.0 15.2 8.6 77
Casey Cizikas 19 11 98 1.5 1.4 19.4 11.2 73
Brian Boyle 18 6 113 1.7 1.9 15.9 9.4 70
Ron Hainsey 5 17 70 1.0 1.2 7.1 4.3 68
David Perron 20 20 95 2.0 2.1 21.1 12.5 68
Michael Frolik 15 16 110 2.0 2.8 13.6 8.1 68
Joe Pavelski 37 26 178 2.5 2.8 20.8 12.5 67
Damon Severson 11 26 130 1.8 1.6 8.5 5.2 64
Jakob Silfverberg 22 12 145 2.2 2.7 15.2 9.5 60
Cody Eakin 19 18 105 1.5 1.6 18.1 11.5 57
Tyler Ennis 12 5 76 1.7 3.0 15.8 10.1 56
Garnet Hathaway 8 4 66 1.0 2.0 12.1 7.8 56
Ryan Strome 14 13 95 1.3 2.0 14.7 9.5 55
Viktor Arvidsson 31 12 162 3.2 3.4 19.1 12.3 55
Elias Lindholm 27 50 170 2.3 2.1 15.9 10.2 55
Jared McCann 17 14 129 1.8 2.6 13.2 8.5 54
James van Riemsdyk 25 18 135 2.4 3.6 18.5 12.0 54
Tomas Hertl 31 32 159 2.3 2.7 19.5 12.7 53
Jaden Schwartz 10 24 161 2.7 3.3 6.2 12.4 -50
Victor Rask 2 6 44 1.1 2.1 4.5 9.3 -51
Nick Leddy 3 21 98 1.3 1.7 3.1 6.2 -51
Marc-Edouard Vlasic 2 19 85 1.3 2.1 2.4 4.9 -52
Jake Gardiner 2 27 75 1.3 1.6 2.7 5.6 -53
Jean-Gabriel Pageau 3 5 69 2.3 1.9 4.3 9.4 -54
Andrew Cogliano 4 10 94 1.3 2.0 4.3 10.4 -59
Alexander Wennberg 2 21 60 0.9 1.5 3.3 8.2 -60
David Backes 5 11 110 1.8 2.8 4.5 11.6 -61
Michael Del Zotto 1 8 44 1.1 2.3 2.3 6.0 -62
James Neal 5 10 122 2.2 3.3 4.1 11.6 -65
Ryan Murray 1 28 71 1.3 1.3 1.4 4.1 -66
Olli Maatta 1 12 65 1.2 1.9 1.5 4.7 -67
Drew Stafford 2 7 64 1.3 2.6 3.1 10.4 -70
Erik Karlsson 3 42 167 3.2 3.1 1.8 6.4 -72
Jack Johnson 1 12 75 1.0 1.5 1.3 5.0 -73
Dion Phaneuf 1 4 72 1.2 2.0 1.4 5.5 -75
Kevin Shattenkirk 2 24 132 2.1 2.7 1.5 6.0 -75
Kevin Connauton 1 7 69 1.5 2.2 1.4 6.0 -76
Riley Nash 1 9 66 1.0 1.6 1.5 9.0 -83
Andrew MacDonald 0 9 41 0.9 1.5 0.0 4.7 -100
Tobias Rieder 0 11 78 1.3 2.0 0.0 7.6 -100
Thomas Hickey 0 4 44 1.2 1.3 0.0 4.5 -100
Legend
G
Goals
A
Assists
S
Shots on goal
S/GP
Shots on goal per game
3YS/GP
Three-year average shots on goal per game
SH%
2018-2019 shooting percentage
CSH%
Career shooting percentage
DEV
Deviation from career shooting percentage